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Author Topic: Bitcoin may not go up more than $78000 in May again  (Read 170 times)
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May 27, 2026, 11:37:41 PM
 #21

The weekend is around the corner and the selling pressure seems to be high so from the look of things, $78,000 is not going to happen again in a few days. In fact, the focus should be on the short term downward trend? Do I think we could go towards $69K, hell yeah.

Iran has agreed to hand over its uranium—which is the key driver here—and the US is prepared to lift some of the sanctions. This sets the stage for a bullish trend in June, with BTC finally breaking out and securing a foothold above $80K by month-end.
Why do you sound like AI? Do you even know what is going on with the negotiations right now?

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Today at 12:42:55 AM
 #22

Nonsense, did you just associate that news with the trendline you made? I don't think that's how to analyze the market, you should use existing indicators. Instead of installing such a trendline, if you only install such a trendline, there is a high chance of misplacement.

In the end, the price you mentioned will be an expectation that never happens. Manual trendlines are not effective to be used as a price reference, you have to use the automatic indicator first and then use the trendline.

In fact, what I see is no momentum indicator on your chart, which is currently below 50% which indicates a bearish is underway. Then you say the price is going to go towards $90,000, I guess that's just your expectation.

He might have a unique style of trading. Not all traders have a similar way to analyze the market. There are people that rely much on price action by drawing a trend line like he did, and there are also traders that rely much on indicators. There is no right or wrong here since we are just speculating on the possible next outcome of the price.

If you're a price action trader just like him, then he is going to stay using it instead of using the indicator like a moving average or EMA to determine the trend.
Since you mention the indicator, I believe you analyze the chart with your own with EMA 200. This is where the price actually rejected recently, which makes you sure that this is bearish.

Well, in the long-term view, yes, this is bearish. With the help of momentum indicators like RSI, then it will confirm your doubt that the market is bearish.

That guy is actually looking only for a short-term view, but his prediction can also be possible. Here's my view based on his analysis:



A 4-hour time frame has a different view.

Using the Fibonacci tool, the price is approaching the golden zone area between 50% and 61.8%; this is usually a normal retracement for the uptrend. I'm using an indicator to get less noise to determine the price action that shows LL, LH, HL, and HH (L means "low" and H means "high"). Using this, it shows that we are bullish on currently filling up the retracement levels.

I made a drawing with the blue pen. Sorry for the ugly drawing; I just want to illustrate what he wants to show us that I think it could be possible. The only problem is on the RSI it shows differently; we still have a strong bearish (draw with RED), which invalidates his perspective. Look at the RSI (blue line); it shows a sharp down, while the MFI (red line) is a sign that there's been heavy and aggressive selling recently.

The whole green between 74k and 76k is supposed to be a support zone but was later broken. The only thing right now to validate his prediction is if the RSI creates a divergence or if there's upcoming news that can help shift the market to bullish.

This is a 4-hour view that shows an uptrend, but in the daily time frame we are bearish, and in the 1-hour time frame we are also bearish, and if we go using the technical meters, we are still bearish.



Honestly, price action is fine, but that guy needs to check the multiple time frames first at least to validate his prediction. Well, we can't blame them since all traders have different styles of analysis; this guy might have a different way that we can't see.

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Alpen
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Today at 01:50:36 AM
 #23

Why do you sound like AI? Do you even know what is going on with the negotiations right now?

Yes, I know the Persians well. With the negotiations, it's the same as always. Iran masterfully walks them right up to the edge. Trump will be negotiating with them until the end of his presidential term.

But they will have to give up the uranium. That step needs to be taken to squeeze as many concessions out of the US as possible
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Today at 04:17:57 AM
 #24

The bearish seems started now as the price down to $74,250 but no need afraid because the price will go like that. If the price still down and break the barrier of $74,000 and goes down, you get time to buy at a low.

I agree with you that Bitcoin may not rise again this month or maybe will continue next month. But that will be a different story if the rest of this year Bitcoin still going down, we may see the bear coming so be careful and prepare your money to buy.

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Today at 05:13:09 AM
 #25

There are 5 days left in May, bitcoin got to $78090 not long ago before falling back to $76500 which is the price presently. Did you check the daily candles? I used BB for it. Did you see double top? The first was on 21st and the second was today.

I do not know what will happen in the month of June, but this has shown us that bitcoin may not rise again this month above $78200.

Why did I post this on this thread? Swing traders and other traders should be able to answer that. I hope the month of June will not be bearish, but triple top in another month could indicate bear market.

The beginning of May was very good and the market was moving very well, touching $82k. However, no one expected such a decline in the market by the end of May. We can already see that the Bitcoin market has touched $72k, although it seems that this is leading the market towards a bear market. However, if many people expect a change in the Bitcoin market in June, it seems that this is very unlikely, but it may move towards a bear market. The way the market is going towards a decline, it does not seem that the Bitcoin market will do very well in June, but the market may go towards a recession for a few days and then it is more likely to become bearish again.

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