Well, since I have a small capital, I stick with 10x leverage; 2% of the total capital is my margin while sticking using SL.
In the daily time frame, since I already saw the possible scenario that the price would rebound from $82k as a retracement level for the Fibonacci sequence, I went short with only 1:2RR I didn't stop trailing this time because I was also expecting $69k to $70k to be respected, but it failed.
I don't think if this is luck, but having some skills to analyze helps me to predict the possible scenario.
I only seek retracements, but I didn't enter at $82k. I just analyze that this is the retracement level for the daily time frame. I only trade on the 1h time frame. Once the 200 EMA breaks, that is a sign for bearish for me; my retracement level where I enter is $77k.
It looks like you end up saying that trading is gambling because you added luck as one of the reasons why some traders got winning trades.
Low leverage can still encourage averaging, but martingale is very bad. Starting a trade with 0.2x leverage is very good.
Martingale is very bad; however, I saw successful traders on this, but I still can't figure out the psychology behind their strategy using martingale. I saw traders use this martingale on the countertrend system. It's too risky, and I think it only works for those who have a big capital.
The best part of a countertrend strategy is that even with a slight move, they can trade breakeven or make a profit on slight movements.
I am actually planning to try this countertrend strategy and open a sub-account for this with small capital. It looks similar to Waka Waka EA(Automated) but this one is manual.
Someone discuss this on the trading forum. I saw some traders who were successful making a profit with this strategy while applying the martingale; pretty bad. It looks riskier to me; I don't have a huge capital to do this. Based on my understanding, they have a grid or level where they are going to double their entry to avoid blowing their capital immediately. I'm still figuring out the psychology behind this and how they apply the risk management here. I saw a video of this as what others illustrate; it looks like a series of SL above the higher highs or lower lows, which their limit, I guess, is when they keep entering countertrend.
Honestly, I don't trade against the trend; that is one of my strict rules, but other traders do this, and it appears to work for them on forex. We know this one is much more stable than Bitcoin, so I was thinking this might not work. However, without trying it, we do not know if this will work or not. At least even a paper money to test this out will give us clarification if this strategy will work or not.