My tests with AI and betting on the World Cup

[rdluffy]

Since it's World Cup season, what better time to bet, hehe?
I've wanted to do some tests with AI for a while now, and now's the time to do it

My idea is simple:

I'll start with a bankroll of $100, and during the World Cup I'll only have that amount to bet with. I need to see how far I can go and if I can profit with the help of AI
It's a small amount, and I'll make small bets because it's a test, I'll keep this project separate from my main bets

I won't make bets solely based on the AI's opinion, I'll use a mix of my analysis and the AI's

I can use Chatgpt, Grok, and Perplexity, which are the ones I have available at the moment

I'll post my updates here


Initial bankroll: $100

My first bet is on Mexico to win, with modest odds of 1.43
The AI ​​showed me that the hosts had 16 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss in World Cup openers
Furthermore, they cited the last games of both teams as being quite unfavorable to South Africa

They mentioned the initial nervousness of the World Cup opener, suggesting I shouldn't bet on goals, and that betting on Mexico to win would be more favorable

I know there are already some topics about the World Cup, but it's a different project that I can't organize in the official topic
If there's no interest from anyone, I can stop posting so as not to generate uninteresting content

[Charles-Tim]

You posted these:

My tests with AI and betting on the World Cup

I've wanted to do some tests with AI for a while now, and now's the time to do it

So why this?

I won't make bets solely based on the AI's opinion, I'll use a mix of my analysis and the AI's

AI and human are involved, not only AI if you will not bet based on only AI analyses and predictions. But I guess the team that you will bet on would likely be what AI will also choose, but the outcome can be another thing.

[mcdouglasx]

That's an interesting experiment; I hope you can get something good out of it. Unlike regular league matches, this is a World Cup; there's no room for match-fixing or doubts here. All the teams will give it their all, and since Mexico is the host, it's your best decision. The combination of your analysis and the AI ​​is the perfect example of how the tool should be used. It's designed not to do everything for you, but to guide you to find paths that might otherwise go unnoticed.

[Merit.s]

I think with the little information that was provided to you by Ai shows that Mexico has the highest chance of winning South Africa in the ongoing match.

Mexico is already on the lead and Quinones is the goal opener with a beautiful shot which went straight into the net passing in between the goalie legs. But this is football and anything can happen.

[Mia Chloe]

~snip

Of course it's gambling lol.. the trump card can always oscillate between statistics and analysis and pure trust Una particular team and risk. I've never tried it before but for the case of a world cup series I'm pretty sure AI will give nice predictions because past events plays a huge role in most cases.

As for the match between Mexico and South Africa I think as at the time I'm writing this post Mexico already has one goal and South Africa is still at zero.

[EluguHcman]

Since it's World Cup season, what better time to bet, hehe?
I've wanted to do some tests with AI for a while now, and now's the time to do it

My idea is simple:

I'll start with a bankroll of $100, and during the World Cup I'll only have that amount to bet with. I need to see how far I can go and if I can profit with the help of AI

This is astonishing. It is exactly the nature of thread intended to create when I have the time later the day after I have thought of giving the ChatGPT a try in how profitable it can get me in this world Cup season.

I have already played the game and from what I understand, the analytical strategy of the AI happens to be taken from the stats of the teams just like we do when we analysing rhe games ourselves.

For the fact I don't trust this bots prediction, I am only going to try it once but will push further if only I finds it job profitable by winning. Else I won't give it the try on the second time.

[Powerjumboo]

If you use AI and take advantage of AI and start betting on World Cup matches based on your own analysis, I think you can succeed. But if you only rely on AI, I don't think you can make a profit and be successful because AI will make predictions based on assumptions. If AI could make correct predictions, then maybe people would have won every bet using AI. Suppose today there is a match between Mexico and South Africa, we definitely know that Mexico will win and the AI ​​here shows that Mexico will win, but I think you should give the most importance to your own analysis.

[Z_MBFM]

My first bet is on Mexico to win, with modest odds of 1.43
The AI ​​showed me that the hosts had 16 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss in World Cup openers
Furthermore, they cited the last games of both teams as being quite unfavorable to South Africa

They mentioned the initial nervousness of the World Cup opener, suggesting I shouldn't bet on goals, and that betting on Mexico to win would be more favorable

Since Ai can research a lot of things very quickly, you will get results from here very quickly and will give you a prediction based on how well a team has played in the past. The first prediction you got from Ai that Mexico will win the first match of the World Cup is quite possible and it is probably going to happen. The first match started today and Mexico is playing very well. They scored a goal early in the game and the match is now 1-0. Maybe in the second half Mexico will score another goal and South Africa will score a goal and the whole match will end 2-0. And in this, there is a very high chance that you will win your bet.

[$crypto$]

I thought you were purely betting because of the AI's opinion, but it turned out to be a mixture of analysis and your opinion, this is not much different from flashscore analysis and you decide.

Well, I will not call AI bad, because I myself sometimes use the help of AI to see the analysis data that AI provides because it is so fast information than others, I hope from a bankroll of $100 during the World Cup to get a good profit.

In the Mexico match how much did you bet? Is every match a $5/$10 bet? I hope you keep this updated as I would like to see the progress.

[Odohu]

Your first pick which is Mexico to win South Africa seem to be going very well as Mexico is already leading by a goal in the first half. The analysis by the AI is very accurate as it marries historical data with present reality to arrive at the decision which also aligns with the choice of the bookmakers based on the odd. I can say that you are putting the AI to the proper use which is for information only and the final decision to be based on you. I will monitor this thread to see the result of further bets that you will make using the AI.

[leonair]

Your first pick which is Mexico to win South Africa seem to be going very well as Mexico is already leading by a goal in the first half. The analysis by the AI is very accurate as it marries historical data with present reality to arrive at the decision which also aligns with the choice of the bookmakers based on the odd. I can say that you are putting the AI to the proper use which is for information only and the final decision to be based on you. I will monitor this thread to see the result of further bets that you will make using the AI.

Yes, the 60 minutes of the game have already ended and Mexico is still leading 1-0. Mexico will probably win this match. There is constant discussion about the game online and according to the predictions of various experts, gambling sites set odds and maximum people consider those teams in whose favor the Odd is small as a good team and in most of the matches, those teams are seen to win. Ai basically collects this information and gives a prediction like that, but Ai never guarantees any prediction. After giving a prediction, it gives a note that you should accept your own risk and place a bet. It will be op. The first match bet will probably win. Mexico still seems to be much more likely to win this match

[serjent05]

You posted these:

My tests with AI and betting on the World Cup

I've wanted to do some tests with AI for a while now, and now's the time to do it

So why this?

I won't make bets solely based on the AI's opinion, I'll use a mix of my analysis and the AI's

AI and human are involved, not only AI if you will not bet based on only AI analyses and predictions. But I guess the team that you will bet on would likely be what AI will also choose, but the outcome can be another thing.

Nice catch.  I also think that @OP will be using AI analysis 100% to make a bet.  Then what a turn off when he stated that he will also use his analysis together with AI information.  I was so baited to think that this is a good test scenario and is willing to follow this thread to see how the test goes but was disappointed by this line "I won't make bets solely based on the AI's opinion, I'll use a mix of my analysis and the AI's"

[Italian Panic]

I haven’t run any simulations myself using the AI, but I read an article by Epic Games that simulated the qualifying rounds and then the World Cup with the SEGA game Fottoball manager 2026. The result?

A final between Italy vs France, ending 3–3 after extra time, with Italy winning the World Cup on penalties. A bitter irony, given that Italy didn’t even qualify for the World Cup.
Perhaps the developers of Football Manager should integrate AI into the game; it would be a very serious undertaking.

[Gozie51]

They mentioned the initial nervousness of the World Cup opener, suggesting I shouldn't bet on goals, and that betting on Mexico to win would be more favorable

Fortunately your first AI and human analysis have worked favourable. Initially after south Africa was down by 1 goal at the first half, I thought they would come back at the second half as I feel it was just a costly defensive mistake that led to that goal. But, Mexico seem to be the better side with serious attacks on the south African side. The match has ended by 2:0 as your prediction favours winning. Lets see what your AI prediction will be at the next match. Kudos

[promise444c5]

What you want to try is no different to using the search engines and sites on it for prediction , your experiment is just going to be faster with same logic..

If you truly want to test then make use of AI solely I.e trust whatever it throws at you blindly without any extra research/analysis.

It’s an experiment right? And you don’t need to worry about about losing the$100.
Then make it an experiment.. not really gambling to get profit.

[ejikeme24]

AI and human are involved, not only AI if you will not bet based on only AI analyses and predictions. But I guess the team that you will bet on would likely be what AI will also choose, but the outcome can be another thing.

Yes, I believe anyone who understands the odd very well would bet those with lesser odd, I also bet on mexico to win even without checking Thier h2h, I only judge with Thier odds and also some of my favorite players is from there. AI seem to be guessing the outcome just like you and I does, in this case I can't even rate AI for suggesting that he should pick mexico because already we know that mexico has the highest chance of wining south Africa even though we are not too sure about it, but one thing I believe is that instead of South Africa to win they would draw the match, but as you can see Mexico is already leading with 2 South Africa non.

[retreat]

Mexico just won against South Africa, so it's a great start to your betting journey. However, I'm still unsure whether this will be a successful betting journey, as there are so many possible outcomes. Even if you use a combination of AI and your own analysis, it still doesn't guarantee a profitable bet. But, it's certainly an interesting betting journey to follow, and I'm curious to see the final outcome, whether your bankroll will double or be wiped out.

[CryptSafe]

~snip

Of course it's gambling lol.. the trump card can always oscillate between statistics and analysis and pure trust Una particular team and risk. I've never tried it before but for the case of a world cup series I'm pretty sure AI will give nice predictions because past events plays a huge role in most cases.

As for the match between Mexico and South Africa I think as at the time I'm writing this post Mexico already has one goal and South Africa is still at zero.

The card does oscillate, and this time around, it looks like it's going to be a different ball game because the friendlies I had watched are so surprising that world champions are beaten by mere teams that managed to qualify for the World Cup out of sheer luck. Anyways, it just kick-startedd lets watch and see how it goes but as for AI prediction, I can not really put my all there because it could not be accurate even if it does give out something tangible.

[nimogsm]

In any case, this will be interesting, and I've bookmarked this thread to read occasionally. It will also be interesting to know what you ask the AI ​​before each match and what factors you consider before making a choice. Good luck with your experiment.
I voted that you would come out on top at the end of the championship.

[Wiwo]

To get a real experience and since you are doing the experiments with budget of $100 that you set aside and different from your main betting balance, what I will advise is to make use of AI predictions 100% instead of mixing it with your own analysis as you said.

Gambling is gambling and you can lose with whatever tool you use to analyse the game outcomes, but AI habe been said to be near accurate but not independently accurate which make it usage 100% to prove the extent that AI analysis can go, that will be more fun.