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Author Topic: Does picking big teams guarantee frequent win?  (Read 835 times)
blockman
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June 01, 2026, 10:46:18 PM
 #61

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?
We are gamblers and in gambling, we're dependent on the chances and that's why don't take the word guarantee when we bet. Even it's with the biggest teams, they're also at risk of losing. That's why the odds are made because we can't be 100% sure if they're going to win. The tides can turn the waves into the favor of the underdogs. I did that type of sports betting strategy before of betting only to the favorites but it's not the result that I am expecting. It's just balanced that sometimes they win, sometimes they don't so think of it that unexpected outcome is always of possibility.

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June 01, 2026, 10:53:32 PM
 #62

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?
Picking top teams or big teams doesn't guarantee consistence winning but when you pick top teams, you are more likely to win the bet slip.  I know there are times big teams get defeated by small teams, but this are usually because the big team made mistakes that led to the loss, or they lack good and quality players in their squad causing their form to decline.  However, big teams win most their matches, which is why betting on them is generally preferable.

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June 01, 2026, 10:53:41 PM
 #63

We are gamblers and in gambling, we're dependent on the chances and that's why don't take the word guarantee when we bet. Even it's with the biggest teams, they're also at risk of losing. That's why the odds are made because we can't be 100% sure if they're going to win. The tides can turn the waves into the favor of the underdogs. I did that type of sports betting strategy before of betting only to the favorites but it's not the result that I am expecting. It's just balanced that sometimes they win, sometimes they don't so think of it that unexpected outcome is always of possibility.
There were even topics here before about a team with 1.01 odds still losing, so there is no such thing as guaranteed in gambling, no matter how low or high the odds are.

What we can only do is avoid being too overconfident with our pick and just bet based on our plan. Being conservative really helps, we do not need to go all in.
Think of it as a long-term game rather than one shot. The moment we know how to control our emotions, we will already avoid many wrong decisions.

 
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June 01, 2026, 11:01:39 PM
 #64

These big teams do no guarantee winning but if you follow them closely they could have a consistent reoccurring event around them that if noticed, you can get winnings from by consistently placing a bet in such, one of such is goal scoring, they may not win always but some of them make sure to always get a goal in every match.  That could be an option for you to pick on them and make consistent money form them anytime they play.

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June 01, 2026, 11:05:46 PM
 #65

Gambling on big teams can be more advantageous to gamblers, and consequently make more wins than losses for instance, gambling on teams like man city, FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, Inter Milan and Bayern Munich, These are top teams in the to European leagues, and they actually win most of their matches. However, they also drop points, and does not guarantee 100% winning.
These teams are usually not given big odds, but small odds like 1.26 or there about making bettors to combine their games with other teams with bigger odds.

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?

No, have you seen a thread wherein the odds for someone to win is 1.01 and still lost? So it means that there are no guarantee wins in gambling. Maybe your chances are higher as what you think, but anything is still possible in sports betting.

That sometimes even if you are really that good in analyzing, not just betting on big teams or the favorite, you are still going to lose at some games because there is still this element of luck that we can't measure.

 
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June 01, 2026, 11:21:59 PM
 #66

These teams are usually not given big odds, but small odds like 1.26 or there about making bettors to combine their games with other teams with bigger odds.

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?

The sport bookie will always give smaller odds to the big teams and give higher teams to the underdog and when bettors considers the payout returns, it's usually too small and it twist the psychological side of the investors to either think of staking higher amount of wager when betting on the big team or the tasty of winning big will make them consider to bet on the underdog with bigger odds.
The game of football is just an unpredictable event that you may be underestimating the small team and tk a great surprise they'll win or equalizes with the big team which was just so unexpected.
However, big team may give a winning advantage but not guaranteed.

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June 01, 2026, 11:39:37 PM
 #67

You cannot always predict these big teams, there are times that they end up losing when you least expect them to. Usually big teams have low value odds and we all know that these odds have more chances of playing out but at the same time they can also be a trap. When betting strategically you aren't just looking the fact that the team is bigger than the other, it's important to check stats.
Surely the game itself is unpredictable, that's why big team does not matter that much, its the team that managed to play the game with uncertainty mostly sustain and eventually becomes the winner. While we often see the big team is mostly winning, but if you monitor their games well, you will see that they are not constantly winning, and sometimes its the small team that is seen as the underdog beats the big team.

And as far as gambling is the main thing here, winning guarantees do not exist. Although we also have our distinct views about this regardless of how we find gambling.
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June 01, 2026, 11:46:29 PM
 #68

We are gamblers and in gambling, we're dependent on the chances and that's why don't take the word guarantee when we bet. Even it's with the biggest teams, they're also at risk of losing. That's why the odds are made because we can't be 100% sure if they're going to win. The tides can turn the waves into the favor of the underdogs. I did that type of sports betting strategy before of betting only to the favorites but it's not the result that I am expecting. It's just balanced that sometimes they win, sometimes they don't so think of it that unexpected outcome is always of possibility.
There were even topics here before about a team with 1.01 odds still losing, so there is no such thing as guaranteed in gambling, no matter how low or high the odds are.

What we can only do is avoid being too overconfident with our pick and just bet based on our plan. Being conservative really helps, we do not need to go all in.
Think of it as a long-term game rather than one shot. The moment we know how to control our emotions, we will already avoid many wrong decisions.
Yes, there were those and yet the bettor still lost money from that bet. I agree that overconfidence will also make us bet blindly. So, for every penny that we spend we can't think of it as a guarantee if the odds are very low. The chance is higher but don't take it like that because that will bring so much frustration if the expected result of the game and bet didn't come out. Protect yourself from being overconfident and by expecting a lot. You're right about not going all in with it and as well as by being conservative because it protects our minds and hearts through it.

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June 01, 2026, 11:56:24 PM
 #69

Gambling on big teams can be more advantageous to gamblers, and consequently make more wins than losses for instance, gambling on teams like man city, FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, Inter Milan and Bayern Munich, These are top teams in the to European leagues, and they actually win most of their matches. However, they also drop points, and does not guarantee 100% winning.
These teams are usually not given big odds, but small odds like 1.26 or there about making bettors to combine their games with other teams with bigger odds.

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?

I think you are on the wrong track and confusing win rate with financial gain, because low odds pay little and the house edge will erode all your return over time.

I think the main point in this betting market is not to win more, but to bet when your real estimate of chance is higher than the probability embedded in the odds. That is the kind of reasoning you need to have... if the real chance is 78%, a fair odd would be 1.28, so if the bookmaker offers 1.25, that is not advantageous for you to bet, even if the probability of winning is high... the value of your bet is underestimated.

I prefer to place more bets on fairer odds than to make a series of accumulators that could ruin my week.

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June 02, 2026, 12:07:14 AM
 #70

The top teams can always bring you some wins, but those types of wins are too risky to the point that you'll likely lose out on these types of tradeoffs. There was a thread where someone tried to crunch the numbers to see which EPL teams were profitable, and it was mostly the mid to lower table teams that were in the positive, while the top teams broke even or were slightly negative.

Mixing those small odds can make your ticket look decent, but it should be your last resort because parlays can make up a good portion of your losses, and it's the sportsbook's bread and butter.

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June 02, 2026, 03:38:06 AM
 #71

Such strategies require refinement. Betting on a major team, in and of itself, is unlikely to yield success. The reasons for the failure of such a strategy are usually simple: in matches against underdogs, a wager on the favorite will not generate a significant payout; conversely, in matches against evenly matched opponents, the risk of defeat is high—and a single loss of this kind can wipe out a long streak of previous wins. As a general rule, one should always conduct additional analysis and place bets only on those matches where a victory for the favorite is not obvious to the masses; only then is it possible to make a profit.

 
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June 02, 2026, 03:45:59 AM
 #72

Not all the time. Choosing big teams is difficult now because almost all teams are big. This World Cup is the season where I place the most bets because I enjoy it. I like to bet on teams I like and on teams I know are very good at playing, like Brazil, Argentina, Portugal, Spain, France. Those are teams that make a difference; it's difficult to go wrong with those teams. I do bet in these cases on the teams that are considered big.

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June 02, 2026, 04:49:23 AM
 #73

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?
I don't think so, if picking of top team will make people win how come we don't win frequently? Because as far as I know majority of gambler or bettors chose big team to win and yet they lose. I believe thar gambling win is basically on luck, and of course we have deliberated on this on several occasions. There is no perfect strategy to win, wether you chose theost strongest team or look for the smallest odd that proves their ability or chance of winning, they will still fail you. What you should know is that no man is perfect and this game is played by man that isn't perfect, so tell me how you can be guaranteed that strong team will win when they themselves Dont know how  the outcome will be.

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June 02, 2026, 05:07:28 AM
 #74

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?

Sometimes it works, and sometimes it doesn’t. I’m saying this from my personal experience. Moreover, big teams often have lower odds, so if you win five matches in a row and lose the sixth match, you could end up back at your starting bankroll. Hence, it’s always better to do your research before betting. Go through the playing conditions, players’ form, and other relevant factors, then decide where to place your bet. At the end of the day, it’s your hard-earned money, so choose wisely and try to avoid unnecessary losses. A fan favorite does not always guarantee a win.

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June 02, 2026, 06:48:15 AM
 #75

Big teams may have a greater chance of winning, but the thing to remember is that anything can happen in a match. Not a few small teams can keep up with the big teams and even beat them. I certainly have a favorite team called the big team but my favorite team does not always win there are times when defeat occurs

Big teams can have a greater chance of winning but anything can happen, so if you bet reasonably even with the big team we choose.

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June 02, 2026, 09:06:01 AM
 #76

Gambling on big teams can be more advantageous to gamblers, and consequently make more wins than losses for instance, gambling on teams like man city, FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, Inter Milan and Bayern Munich, These are top teams in the to European leagues, and they actually win most of their matches. However, they also drop points, and does not guarantee 100% winning.
These teams are usually not given big odds, but small odds like 1.26 or there about making bettors to combine their games with other teams with bigger odds.

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?

Yes, gambling on big teams can be advantageous most times, but while doing this as a gambler, you have to be very selective, there are some big teams that are not consistent in their winning, and some are also very consistent , so while choosing the top teams ensure you also consider the strength of the opposing team, because for a top team to win all their matches in a league is not possible, but sometimes a big team can remain unbeaten in a season, but can't win all their matches.
Gambling on the top teams have very great advantage more especially when they play against weaker teams, though their odds are usually very small but most times they win their matches.

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June 02, 2026, 09:15:56 AM
 #77

Gambling on big teams can be more advantageous to gamblers, and consequently make more wins than losses for instance, gambling on teams like man city, FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, Inter Milan and Bayern Munich, These are top teams in the to European leagues, and they actually win most of their matches. However, they also drop points, and does not guarantee 100% winning.
These teams are usually not given big odds, but small odds like 1.26 or there about making bettors to combine their games with other teams with bigger odds.

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?

This is yet another discussion about whether it's worth betting on favorites or not. Single bets on these kinds of matches often don't make much sense. Combining several such games into a parlay increases the overall risk of losing.

You need to analyze the opponents, their motivation, and the league or tournament standings of both teams. Then, out of all the favorites, select a few matches that appear to be the safest options, in that case, you can consider combining them. However, you should understand that the more teams you add to a parlay, the higher the risk of losing your bet. And yes, favorites lose too.

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June 02, 2026, 09:24:34 AM
 #78

You have already answered your question in your post. Betting on big teams doesn't guarantee frequent wins because only God is perfect and football is a game full of surprises. We have seen several times that the favorite ends up losing the match to the underdog. In some matches, you will hardly know which team to bet on without proper analysis and research. For example, when two big teams are playing with each other. Gambling is based on luck.

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June 02, 2026, 09:34:23 AM
 #79

Picking bigger team doesn't guarantee winning infact you even lose more because gambling is purely luck ,so thinking those big team will give you frequent win is not possible, football has so much uncertainty, anything can happen at anytime, the bigger team you had on high esteem can also disappoint .

Those big team can actually be of advantage but not always, because in the world of football so many things are bound to happen, even a small team can surprisely supercede the big one ,nothing is impossible in football and gambling world.

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June 02, 2026, 09:38:15 AM
 #80

Gambling on big teams can be more advantageous to gamblers, and consequently make more wins than losses for instance, gambling on teams like man city, FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, Inter Milan and Bayern Munich, These are top teams in the to European leagues, and they actually win most of their matches. However, they also drop points, and does not guarantee 100% winning.
These teams are usually not given big odds, but small odds like 1.26 or there about making bettors to combine their games with other teams with bigger odds.

So, does picking top teams guarantee frequent wins? What are your opinions on this?
In a match between two teams, it is easy to determine who is likely to win, such as the stronger team. This is because most of the stronger teams win, but in some matches of the tournament, the opposite results are seen. In some matches, the smaller teams win, but this is not surprising because to qualify for a tournament, teams have to go through a selection process and if they are not qualified, they cannot play in that tournament.

Strong and traditional teams perform well, but if a weak team performs well strategically, they can win. Almost everyone believes that even if they are a strong team, they have to be lucky to win. Just like in gambling, there is no fixed strategy to increase winnings, even if you are experienced, and in the end you have to depend on luck.











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