Don't overthink -WIN

[Hispo]

And then I even laughed. Why? What does it mean to bet on an event that has no concrete details? An infinite number of variables that even the most modern computers can't control. They can't even foresee the future. This is a path that humans and all technological solutions cannot penetrate. Want to fool God himself? I can only wish you success in this endeavor. You shouldn't play with fire. It's incredibly dangerous.

It is a fact entropy is a powerful thing and both human beings are computers cannot over-power it according to laws of thermodynamics. Some people choose to take shelter in their own magical thinking or try to rationalize their success or defeat, trying to find some patterns during their sessions, even of those patterns are completely fake and do not have anything to do with one's session results.

It is okey if you feel like laughing to the way some people believe they have some kind of control over their money once it is deposited and gambled on casinos, because it is kind of silly, if you kind about it.
But for thousands, or even millions of people, these illusions are serious business.

If mentality could easily bring money for us during gambling sessions, then casinos would be obviously bankrupt and the most positive people on the planet would also be the richest.

[Sim_card]

Honestly overthinking is causing anxiety and depression for person, and that’s why what ever situations that he/she find themselves the best thing is too remain silent and pray for better days ahead than thinking about different things; most of the gambles done analysis their bets well which is why most of they lose and when their losing instead of them to think wisely and reduce the money they use bet, but they will be thinking that if they bet with large amounts of money the return will be higher they don’t know that the gambling doesn’t works in that way.

Some gamblers will start calculating how much will be their profits if they win the game and that will make them not think twice before using big amount of money to stake on the game. Don't always think about profit all the time that you want to gamble so that, you can be able to gamble responsible. Gambling isn't a bed of roses.

[Africolo]

Have you ever been in a situation where you were too confident on a game, but still lost in the end? That is usually because we are overthinking. We focus too much on the stats we see and think that is already enough to win, but in reality, it is not that simple. The oddsmakers also know those stats, and they set the line based on how people are likely going to think.

Let me give an example from the games yesterday.

First game was Sixers vs Knicks. In Game 1, the Knicks won by more than 30 points, so in the next game with almost the same opening line, people probably thought it would be another blowout. Sixers were not playing good in the first meeting, and with Embiid announced out, most bettors would easily think this was a sure win for the Knicks. But what happened? Sixers were +7.5 and only lost by 6 points. Even if you bet them in the first half, Sixers still covered the handicap.

Second game was Spurs vs Wolves. Spurs lost to the Wolves in Game 1, and the line was around -9.5 for Spurs. People probably thought that was too high because the Wolves already beat them, so taking Wolves +9.5 looked easy. But what happened? Spurs beat the Wolves by 30+ points.

So with that, we can see that this is really a business. Oddsmakers know what could possibly happen, and they set the line based on that. In the end, the sharp side still wins most of the time.

So if you are interested in my thoughts today, I have the Cavaliers +3.5. That line looks too low to me, and I think many people will believe the Pistons can win again because they are at home.

This is one thing that frustrates people which is over confidence and depending too much on gambling and their stats, we all know gambling is unpredictable and no matter how you think you have attained some knowledge in the game you can't win without some elements of luck, a friend of mine came to me last week and was boasting how he will win a game and he said the person that sent him the games said it's a sure game and nothing under the sun will make him not to win and I told him to calm down and don't trust stats because you will get disappointed at the long run.

One should not overthink and feel very confident that he or she will win due to some stats, odds and team performances he might have used in staking the game you will see some gamblers begining to calculate what he will use the money for and yet he hasn't won the game and it leads to depression when you don't win.

[Yorubek]

Honestly overthinking is causing anxiety and depression for person, and that’s why what ever situations that he/she find themselves the best thing is too remain silent and pray for better days ahead than thinking about different things; most of the gambles done analysis their bets well which is why most of they lose and when their losing instead of them to think wisely and reduce the money they use bet, but they will be thinking that if they bet with large amounts of money the return will be higher they don’t know that the gambling doesn’t works in that way.

Some gamblers will start calculating how much will be their profits if they win the game and that will make them not think twice before using big amount of money to stake on the game. Don't always think about profit all the time that you want to gamble so that, you can be able to gamble responsible. Gambling isn't a bed of roses.

Confidence is good, but too much of it is never good. Using the right research and strategy increases the chances of winning but it cannot be completely confirmed. What we expect while gambling may not be the result we expect at the end of the day. Winning through gambling depends a lot on luck, so no matter how much research we do or strategy we use, if luck is not good then it is never possible to get the result as expected.

[Achalugo BTC]

Confidence is good, but too much of it is never good. Using the right research and strategy increases the chances of winning but it cannot be completely confirmed. What we expect while gambling may not be the result we expect at the end of the day. Winning through gambling depends a lot on luck, so no matter how much research we do or strategy we use, if luck is not good then it is never possible to get the result as expected.

Right, things get messy if they gets out of hand, that's why over-confidence is not good because its can destroys one's joy and turn it into something different from joy and once gambling deviates from being entertainment, then its better to walk away and do it in a right way but if one can't maintain the fun intact, that way they will enjoy gambling without any much stress of undergoing any pressure or any mental stress.

[Odusko]

After you may have done all your analysis and professional stats analysis of the game and come up with your winnings forecast, you still need to depend so much on luck to be able to win the game finally, this is very important because once you build too much expectations and confidence in your own strategy to win, you may get disappointed in the end when the results doesn't go the way you thought.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

Let me give an example from the games yesterday.

First game was Sixers vs Knicks. In Game 1, the Knicks won by more than 30 points, so in the next game with almost the same opening line, people probably thought it would be another blowout. Sixers were not playing good in the first meeting, and with Embiid announced out, most bettors would easily think this was a sure win for the Knicks. But what happened? Sixers were +7.5 and only lost by 6 points. Even if you bet them in the first half, Sixers still covered the handicap.

Second game was Spurs vs Wolves. Spurs lost to the Wolves in Game 1, and the line was around -9.5 for Spurs. People probably thought that was too high because the Wolves already beat them, so taking Wolves +9.5 looked easy. But what happened? Spurs beat the Wolves by 30+ points.

So with that, we can see that this is really a business. Oddsmakers know what could possibly happen, and they set the line based on that. In the end, the sharp side still wins most of the time.

Well, I perfectly understand the examples you gave but one important thing to also consider or put into consideration Is that not every game or match ends up playing out exactly this way the examples you gave played out.
Sports is a dynamic game where outcomes don't always remain the same or uses the same pattern all the time, thing change from time to time and no matter how good a team is, sometimes, lack of luck can be a good reason why they will end up losing a match majority thought they would win, and this can be vice versa as well.

Ive sometime in the past ended up losing bets where I completely believed that the team I placed my bet on would win, the loss was absolutely unbelievable but then, it is what it is, this is one of the reasons why outcomes in sports games can't be accurately predicted most of the time.

[leonair]

Have you ever been in a situation where you were too confident on a game, but still lost in the end? That is usually because we are overthinking. We focus too much on the stats we see and think that is already enough to win, but in reality, it is not that simple. The oddsmakers also know those stats, and they set the line based on how people are likely going to think.

Aside getting misled by the stats or whichever means of data we sources our strategies to predict the games, overconfident can be heartbreaking when we loose the game because our mindset had already taken side that the game is a goal with full assurance.
This overconfident also lead to giving false hope where we can even bet with huge amount of money that we can not afford to loose.
One thing too to understand is that if our instincts doesn't have confidence on our decision because second thoughts won't let us play the game not until we're unrealistically convinced.

Gambling Winning and Loss No one can guarantee when he will win and when he will lose no matter how much potential he has to win. I play blackjack at maximum time sometimes I think I will win this bet because at that time I have 21 points but the match is drawn and despite having 20 and the dealer having bad cards he wins with 21. In gambling nothing can be guaranteed so the more over thinking there is and the more over confidence there is the more you will lose in gambling. So there should not be over confidence in a matter which depends on luck.

[AmoreJaz]

After you may have done all your analysis and professional stats analysis of the game and come up with your winnings forecast, you still need to depend so much on luck to be able to win the game finally, this is very important because once you build too much expectations and confidence in your own strategy to win, you may get disappointed in the end when the results doesn't go the way you thought.

So much so that for analyzing stats, the first thing that you need to do is to make sure you are using your extra money so you won't be subjected to a very tight financial situation. Thus, even if you don't overthink, you know for sure you are not ruining your financials.

[rachael9385]

After you may have done all your analysis and professional stats analysis of the game and come up with your winnings forecast, you still need to depend so much on luck to be able to win the game finally, this is very important because once you build too much expectations and confidence in your own strategy to win, you may get disappointed in the end when the results doesn't go the way you thought.

Luck is an important factor that cannot be erased when it comes to gambling but it is quite unfortunate that a lot of gamblers believe so much in their strategies and forget that they also need luck as well. No one can be a master of the game, at some point a lot of gamblers realize that strategies increases their chances of winning but it doesn't really guarantee winning.

[ZeroVinsonN]

Honestly overthinking is causing anxiety and depression for person, and that’s why what ever situations that he/she find themselves the best thing is too remain silent and pray for better days ahead than thinking about different things; most of the gambles done analysis their bets well which is why most of they lose and when their losing instead of them to think wisely and reduce the money they use bet, but they will be thinking that if they bet with large amounts of money the return will be higher they don’t know that the gambling doesn’t works in that way.

Some gamblers will start calculating how much will be their profits if they win the game and that will make them not think twice before using big amount of money to stake on the game. Don't always think about profit all the time that you want to gamble so that, you can be able to gamble responsible. Gambling isn't a bed of roses.

Gamblers will never not be thinking about the profit they can get if they win, it's a part of the rush that pushes people to gamble in the first place, what they should do is watch out for how much profit they are aiming for from any particular bet they place, wanting more will lead to them increasing their stakes which will in turn lead to them losing more money at the end of the day if they lose the bet they placed, people just need to be able to bring themselves to control their impulses and gamble within their limits.

[TheUltraElite]

Sometimes you just bet and get it over with, why give your head a headache by thinking too much? End of the day you will either win or lose, choosing a team that has performed better makes your bet more likely to be the winner one but obviously does not guarantee it.

Either way, analysis should be such that we dont get stuck in it but rather reach a decision from it. To bet or not to bet should not be the thing, but then regret should also not come in when the bet loses.

If you are fine with that then dont overthink.

[Tetu100]

Some gamblers will start calculating how much will be their profits if they win the game and that will make them not think twice before using big amount of money to stake on the game. Don't always think about profit all the time that you want to gamble so that, you can be able to gamble responsible. Gambling isn't a bed of roses.

Isn't that rediculus? how can someone start budgeting what is yet to be won, lol that is the most funniest I have ever had. Gamble is a game of chance so thinking of winning it and making budget on things to do with money when is not yet confirmed is very wrong and it's a bit putting yourself in a kind of pressure that wouldn't go down well with you so it's advisable we take off that mindset so that we wouldn't start complicating things in our gambling streak.

[maydna]

After you may have done all your analysis and professional stats analysis of the game and come up with your winnings forecast, you still need to depend so much on luck to be able to win the game finally, this is very important because once you build too much expectations and confidence in your own strategy to win, you may get disappointed in the end when the results doesn't go the way you thought.

Luck is an important factor that cannot be erased when it comes to gambling but it is quite unfortunate that a lot of gamblers believe so much in their strategies

That is why you don't have to expecting high on your prediction, just analyze, choose the team you think can win, enjoy and let what will happens. We need luck to win but we don't know when luck comes so we just gamble on the games that we know so we can analyze without difficult.

But we can't say anything to those who believing their strategies and let them see the results later and learned from their experience.

[fruktik]

It is a fact entropy is a powerful thing and both human beings are computers cannot over-power it according to laws of thermodynamics. Some people choose to take shelter in their own magical thinking or try to rationalize their success or defeat, trying to find some patterns during their sessions, even of those patterns are completely fake and do not have anything to do with one's session results.

It is okey if you feel like laughing to the way some people believe they have some kind of control over their money once it is deposited and gambled on casinos, because it is kind of silly, if you kind about it.
But for thousands, or even millions of people, these illusions are serious business.

If mentality could easily bring money for us during gambling sessions, then casinos would be obviously bankrupt and the most positive people on the planet would also be the richest.

That's exactly what I'm saying. People want to immerse themselves in a world of illusions and create a whole new world for themselves, one that's so pleasant to be in. I feel sorry for them. Reality isn't a joke and will put everything in its place. You need to take it seriously. It doesn't forgive mistakes.

You shouldn't just drift along like a dead fish. You need to find your own path, one that's in harmony with reality. Why? So that you can accurately calculate your chances of winning.

[Fredomago]

Confidence is good, but too much of it is never good. Using the right research and strategy increases the chances of winning but it cannot be completely confirmed. What we expect while gambling may not be the result we expect at the end of the day. Winning through gambling depends a lot on luck, so no matter how much research we do or strategy we use, if luck is not good then it is never possible to get the result as expected.

Right, things get messy if they gets out of hand, that's why over-confidence is not good because its can destroys one's joy and turn it into something different from joy and once gambling deviates from being entertainment, then its better to walk away and do it in a right way but if one can't maintain the fun intact, that way they will enjoy gambling without any much stress of undergoing any pressure or any mental stress.

It's true that if things get out of hand then it can result to a negative impact on both physical and financial side, you should always have that control over your emotions, just play and take things as part of your enjoyment or if you are a serious gambler better to keep your strategy intact and not to mess with your plan, most of those who thinks that they've got a winning plan mostly losses a lot as they unable to take advantage of luck that they've got and just  keep on pushing for more then lose after.

[Findingnemo]

Don't get fooled by the odds, when you know the game in and out then you also can find the misplaced odds or it simply because the other team has been running better in recent days but haven't played against each other.

Just think about your choice but once you made the decision don't beat yourself for the results which is not really in your hands.

[GeorgeJohn]

That is why you don't have to expecting high on your prediction, just analyze, choose the team you think can win, enjoy and let what will happens. We need luck to win but we don't know when luck comes so we just gamble on the games that we know so we can analyze without difficult.

But we can't say anything to those who believing their strategies and let them see the results later and learned from their experience.

From experience, no gambling predictions that's perfect, and nobody that have a particular strategies to play in gambling and make profit, the most important thing a gambler should know...Is that, gambling winning doesn't come every time, And most times you can experience losses why choosing a team you think that can make you win and at the end you lose...

A gambler is not even suppose to be thinking of profit making everytime in gambling, So i know that in gambling, many things are involved, and that's why we're supposed to have a budget and limits so that we will not gamble above our budget...

[Crypto_Timothy]

Have you ever been in a situation where you were too confident on a game, but still lost in the end? That is usually because we are overthinking. We focus too much on the stats we see and think that is already enough to win, but in reality, it is not that simple. The oddsmakers also know those stats, and they set the line based on how people are likely going to think.

Gambling is one the oldest activities till date and it has his psychological effect on the way we think and do things. Basically why they try to advise not to be addicted to it. Now that being said, if you can define each gambling session you have, set how much you want to gamble and also set how many times will you place a bet. I can bet if you have all these definitions before your session and you actually listen to yourself, there is a very good chance you will lose less money when you gamble.

[Versatile_choice]

Luck is an important factor that cannot be erased when it comes to gambling but it is quite unfortunate that a lot of gamblers believe so much in their strategies and forget that they also need luck as well. No one can be a master of the game, at some point a lot of gamblers realize that strategies increases their chances of winning but it doesn't really guarantee winning.

Believing in strategy is not actually bad but we don't need to rely too much on our strategy like, that's the only thing we need. of course we also need luck before our strategy would work, without the help of luck then our effort or the strategy we adopt might just be in vain so luck should not be disregarded. as a gambler you need luck before your strategy can work for you, And you're right when you said alot of gamblers realized that strategy increases wining and I think some already knew about it that is why they don't rely too much on thier strategy because they know it can only bring them closer to luck but doesn't give any guarantee.