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Author Topic: Do you think bookies knows team to win?  (Read 1046 times)
impulse709
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May 08, 2026, 02:18:17 AM
 #41

Do you really think bookies care about which team wins? Bookies never care about that. Because the odds are set so well that in the long run, the house always wins. All the favorites might win this week and the next week and even the week after that but at some point the favorites lose, even the teams the whole world is betting on. And that's exactly where the bookies wins back more than it has given out up to that point.

You're right in your thinking. The general misconception is that bookmakers are trying to make a diamond prediction. but their primary aim is to create a laddering margin the margin of the odds. They don't have to see all their matches win as the system is built to win in the long term. Although some bettors may enjoy winning for a few days on their favorite games. it's also time for surprising things to occur, and that's where bookies lose the boat. Sports is unpredictable and particularly. football. one upset will ruin thousands of accumulator wagers in an instant. Ultimately it's more important to adhere to discipline and bankroll management than to consistently outsmart bookmakers.

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May 08, 2026, 07:16:21 AM
 #42

If it is an order match or a small tournament of manipulation, it may happen and the bookmaker could be involved in such manipulation.
But if a class of major tournaments the bookmaker will have no chance at all to manipulate, it only depends on the player and luck alone.
Players who participate in major tournaments will get severe sanctions if they manipulate or cooperate with the bookie.

So the bookie will not know who will win, After all winning or losing the bookie will still profit because they get Money from the people who bet.
In the end, if we talk about betting, it will be influenced by the luck factor.

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May 08, 2026, 07:34:58 AM
 #43

From what I have observed or been noticing about bookies. Do you think they do have professionals who gambles and gives them analysis on every match that is to play or featured on their gambling site.

Next, do you also think that is those people that gives them the out before they allocates odds to teams that are playing on that week, and they would use such statistics to analyze odds and distribute them to club that are to play.

Lastly; Do you also think that they go book those games on other gambling site? Do you also think that they should be restricted from Gambling casinos operator shouldn't bet or other gambling site because they could exploit the site with reason that they are casino owners which should be restricted because they could use the advantage of them knowing how everything works to scam others?
Just as they ban players not to gamble.

Provably no since they are just working on the bookies and not with the teams playing. Also there's no way that they can able to predict who's going to win and what they provably know is to set the odds depends on which team have high chances to win.

Its quiet speculative if we say that they are booking it on other gambling site. We don't know if this is really happening or just now. So hard to guess on something that we don't have any proof that its really happening.

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Marvelockg
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May 08, 2026, 07:46:55 AM
 #44

From what I have observed or been noticing about bookies. Do you think they do have professionals who gambles and gives them analysis on every match that is to play or featured on their gambling site.
Every casino and sports betting platforms you see out there is a company that has people systems and structures on ground and all of them work hand in hand to ensure that the odds are favourable to them. Of cause, with that it means that they have analysts that help them make that possible.

Lastly; Do you also think that they go book those games on other gambling site? Do you also think that they should be restricted from Gambling casinos operator shouldn't bet or other gambling site because they could exploit the site with reason that they are casino owners which should be restricted because they could use the advantage of them knowing how everything works to scam others?
Just as they ban players not to gamble.
Everything is possible and certainly, they can also gamble on other platforms as a way of investing Thier resource since they have a level of understanding of the game but I will assume that such is something that's actually risky because for a gambling company that pays players on a daily, you don't want getting involved in gambling. Do you want to consider a scenario where a gambling company is actually addicted to gambling? That will honestly mean a lot.

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May 08, 2026, 07:55:36 AM
 #45

I think that’s unlikely, and bookmakers cannot know the winner before the match ends, because in that case the odds for the teams that are supposed to win would be so low, that there would be no point in betting on them. And if you believe that there are people who know the outcome of a match before it finishes, then that would also be very bad for bookmakers, because in that case insider information could be sold, and there would be players winning huge amounts of money, which could potentially bankrupt bookmakers. And regarding what you mentioned about fixed matches, I think that is greatly exaggerated and most likely happens only in some lower leagues.

R


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May 08, 2026, 08:30:18 AM
 #46

Inasmuch as I would want to believe that the bookmakers do not know the team to win in certain matches, everyday it is becoming obvious that some matches are fixed and the bookmakers are on the know. I have followed several matches and I have seen how the odds were manipulated in terms of sudden drop or rise of odds prior to the match and the game ended with strange outcome. It is wrong to think that the bookies know the outcome of all matches, they only know that of selected matches based on my observations.

R


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May 08, 2026, 08:34:05 AM
 #47

In my opinion, they don’t know which team will win either, but they likely have a pretty good understanding of the game so their analysis gives them confidence. Besides, if the bookmaker plays a major role in a match, they might exert significant influence to avoid losses. As for the bettors they can only rely on strategic analysis to improve their chances of winning, but ultimately there’s no clear guarantee of victory because in a match we never know what will happen. We’re lucky if our bet turns out to be correct, but that can change if the bookmaker exerts enough influence to make a player who should have won their bet end up losing instead.
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May 08, 2026, 09:17:04 AM
 #48

It's all only your assumption because the fact bookies acted as intermediaries between gamblers and the sites. They much more like a facilitator for the gamblers. However, the gamblers itself who will determine whether they will win or not.

It means bookies have no idea what team to win. I think you're just getting paranoid then assume if bookies have control over everything while the fact they can't.

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May 08, 2026, 09:39:57 AM
 #49

Those bookies could have their own team analysis that will do the works to analyze the match. But I don't know for sure about that as I don't involve in bookies and only place my bet.

That could be they gives the info about the odds. But they have their own way to gives the odds on the site so gamblers could only bet according the odds or others.

But they can check on other bookies and write their odds. We never know what they can do about and we can only follow and bet.
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May 08, 2026, 10:09:39 AM
 #50

From what I have observed or been noticing about bookies. Do you think they do have professionals who gambles and gives them analysis on every match that is to play or featured on their gambling site.
Next, do you also think that is those people that gives them the out before they allocates odds to teams that are playing on that week, and they would use such statistics to analyze odds and distribute them to club that are to play.
Lastly; Do you also think that they go book those games on other gambling site?...
As far as I know, major sportsbooks have entire groups of analysts who go through every game, looking at player form, injuries, team news, weather conditions, stats, and a ton of other details. On top of that, they use huge amounts of data and automated models to set the odds.
As I think for casino or sportsbook employees placing bets on other gambling platforms - that’s honestly maybe a pretty controversial topic.
In many cases bookmakers also get data from sports analysts, scouts, and specialized data companies, and they’re either completely banned from gambling or heavily monitored. And in my point it’s probably impossible to remove conflicts of interest completely in this industry.


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May 08, 2026, 10:43:42 AM
 #51

Inasmuch as I would want to believe that the bookmakers do not know the team to win in certain matches, everyday it is becoming obvious that some matches are fixed and the bookmakers are on the know. I have followed several matches and I have seen how the odds were manipulated in terms of sudden drop or rise of odds prior to the match and the game ended with strange outcome. It is wrong to think that the bookies know the outcome of all matches, they only know that of selected matches based on my observations.
yes. It’s called side hustle. I believe that it is not all bookmakers that know the team to win in certain matches but i am also aware that some bookmakers do work together with the teams to make money but it also depends on the capacity of the bookmaker involved and the team involved too. In most cases, the bigger the bookmaker, the bigger their influence over manipulation of outcome of games. It is not something that’s done always as it is an arrangement that has to involve quite a large component of people both officials in different quarters for it to work because it basically means that one team will be willing to give the other team the chance to win when it was unexpected making the odds higher and more gamblers tilting towards the wrong side.

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May 08, 2026, 11:04:36 AM
 #52

If the bookies knows the teams that's going to win in every match, that means that players (bettors) won't be winning their bets because it would always be bookies that's going to win the bettor. The odds are set based on different factors put in consideration which will then make the bookie to decide which team has the high probability to win the match and they will give odds accordingly. When bet size is increasing in one option, the bookies will always continue to reduce the odds.

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May 08, 2026, 11:10:44 AM
 #53

Lastly; Do you also think that they go book those games on other gambling site?

Is there anyone who can really predict what will happen in the future? Even if they can guess accurately, it is only the result of analysis and prediction. They could be wrong, and I think they would not bet on other betting sites to make a profit. They make money from their own betting sites, so why bother trying to bet elsewhere?

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May 08, 2026, 11:17:03 AM
 #54

I do not agree that owners are gambling on other sites, most regulated jurisdictions have very strict Conflict of Interest laws. Casino owner or bookie has access to Insider Information and Flow Data, which would give him/her unfair advantage. Allowing them to bet would make it extremely easy for them to exploit markets or hedge against their own risk and adversely affect the typical player. For them booking games elsewhere, big bookies do have system of Re-insurance, or Global Liquidity Pools which allows them to hedge against massive risks they take, but it is through professional financial channels other than by throwing random bet at competitor website. Idea of system is to make house that always wins and not for them to be playing game.

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May 08, 2026, 11:20:14 AM
 #55

No one have an idea of the team to win a match, the only used their professionalism to determine who is likely to win it and this is why they apply both the statistics and psychological reasoning to determine the odd they give on the bookie they set, we could also play against all for anything and still stand the chance of raining without considering the odds they were given by the bookies because some of the conditions may tends to change along the way as they perform while playing.

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May 08, 2026, 11:36:47 AM
 #56

They don’t what will be the result but I can say they a good tool or method to analyze pick.

I was checking the odds for the recent OKC and Lakers match before the started. I noticed they offer a handicap points of +/- 15 pts and it stays on that offer even though the game is close.

The 4th give opportunity for OKC to increase their gap to 20 until they close the game to 18 gap meaning the 15pts margin is well predicted for the bookie that it will a blowout game despite Lakers showing a good fight on 1st to 3rd quarter.
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May 08, 2026, 11:52:37 AM
 #57

OP I would not agree with your assertions here but I would agree to the fact of the possibility of bookies having experts or whatever you call them to analyse games before hand so they could know how to place their ods based on the performance of the team's in their previous games. I don't think winners of games are easily predicted that way because they themselves know more about it and would be difficult to predict it and if it is that easy to do such prediction, then bettors would be losing heavily to casino and sports bookies.

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May 08, 2026, 01:04:46 PM
 #58

From what I have observed or been noticing about bookies. Do you think they do have professionals who gambles and gives them analysis on every match that is to play or featured on their gambling site.

Next, do you also think that is those people that gives them the out before they allocates odds to teams that are playing on that week, and they would use such statistics to analyze odds and distribute them to club that are to play.

Lastly; Do you also think that they go book those games on other gambling site? Do you also think that they should be restricted from Gambling casinos operator shouldn't bet or other gambling site because they could exploit the site with reason that they are casino owners which should be restricted because they could use the advantage of them knowing how everything works to scam others?
Just as they ban players not to gamble.
I could remember one certain time in my country during international FIFA world cup were one certain option Link to the ears of gamblers and the option circulated and when i saw the option and the odds attached to it, i said to myself that this option can only link out through the bookmarks because so many gamblers that came across such option stake it with a huge amount of money and when the betting site noticed a numerous of winning all over the country, so when the betting site managers complain for great lost and they can be able to pay the gamblers won their ticket using that link option, the only option left the bookmarks and betting site managers is to cancel the those that won and return their money to them. Is from their i know that bookmarks knows the teams to win and yet they will still put the options that will be more benefit to the betting site managers than the gamblers and that is why we all as gamblers needs to gamble wisely.

R


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May 08, 2026, 01:20:12 PM
 #59

Sometimes you can’t help but think so, but I imagine they have algorithms optimised for calculating probabilities that take into account recent results, the team’s form, injuries, individual player statistics and who knows how many other metrics. Then again, I won’t deny that match fixing often occurs in football matches, carried out by players and match fixers, and we cannot rule out the possibility that some bookmakers might become aware of the results.
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May 08, 2026, 01:46:26 PM
 #60

Sometimes when you fake something they become reality, it favours some people to be bookers and pretend to know just to make money, this is all I am seeing, believe at your own risk though.

Why can't I do the needful myself? I believe that they have their ways too but most of the times they have been proven wrong, if they are experts like they claimed many gamblers will be using them till date.

How many gamblers are you seeing talking great about these bookies? Not so many, because there was a time when they believe in bookies and they got pulled by the rug they stood on.

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