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Author Topic: Jumping From One Party To Another Is A Weak Political Strategy  (Read 213 times)
DYOR+BTC
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May 13, 2026, 10:43:56 PM
 #21

The party system in Nigeria now is extremely different from that of other countries because in Nigeria party decisions are made not on a legal situation but in such a way it will suit those in power, so when such is done those that have genuine intentions to reshape the country will be faced with no opinions than to leave for a better party with transparency and accountable lifes.
I will lay emphasise on the constant movement of obi because I think all will go directly to him. Looking at Obi's political  operating system you we see it is different from that of others because he has a genuine intention and will help alot if that chance is given .

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May 14, 2026, 11:11:12 PM
 #22

2023 really showed that politics na about structure, not just popularity or sentiment. Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s example proves say consistent investment in party machinery, relationships, and long-term planning dey pay off.

This na where many others dey struggle jumping from party to party or depending on last minute alignments dey show lack of sustainable strategy. Sentiment fit win small battles, but without strong foundation, e no fit carry you to the finish line. Luck no be strategy; planning, discipline, and structure na the real game-changers.
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Today at 05:23:31 AM
 #23

I don't really like political discussions, but one thing I can say is that Tinubu might likely still win the next election in this country by 2027 and that's because someone who came into power by hook or by crook due to mastery of structure and strategy and has built and maintained it for a long time, is now the current sitting president and grand commander of the federal Republic of this country.

It is always hard to win a sitting president in this country mostly during a second election and the one example I can give where this happened in the opposite direction, was when Late Buhari came into power, when he won over President Jonathan who was vying for a normal second tenure besides the years he had been at the top of government power for years from vise president to president.

I totally agree with you on this, I also believe that President Tinubu will definitely win the election in 2027, because we all know how he won the last election and now that he is in power I don't think anyone can stop him from winning in 2027. He has the INEC in his palm, so I am sure he is going to use that to his advantage.  We all know that the people don't want him anything,  but I am very sure that he will definitely be back as our president in 2027. So I thnk.we should just brace ourselves for another tenure of this Pharoah.

This is very correct President Tinubu is not some politicians that will Chicken out of office or the one that won't use his powers as a seating president to get what he wants and retain the presidential seat unlike former president Goodluck Ebelle Jonathan who was out of fear couldn't rig the elections in his favor and handed over power to Muhammadu Buhari, so voting Tinubu out will be difficult as he is going to place all his loyalist in strategic positions in the elections to rig and make him win.

You said something that melted my heart which is asking us to brace ourselves for 2027 because Tinubu is coming in for his second tenure and that's nothing but the truth, the sufferings will be much in his second tenure but there's nothing we can do to stop him as he will judiciously use all that is in his power to win the re-election. I won't discourage anyone not to vote for their preferred candidates because it's better to try than concluding that Tinubu will manipulate the results without exercising our franchise.

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Today at 06:10:41 AM
 #24

So the new reality on the ground now is structure over movement and this is where i feel the likes of Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and Peter Obi are still missing it. The game has changed, you cannot in good conscience, jump from party to party, depend on sentiment, rely on last minute alignment and expect to win. That model is clearly unstable, unpredictable, dependent on luck and luck is not a strategy.

You can't set a structure around people that have a contrary interest with tou. It will just take a matter of time before you end up being betrayed.

Structure is good and that's no doubt but in our Nigerian political system as it is till date, You need to time things very well,  yuu still need to have the right set of politicians in your team and still need to buy into the ethnic and religious bias that's very much a big deal in our today's society. If you set up a structure that doesn't touch on these key areas, you've even failed on arrival.

For the sake of peter Obi, he and his supporters believes he's the structure they are projecting and regardless the party he stands under, they want to see him win. We've seen how that played out in the last election where even opposition party still voted for him for presidency. Tinibu won't allow him remain in a single party setting all structure without trying to destroy the party and that's the reason why he has to smartly move out and start up something that if it's able to push him into office can become a structure that can be worked on.

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Today at 09:58:29 AM
 #25

A lot of our governors who were strong flag bearers in their parties have jumped ship into the ruling party which is APC and the speculations are that if they don't join APC that the president will use EFCC to come after them to visit their corruption files. The goal is to use the influences of the governors to get the votes of their states for the presidency to win the forthcoming election so fingers are being pointed to any top politicians that jumping party that it is to evade corruption charges.

Now that Peter Obi, that many Nigerians are seeing like the messiah to take us to a better Nigeria, is now jumping from party to party I think that the narrative has changed that it is not only corrupt politicians that jump from one political party to the other. My conclusion is that politics is a game of interest and politicians move to where their interests aligns.

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Today at 12:55:46 PM
 #26

I don't really like political discussions, but one thing I can say is that Tinubu might likely still win the next election in this country by 2027 and that's because someone who came into power by hook or by crook due to mastery of structure and strategy and has built and maintained it for a long time, is now the current sitting president and grand commander of the federal Republic of this country.

It is always hard to win a sitting president in this country mostly during a second election and the one example I can give where this happened in the opposite direction, was when Late Buhari came into power, when he won over President Jonathan who was vying for a normal second tenure besides the years he had been at the top of government power for years from vise president to president.

I totally agree with you on this, I also believe that President Tinubu will definitely win the election in 2027, because we all know how he won the last election and now that he is in power I don't think anyone can stop him from winning in 2027. He has the INEC in his palm, so I am sure he is going to use that to his advantage.  We all know that the people don't want him anything,  but I am very sure that he will definitely be back as our president in 2027. So I thnk.we should just brace ourselves for another tenure of this Pharoah.
The president will not win the  2027 election unless the election will be rigg as usual that's the only way the president can be able to win the 2027 election.
It doesn't change anything whether the inec is on his side or not, 2027 election will be different from the previous election because it Is not going to be that easy for the president and corrupt inec officials.

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Today at 03:44:10 PM
 #27

It's easier said than done, and above all, it shows that you don't understand the dirtiness of Nigerian politics today.

One of how you know that talk is cheap is as a result of your constructive response to this: what would you have done if you are Peter Obi and Kwankwaso? When the ruling party didn't limit their wickedness to corruption and bad governance, but also to blackmailing and destruction of parties? And this is most potent because average Nigerian is corrupt. Just name your price for you to destroy your party, and you shall have it. That's the evil politics APC plays now.

And guess what? The low integrity of the powerful people in politics makes it easily possible. Now, I ask you again, what would have have done, especially when you know what's happening but can't compete with the insane money they buy people with? Stay there and fight? It will dawn on your when you don't see yourself on that ballot paper as a result of internal betrayals and court cases.

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Today at 04:32:48 PM
 #28

From my point of view I think one of the reasons people joins a political party is because their ideology aligns with thar of the party, I stand to be corrected. So I don't understand why Nigerian politicians keeps jumping from one party to the other, is it that their ideology changed, because I don't think it right to keep changing ideology every election. What I think is that this people really don't care about ideology or structures,  because they don't even have one, all they are interested in just to grab power and loot public funds, that's why they keep jumping from one party to the other, just to get ticket to run for positions.

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Today at 07:51:17 PM
 #29

Politics is a strategic game where you have no permanent friend nor a permanent enemy, so it is difficult to pledge loyalty to one political party and stand by it for a long time. Politics is just like when a coach is showing the players from a drawing board on the formation and strategy they should use to win their opponent. A politician has the right to decamp from one political party to another if he sees that the political party is not favoring him or they are not strategizing well to outsmart their opposition. Power is still built because let's take the APC as a case study, did you know how many years it took before they ousted PDP out of power. It even involved a strong coalition where a lot of people from other parties and some members of the PDP decamped before APC could succeed to takeover power. The problem with opposition parties is lack of wisdom because tell me while a coalition party will still be nursing grudges inside them when they are supposed to cooperate together and proffer ways to defeat the incumbent government.

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