By 2044, the simplest ASIC will likely consume ten kilowatts and be unsuitable for home mining. Large
I believe the exact opposite is going to happen, unless btc price becomes ridiculously high when there a small profit to be made -- it will be the hobbyist and enthusiasts who mine btc, just like how it started back then before the large greedy companies got into the game.
2012 10,500,000 coins left price floated 6 to 30 bucks this year
2016 5,250,000 coins left price was 400-800
2020 2,625,000 coins left price was 4000-9000
2024 1,312,500 coins left price was 40,000-100,000
2028 656,250 coins left price will need to be near 200,000
2032 328,125 coins left price will need to be higher than 200,000
2036 164,062.5 coins left price has to be higher than 400,000
2040
2044
2048
I tend to think mining crashes down the road.