Speculative posts for June

[MarjorieZimmermanGinger]

June started with a bitcoin price of $73,680. I may be wrong, but how May ended makes June look somehow, I hope this month will not end in red, but that is what I am thinking will happen. This is just for fun, not an advise for swing and any other type of trader.

Market movements are always uncertain and we must be wise in predicting the direction of movement. If someone involved in swing trading makes the wrong decision, their trading will end in losses in conditions like the current one. That's why in current market conditions, swing trading is not a good option for those who don't fully understand analysis, as Bitcoin's trajectory can change so quickly. While some of us hope for more opportunities to see Bitcoin move better in the future, it's difficult to predict its price in current conditions. Therefore, having fun should also be marked by more profitable conditions than experiencing losses at a time like this.

[kawetsriyanto]

It may or may not happen. There are no rules or guarantees that after a sharp drop, Bitcoin must rebound.

After a sharp drop, usually BTC experiences sideways or raises gradually. Even there is no guarantee about this, this mostly happens so far. At least, we can see this during this year.

Given the geopolitical situation and the global financial market context, capital is currently flowing into AI. The opposite is also possible, Bitcoin could continue to decline further instead of recovering. So always prepare for both scenarios rather than betting on a single outcome.

In fact, BTC price recovers gradually after it dropped to around $59k-$60k in the early of this month. However, I agree that we must be ready with any unexpected situation. I have prepared some plans if there is another huge dump or huge pump. I am aware, we can't solely rely on a single plan, especially in crypto market that is basically unpredictable.

Perhaps I am a fairly conservative investor, and the reason I still believe Bitcoin could fall further is that I still believe in its 4-year cycle. Based on what has happened in previous bear cycles and if history repeats itself, bitcoin could form its bottom by the end of this year.

I also still believe in 4 years cycle. Sure, the lowest price should be in this year. Next year, BTC price should gradually increase. Meanwhile in 2028 and in 2029, it is probably the time for bullish. So, we don't miss the chance to buy Bitcoin as many as possible in this year.

To me, Bitcoin's rise to $84k in the past few day is just a temporary recovery, and that is why I am not particularly excited about it.

Indeed. It was just temporary. We all could see that BTC price dropped to below $60k after it jumped to above $80k. We can expect for the constant raise during this bearish season. There will be always the chance for another decline at any time.

[Orpichukwu]

June started with a bitcoin price of $73,680. I may be wrong, but how May ended makes June look somehow, I hope this month will not end in red, but that is what I am thinking will happen. This is just for fun, not an advise for swing and any other type of trader.

The month of June seems to get very long and not in a hurry to finish, lol. I'm saying this because of how many times the market has swung before settling for the area it is now; let's see if it will go above $70k before the end of June or if it has within the $63k-$67k level.

[laijsica]

June started with a bitcoin price of $73,680. I may be wrong, but how May ended makes June look somehow, I hope this month will not end in red, but that is what I am thinking will happen. This is just for fun, not an advise for swing and any other type of trader.

The month of June seems to get very long and not in a hurry to finish, lol. I'm saying this because of how many times the market has swung before settling for the area it is now; let's see if it will go above $70k before the end of June or if it has within the $63k-$67k level.

An uptrend has formed and there is still about half of the current month left. The price is moving above $65k and the market is probably preparing for a strong bull run. I think Bitcoin has passed the correction period. The remaining part of the month will likely see a price increase and $74k -$80k.

[DanWalker]

An uptrend has formed and there is still about half of the current month left. The price is moving above $65k and the market is probably preparing for a strong bull run. I think Bitcoin has passed the correction period. The remaining part of the month will likely see a price increase and $74k -$80k.

What signs on the chart suggest that Bitcoin is forming a sustainable uptrend? In my observation, what is happening and Bitcoin surpassing $65k is merely a reaction to the peace agreement in the Middle East.

This is good news, but it is not enough to confirm that capital will return to the market and that the uptrend will resume.
War is not the only factor that impacts and drives the market. We need to watch the market further and see more confirming signals before concluding that the bullish trend has truly returned.

[summonerrk]

MM & arbitrage: The ETF mechanism as a market maker: funds became margin buyers on the rise and margin sellers on the decline, and IBIT pulled the outflow along with it. Macro-allocator funds were shifting from "unprofitable" BTC to income-producing securities in anticipation of a possible rate hike.
If you recall, April yielded +$2.44 billion (the strongest month since October 2025), followed by a reversal of -$1.26 billion over six sessions, accelerating in June.
This was a pullback after two overheated months, not a structural breakdown. And now we're seeing a sharp rise amid statements from Trump and Iran and the upcoming peace agreement.

[imthegreat]

MM & arbitrage: The ETF mechanism as a market maker: funds became margin buyers on the rise and margin sellers on the decline, and IBIT pulled the outflow along with it. Macro-allocator funds were shifting from "unprofitable" BTC to income-producing securities in anticipation of a possible rate hike.
If you recall, April yielded +$2.44 billion (the strongest month since October 2025), followed by a reversal of -$1.26 billion over six sessions, accelerating in June.
This was a pullback after two overheated months, not a structural breakdown.

In June, weekly outflows from spot BTC ETFs decreased from -$1,722 million to -$319.3 million. A 5.4x, or 81%, decline.
The reversal began not with IBIT, but with the "second tier": by June 8, FBTC had already gained $59.4 million, ARKB had gained $63.1 million, and BITB had gained $14.1 million, while IBIT was still losing -$232.9 million that same day.

BlackRock only turned positive on June 12. This means that tactical money at Fidelity/Ark began buying back 2-3 sessions before the "heavy" institutional channel.
The market has passed a severe cooling phase and found structural support: sellers have been exhausted, and support at 60k is strong again.
 However, only stable inflows into ETFs (2-3 weeks) and continued on-chain accumulation will confirm a reversal.
With continued fear and reduced volatility, these are clear signs of a local bottom forming.

[bubilas]

Many analysts believe that the key level for tracking bitcoin is $67,000, which is influenced by a combination of factors, including trading volumes and moving averages. The risk associated with the strategy has not been eliminated yet, but the market is now slowly starting to ignore it. reducing tension in the Middle East may contribute to the growth of risky assets ahead of the first meeting under the leadership of Kevin Warsh. However, the signal of an increase in interest rates is likely to put pressure on cryptocurrencies. This week, all the attention is focused on the Fed's decision. Tonight, on his eightieth birthday, Trump, of course, bombarded with posts in which he vividly and colorfully described how wonderful the world would soon heal.

[Dave1]

Many analysts believe that the key level for tracking bitcoin is $67,000, which is influenced by a combination of factors, including trading volumes and moving averages. The risk associated with the strategy has not been eliminated yet, but the market is now slowly starting to ignore it. reducing tension in the Middle East may contribute to the growth of risky assets ahead of the first meeting under the leadership of Kevin Warsh. However, the signal of an increase in interest rates is likely to put pressure on cryptocurrencies. This week, all the attention is focused on the Fed's decision. Tonight, on his eightieth birthday, Trump, of course, bombarded with posts in which he vividly and colorfully described how wonderful the world would soon heal.

I think we have learn to work with the war in the Middle East. But with regards to the news on the US interest rates? It might be a very different story as usually we are going to be affected by it, specially if the FED continue to raise hike for this month.

So that is going to be interesting to see on what will be the decision or the numbers that will be released. And hopefully, it will not be as bad as what other analyst might have predicted for this month as we might go below $60k again.

[Danica22]

This week, all the attention is focused on the Fed's decision.

Inflation in May rose by 4.2% year over year, reaching its highest level in 3 years. The market has become almost certain that there will be no rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Instead, what the market is waiting for now are Kevin Warsh comments regarding the Fed's monetary policy direction in the coming months.

Let us wait and see what he has to say at his first upcoming meeting as Fed Chair.