Months ago, when people hoped that "this time is different", this time contextually means "this market cycle, this bear market", I felt oppositely. The bear market of this cycle still has many months for its completion, and I saw no reasons to feel how it will end earlier than past market cycles and past bear markets. It's very unrealistic in my opinion, even two or three weeks ago, people thought like what will happen, will the bear market end, the bull market will start if the Peace Talk between the USA and Iran eventually leads to a Peace Deal?
People trust politics too much, and politicians do not exist to make us mere mortals better off, but to provide themselves and the elites with what they want and need. I sincerely doubt that there will be peace in that region in the near future, because while rockets are flying in all directions, all the talk about peace makes no sense.
Again I did not think it was realistic hope, and so far it seems I am right about these. The Bear will take over the market in coming months and bear market ending will be some time in very late of 2027 year, not in 2026 year.
The only positive thing that can move investors in Bitcoin has always been the halving, and perhaps this tradition will continue at the end of 2027 and after the halving in 2028. However, it is possible that in the time until then there will be bigger jumps and drops in price in relation to how inflows/outflows from spot BTC ETFs will move.