Can AI really help with sports betting, or are we overrating it?

[LUCKMCFLY]

I've never experimented with AI for sports predictions, but for me, things shouldn't go that way. Yes, I know that AI can provide more accurate statistics, but it doesn't all depend on that. It depends on the analysis and all the knowledge we might have, and on the intuition that ultimately becomes a great analysis. That's why I don't use AI for these things; they're not reliable.

[AmoreJaz]

I've never experimented with AI for sports predictions, but for me, things shouldn't go that way. Yes, I know that AI can provide more accurate statistics, but it doesn't all depend on that. It depends on the analysis and all the knowledge we might have, and on the intuition that ultimately becomes a great analysis. That's why I don't use AI for these things; they're not reliable.

You can always ask AI the summary or historical data of the teams involved. But for me, the final betting line will still be on you. Don't over rely on AI. You may gain insights but weigh your options. Put some logical thoughts also.

[nelson4lov]

You can always ask AI the summary or historical data of the teams involved. But for me, the final betting line will still be on you. Don't over rely on AI. You may gain insights but weigh your options. Put some logical thoughts also.

Yup. You're correct. A lot of people missed the point of the thread so I just stopped replying. The core idea is that AI would help with the research process but the current state of AI, it can't correctly predict future events happening because events like that are not deterministic. With AI helping with the research process, We can focus more of our mental and reasoning capacity to make better and more informed bets. Taking whatever the AI suggests at face value is not worth it. I agree with that part too.

[Orpichukwu]

gambling is a game of luck and the more we get to realize this the better for us, and the more we will stop relying on AI models or even our own skills. the truth is that, even when we add our own analysis, we still can't beat the system, we still need luck on our side, because without luck, winning isn't always as possible as we might think it to be.

It's okay to just have the predictions skill, which will prevent you from making some random guess when you want to place a bet, and it's also okay not to put too much hope on all the predictions you have made. This is not just about beating the system, especially when it comes to sports betting; even the system can't decide what the result will look like.

[Shinpako09]

Again, AI can only help you analyze, provide explanations, and gather data, but it won’t magically improve your stats or balance. If it happens, then you probably just got lucky. With so many AI tools available right now, a lot of people would’ve already made a fortune if AI could really guarantee wins.

AI can’t foresee injuries during games, players performing poorly on a certain night, bad calls, or other circumstances that can affect the game or results. It’s useful if you’re too lazy to gather data yourself or if you want to make predictions faster, but that’s about it.

Sports betting is still flourishing, and casinos are still making huge amounts of money. That alone proves we haven’t reached the point where AI can truly make our betting stats consistently good. At the end of the day, we still need luck.

[Cantsay]

Gambling is a game of luck and the more we get to realize this the better for us, and the more we will stop relying on AI models or even our own skills. The truth is that, even when we add our own analysis, we still can't beat the system, we still need luck on our side, because without luck, winning isn't always as possible as we might think it to be.

Luck doesn’t mean that you shouldn’t rely on other tools just because luck places a huge role on the outcome of a game. In sports betting there are so many factors that affecting how it’s going to play so there there’s a really strong need to conduct analysis to improve your chances of winning despite the fact that luck places its own part.

[STT]

Even a plain search engine could help a person with history behind a sports bet.   The reason its not more popular or influential is the amount of effort to conduct proper research like that.   If we consider that AI is a form of convenience tool not outright power but consumer graded [LLM] ease of use then sure it could be useful to recall data and extrapolate even project future wins, however most of the skill even effort still rests on the gambler themselves to bother with.

   I think it'll be a while before the average person can justify using AI especially, its of use but I just don't think most people want a robotic way to play what is a casual gamble to them.  You want a robot to tell you what to do with your own money ?   I reckon many reject that idea, they would even know their own teams strength better.
  I've not heard of it for professional gambling but who knows, maybe its out there but kept secret as a propriety tool; the data used would be open source anyhow though.

[Odusko]

I've never experimented with AI for sports predictions, but for me, things shouldn't go that way. Yes, I know that AI can provide more accurate statistics, but that doesn't mean it's the only factor. It depends on the analysis and all the knowledge we might have, as well as the intuition that ultimately becomes a great analysis. That's why I don't use AI for these things; they're not reliable.

The experience could be excellent if the bettors actually understand what it is because AI combined with human efforts is what gives accuracy to some of your bets, mostly when you use AI to generate the data you use to accurately predict the outcomes of a game unless something goes drastically wrong that when such a bet won't come out as winning.

[ruykeri]

Again, AI can only help you analyze, provide explanations, and gather data, but it won’t magically improve your stats or balance. If it happens, then you probably just got lucky. With so many AI tools available right now, a lot of people would’ve already made a fortune if AI could really guarantee wins.

AI can’t foresee injuries during games, players performing poorly on a certain night, bad calls, or other circumstances that can affect the game or results. It’s useful if you’re too lazy to gather data yourself or if you want to make predictions faster, but that’s about it.

Sports betting is still flourishing, and casinos are still making huge amounts of money. That alone proves we haven’t reached the point where AI can truly make our betting stats consistently good. At the end of the day, we still need luck.

You are absolutely right. If someone wins with the help of AI, that is their fate. Nothing else, not even sports betting. I think we should never depend entirely on AI for anything. We can take help from AI, but AI can never be more powerful than our thoughts and consciousness. AI was created by humans. It works as a program. It is not like  God created it and made it usable for the people of the world. So you have to take any decision yourself. If there is any loss due to your decision, you can learn from it what was wrong. And depending on AI for everything will damage your creativity. Be it in betting or any other issue.

[LUCKMCFLY]

You can always ask AI the summary or historical data of the teams involved. But for me, the final betting line will still be on you. Don't over rely on AI. You may gain insights but weigh your options. Put some logical thoughts also.

Yes, historical data can be a valuable and highly accurate resource, but it's a thousand times better to do things yourself when it comes to sports betting. I think AI will never be an option for me, because an AI might know a lot about news and some details, but in the end, what matters is how the team performs, how they play, and that makes a big difference.

[livingfree]

In this day, overusing it is normal. Because of many free credits that we get, it's not a problem if we overuse it because there's still limits in it.

But to rely on the bets asked to them, they'll just give the stats and analysis that they have gathered online.

Someone who's new to the usage of it will realize that eventually and that's not a good thing.

Yeah, because of those free services or information that we can get online though still even how good the statistics there's no guarantee that by following or using their informtion will give you a sure win, there's still a need of your own understanding and effort plus the most important thing, there's luck and it will follow when it backing you after placing your bets.

Yes, the free services from the AIs is what we can enjoy using.

And if some gamblers are enjoying using them for free, they can't be stopped and if they have some good winning accuracy with them then that's good use of it.

But don't rely so much in it when we can have our own analysis for each bets that we'll make.

[Fredomago]

In this day, overusing it is normal. Because of many free credits that we get, it's not a problem if we overuse it because there's still limits in it.

But to rely on the bets asked to them, they'll just give the stats and analysis that they have gathered online.

Someone who's new to the usage of it will realize that eventually and that's not a good thing.

Yeah, because of those free services or information that we can get online though still even how good the statistics there's no guarantee that by following or using their informtion will give you a sure win, there's still a need of your own understanding and effort plus the most important thing, there's luck and it will follow when it backing you after placing your bets.

Yes, the free services from the AIs is what we can enjoy using.

And if some gamblers are enjoying using them for free, they can't be stopped and if they have some good winning accuracy with them then that's good use of it.

But don't rely so much in it when we can have our own analysis for each bets that we'll make.

Indeed, as the statistics that AI can provide is only numbers from past games but there's no assurance that it will happen again or the team will perform the same level when AI get the information, everything will still depends on how the team or the players will perform in that event, and same with what you said, it's okay if you are getting the information that helps you to win your bet but never to rely on it that much to the point that you will not do your own research.

[Kavelj22]

I've never experimented with AI for sports predictions, but for me, things shouldn't go that way. Yes, I know that AI can provide more accurate statistics, but it doesn't all depend on that. It depends on the analysis and all the knowledge we might have, and on the intuition that ultimately becomes a great analysis. That's why I don't use AI for these things; they're not reliable.

Believe me. Sometimes it looks reliable. Regular gamblers are for sure to be trying Ai, at least for analytics. As for predictions, as much as analytics work, predictions should be working as well.

Casinos integrate AI in their systems without it being something problematic, just they are closed source. When users starts using AI, it is the interesting subject for public discussions.

[Odusko]

I've never experimented with AI for sports predictions, but for me, things shouldn't go that way. Yes, I know that AI can provide more accurate statistics, but it doesn't all depend on that. It depends on the analysis and all the knowledge we might have, and on the intuition that ultimately becomes a great analysis. That's why I don't use AI for these things; they're not reliable.

You can always ask AI the summary or historical data of the teams involved. But for me, the final betting line will still be on you. Don't over rely on AI. You may gain insights but weigh your options. Put some logical thoughts also.

That summary and analysis are the two basic features and role that AI can play in sport betting, the gambler will have th final action and decision, AI is just an additional hands and shouldn't be treated as the main betting selection model, because AI hav limitations and hort comings that only human interference with it results bring the perfection to the work done by the AI. Sport predictions is an uncertain quest there for we should know that we can never be accurately right in that no matter the tool that we use.

[livingfree]

Yes, the free services from the AIs is what we can enjoy using.

And if some gamblers are enjoying using them for free, they can't be stopped and if they have some good winning accuracy with them then that's good use of it.

But don't rely so much in it when we can have our own analysis for each bets that we'll make.

Indeed, as the statistics that AI can provide is only numbers from past games but there's no assurance that it will happen again or the team will perform the same level when AI get the information, everything will still depends on how the team or the players will perform in that event, and same with what you said, it's okay if you are getting the information that helps you to win your bet but never to rely on it that much to the point that you will not do your own research.

They can have analysis in the future possible result.

But they have zero future foreseeing that's going to be accurate as it could be.

The basis are always in the stats that they can gather online and that's how they're giving the answers to us.

[tread93]

Since ChatGPT came out in late 2022, AI has become mainstream enough that almost every industry has people trying to plug it into something. But I’m curious about sports betting specifically.

Is anyone here actually building or testing anything serious around AI and sports betting?

I don’t mean those random “AI prediction” websites that just say Team A will win,  Team B will lose, and gate it behind a paid service, and then disappear when the pick fails. I mean proper systems that try to model games, compare bookmaker odds, track closing line value, separate strong picks from watchlist picks, or even handle bankroll/risk decisions better.

For example, I’ve been playing around with the idea of a football betting system that does more than just predict match winners. Something that looks at team strength, expected goals, home/away scoring rates, goal probability models and using all of that data to make a goal grid to predict the probability of a fixture ending in over 1.5, over 2.5, etc.

The more I look at it, the more I feel AI may be more useful as a research assistant than as a magic prediction machine. Maybe it can help organize data, spot weak markets, compare lines across bookmakers, explain why a bet is risky, or separate “looks good” picks from bets that actually have some value behind them.

So far, I have had 2 wins and 1 loss and each bet was an acca of 2-4 odds.

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

This gives me inspiration to make something like this that covers all metrics for different ratings on fantasy and see how it fare in next year's season 🙌 that would be a lot of fun. Thanks for giving me the idea here with this post

[TheUltraElite]

Prediction tools are not new and AI tools are just a new name for those systems that were already in place. Youtube algorithm runs with an AI behind it based on previous searches, your demographics and your device details. So if they are already running and mostly people have been using it, still people have failed in sport betting to make a profit - what does it indicate? That you cannot correctly predict these outcomes and that is why it is a gamble and not an exam question.

I would vote for it being overrated for stuff that we can do ourselves too but are too lazy or not interested to.

[Strongkored]

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

Maybe not as detailed as what you do, but I have tried using AI to help me provide an overview of upcoming matches, and actually the data provided was quite complete and detailed but I trusted what I believed more, so I ignored that data and the result was bad.
I don't want to try it again even though My friend said that he could be helped by AI when the commands given were very detailed, so the keys how we use AI before choose the bets.

[OsaiEmma]

Since ChatGPT came out in late 2022, AI has become mainstream enough that almost every industry has people trying to plug it into something. But I’m curious about sports betting specifically.

Is anyone here actually building or testing anything serious around AI and sports betting?

I don’t mean those random “AI prediction” websites that just say Team A will win,  Team B will lose, and gate it behind a paid service, and then disappear when the pick fails. I mean proper systems that try to model games, compare bookmaker odds, track closing line value, separate strong picks from watchlist picks, or even handle bankroll/risk decisions better.

For example, I’ve been playing around with the idea of a football betting system that does more than just predict match winners. Something that looks at team strength, expected goals, home/away scoring rates, goal probability models and using all of that data to make a goal grid to predict the probability of a fixture ending in over 1.5, over 2.5, etc.

The more I look at it, the more I feel AI may be more useful as a research assistant than as a magic prediction machine. Maybe it can help organize data, spot weak markets, compare lines across bookmakers, explain why a bet is risky, or separate “looks good” picks from bets that actually have some value behind them.

So far, I have had 2 wins and 1 loss and each bet was an acca of 2-4 odds.

Has anyone here tried building something like this, even as a personal project? And do you think AI can create a real edge in sports betting, or is it mostly hype for now?

The present models of AI that I know about, are not specifically designed for such task, but if u can train an AI model in this way, of course it will be helpful.

Many gamblers also use these methods to make sports predictions, now training an AI to do same with more data and fast processing will certainly give u an edge in the game.

But that's how far it can go, a win rate that will be higher than humans prediction because of the fast processing of large data on the both teams. But when it comes to actually winning and sustaining a good bankroll, its ur responsibility as a player.

[icebar]

I've never experimented with AI for sports predictions, but for me, things shouldn't go that way. Yes, I know that AI can provide more accurate statistics, but it doesn't all depend on that. It depends on the analysis and all the knowledge we might have, and on the intuition that ultimately becomes a great analysis. That's why I don't use AI for these things; they're not reliable.

You can always ask AI the summary or historical data of the teams involved. But for me, the final betting line will still be on you. Don't over rely on AI. You may gain insights but weigh your options. Put some logical thoughts also.

That summary and analysis are the two basic features and role that AI can play in sport betting, the gambler will have th final action and decision, AI is just an additional hands and shouldn't be treated as the main betting selection model, because AI hav limitations and hort comings that only human interference with it results bring the perfection to the work done by the AI. Sport predictions is an uncertain quest there for we should know that we can never be accurately right in that no matter the tool that we use.

No matter how much this AI is perfect, it cannot go beyond an algorithm. But in the case of sports, it is not possible to follow any algorithm. That is why there is no logic in placing bets depending on AI and AI does not know about the situation of the live match, even if you ask him about this, it will not be possible to give you the correct results. AI can give good results for analysis, but it should not be relied on only for placing bets. If someone thinks that he is achieving comparatively good results by relying on AI, then that is completely his own matter. No one should disrespect everyone's beliefs in gambling.