Can AI really help with sports betting, or are we overrating it?

[Powerjumboo]

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

AI can never predict gambling, because if AI could predict, people would have used this AI to win all the gambling money. Even if someone here says that he won every bet using AI, I will never believe that it is possible to win bets with AI. I have never used AI, especially on gambling platforms, because I always think that AI can analyze something made by humans, but can't do anything in advance.

[AVE5]

Is anyone here actually building or testing anything serious around AI and sports betting?

I don’t mean those random “AI prediction” websites that just say Team A will win,  Team B will lose, and gate it behind a paid service, and then disappear when the pick fails. I mean proper systems that try to model games, compare bookmaker odds, track closing line value, separate strong picks from watchlist picks, or even handle bankroll/risk decisions better.

At the end you'll still have the experience of the random AI sites where whichever predictions this other model of AI you think might be better of difference but will still leave your emotions at stake with your bets outcomes not still guaranteed just like the other model or AI you probably think it's random.
The truth is that it's impossible for and AI to able to predict a real life future events and it'll be quite obvious that it's still those data's such as the odd, key players of the teams and the rest of them which the so random AI uses to predict their games that every other model of AI would use to determine their games outcomes.

[AmoreJaz]

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

AI can never predict gambling, because if AI could predict, people would have used this AI to win all the gambling money. Even if someone here says that he won every bet using AI, I will never believe that it is possible to win bets with AI. I have never used AI, especially on gambling platforms, because I always think that AI can analyze something made by humans, but can't do anything in advance.

I would say, it is not never. But you can get a very good input from AI as it can summarizes all the available sources from the net in a very short period of time. So why not use its capability of getting the job done in few seconds and use it to gauge the game that you want to bet in. There's nothing wrong using its knowledge, but of course follow your instincts when you bet.

For me, there's advantage of using AI. We can't deny the fact that it can easily give you the overall picture of the match as it can provide the available data over the net. Because if you will check all those, it would take your time to visit a lot of sites before you can come up with that info. So you can use AI in getting the history of certain team or league or athlete and use it how you will predict the outcome. You can even ask its opinion on this matter and see the angle that you haven't considered yet.

[shawonngp]

I think the same topics have been discussed many times, artificial intelligence can't help you to win in gambling, because it is not such tolls, which can make you win for sure, AI is much more effective in research, it can serve you huge data, in the case of sports betting, AI can help you choose the team, such as which one is favorite or unpopular and can predict the chance of winning percentage just. But there is no guarantee that you can win with AI prediction. Even where humans are not capable of making predictions, winning at sports gambling with AI is an unrealistic thought.

[Sanitough]

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

AI can never predict gambling, because if AI could predict, people would have used this AI to win all the gambling money. Even if someone here says that he won every bet using AI, I will never believe that it is possible to win bets with AI. I have never used AI, especially on gambling platforms, because I always think that AI can analyze something made by humans, but can't do anything in advance.

No, they can predict, but the predictions are not accurate most of the time, hehe.

And you’re right, because if they were really accurate, everyone would already be using AI and there would not still be so many people losing like we see now. Bookies know that too. And we also have to understand that when we make predictions, we are not really betting against the sportsbook, we are betting against each other.

So what happens when all of us pile on one side? The line adjusts, and then we are forced to decide based on the new line being offered. In the end, the bookies still make their commission, and that’s why they keep winning consistently.

[ryzaadit]

Helping to get some data: YES

That's can make you give some insight to the decision bet you're gonna do. But.... to guarentee you win off course no.... you must at least use every use these for information are needed to be found (like make it your self easy to find it).

Not use these for making your bet guarentee wins.

[SamReomo]

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

AI can be useful in sports betting if someone wants to avoid doing manual research because it's quite fast to perform the same research within shortest period and thus such type of a research tool can be helpful in any task including sports betting.

Since, AI can now access the web, and many platforms thus it's not hard to find genuine and real research with the help of AI within short time than doing it yourself. So, AI can be useful in some cases but it's not going to help us win again and again.

[SPIDERMAN008]

It is not possible to make 100% predictions in gambling through anything. Anything can happen in sports betting. Therefore, it is not possible for Artificial Intelligence to say anything for sure. However, analyzing data from a match through AI can be convenient. For example, instead of collecting data from different platforms and analyzing them together, it is possible to get all the data and information together by asking any kind of question through AI .

In some cases, It can also give wrong information, so you should be careful. At the end you have to make the decision yourself. If you lose, the money will be your own loss. If you ask AI to give a prediction, it will also say that a team has a high chance of winning, but will never say for sure that it will win. Therefore, it is better to make decisions according to your own knowledge when making decisions. Artificial Intelligence can only be used as an assistant.

[yhiaali3]

I think it is possible to build a system using AI like the one you are talking about, but the accuracy rate will not exceed 50-60%, and there are many obstacles and many variables that enter into the data that can change everything.

As everyone knows AI relies on past or historical data that is presented to it and it cannot predict the future of course. Therefore, it only tries to predict the future based on past historical data, and this does not always succeed. Also, one variable such as the weather, the crowd, or an injury or expulsion of a player during the match may change all the predictions.

[Don Pedro Dinero]

Is anyone here actually building or testing anything serious around AI and sports betting?

Not in my case.

The more I look at it, the more I feel AI may be more useful as a research assistant than as a magic prediction machine. Maybe it can help organize data, spot weak markets, compare lines across bookmakers, explain why a bet is risky, or separate “looks good” picks from bets that actually have some value behind them.

That’s basically the main benefit: having a personal assistant who knows about every field.

And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

As you’ve been told, this has been discussed several times on the forum. If you’re using a free AI version – or even paying $20 a month – do you really think you’ll be able to beat the bookmakers, who have AI systems costing hundreds or even thousands of dollars a month and, on top of that, have the freedom to set their own odds?

[CryptoYar]

I think that actual Edge is not predicting outcome, but recognizing of Line Inefficiency. When your model tells you that probability of Over 2.5 win is 65% (implied odds of 1.54) and bookie is offering 1.80, then you have found some Value. Most important thing that is brought by AI is its absence of prejudice. It does not consider reputation of certain team or its historic glory, but other only some current measures. Greatest difficulty, though, is that even more sophisticated AI is used by bookmakers to establish such lines. In order to win, your model not only needs to be good, but it must be faster and more granular than algorithm of bookie.

[bitbollo]

In general an advantage could be possible. But I am not expecting anything "tell me the winner"...
I would say that AI could help in the same way could help your file xls in your laptop.
If you are expecting some magic science pop-up from nowhere ... I think you're wrong and 50% of options could be a win even if there is any "intelligence" at all.
Basically I would say different if you can specialise your analysis in certain scenario or a specific kind of bet/market.

[salad daging]

I did. I started this new discussion to see if there was anything new happening. It's the same way new AI models are being released by  Anthropic and OpenAI so I thought maybe these newer models have more luck and people have been been tinkering and playing around with it enough to  build something that "might" work. Based on the responses so far, it seems no one is working on such. I've been doing a bit of tinkering and wanted to know if there are others like that are tinkering as well.

How about the AI model you use, is it just one model or multiple models? One more thing to ask is whether the model you use is premium or free-based?
I once did an experiment about sports betting and looking for odds relying on AI with which team would potentially win, only after I noticed the probability of losing was higher than winning, although the prompts I used might be a little chaotic and irregular, currently not relying on AI models anymore.

[Darker45]

AI probably helps in a way that it can make use of various analyses, statistics, and other data that could be considered factors in one team or player winning over the other. It's probably more comprehensive because it can look at many sources quickly and give you a prediction.

But since the game is yet to be played, its prediction could be as good as ours. In the end, nobody knows about the result until the game is played.

Also, if you're really familiar with a certain sport or league, it seems there's a kind of gut feeling that comes along with it that may not be captured by an AI.

So, I think AI can only be helpful as a comparison to your own predictions and analyses, but not something that you could make as a basis for your bets.

[Sammye3]

Ai predictions are given based on statistics and could be a bit more accurate in most cases, though it is not 100% correct. We have seen matches where the underdogs control the gane and win the match against a top team,  I don't think Ai would see that coming.  With Ai, the possibility of loss is reduced and also serves as a guide for most beginners in gambling.

[Kelward]

As gamblers are looking into AI to have an edge and win their bets I'm sure that bookmakers are also checking it out too to know if AI will ruin their careers and I'm sure that they've seen that it cannot. What I know is that if AI can actually aid many bettors in their analysis to give perfect predictions I'm sure that we won't have any bet sites in business after some years because they will all go bankrupt. We have to understand that whatever betting skills that you come up with either natural or artificial it is not enough to give you wins you still need luck, without needing luck to win then it's no longer gambling.

[iv4n]

So far, I have had 2 wins and 1 loss and each bet was an acca of 2-4 odds.

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

Short answer would be something like: it can help a bit, but most people expect too much.

After all, AI is just a tool... as you wrote, something like a personal assistant. At the same time, we all use the same personal assistant, so maybe if you create your own AI, you can have some advantage. Edge comes from something unique, not from the tool itself.

I tried some AI predictions and had wins & losses... but I didn't follow those picks blindly, I had an idea, consulted AI, so in some way we both won and lost.

[jcojci]

I don't use AI but if that could helps me to finds more information, I will learn it and use it. AI finds the data easily and short cut the process so we can analyze it better and some already used AI to helps them collecting the data.

But I admitted that some people hate AI because they thinks that they can't improves their skills and difficult to develop themselves. Gamblers could relying on AI gathering the data as they can get it faster but that will depends on each people whether they want to use it or leave it.

[Outhue]

Doing analysis and research, yes AI can help, even someone who is just starting to gambling today can speed things up by using AI to get the most important information rather than doing the hardwork all by yourself, but when it comes to a team Vs another team or an upcoming challenge between sports teams AI won't do much for you, don't expect an accurate response but only predictions, AI isn't a good like invention, it's created by humans, another way that AI can help gambling is sport companies and casinos using it for faster paper work and customer representative, nothing else than these.

[Swordsoffreedom]

I do not think professional gamblers are  completely dependent on AI for betting. We can take help from AI. AI can provide a lot of data accurately in a short time. It helps us analyze the  information and  make decisions while betting. It  saves us a lot of time. But I have seen very few people  who place bets  depending on AI's decisions. Personally, I have also taken the help of AI occasionally in sports  betting. Usually I take the help of AI to analyze the  data. But ultimately I place bets  on my own decision.