Sticking with the Favorites : World Cup edition

[stompix]

Since the schedule on this is really weird from my point of view (GMT+2) here, I will just post a full 2 days advance from now on, after all is just picking the one with the lower odds, nothing about analyzing, nothing about thinking this, that, those, think of it like DCA, evey time there is a match you put $1 on it, no matter who plays.

Also, for those who might see small discrepancies between the odds, I always calculate the result based on SP odds, so odds at the start of he match.

4 games in:
3 wins, 1 loss!
Total wagered 4
Total win 3.27

On top of Switzerland, that is right now 1.27 favorite, we have this for the next day:

For example with the match that just ended between Canada Vs Bosnia and Herzegovina that just ended 1:1, it was expected to be an easy win with Canada for they ended up struggling to get a draw after Bosnia and Herzegovina took the lead in the first half despite having 8+ odds and Canada having lower odd around 1:45.

Things that never happened: Episode 1

[Jatiluhung]

At the World Cup, I never hesitate to pick the favorites, even if the odds aren’t always that appealing. However, while there are always surprises at the World Cup, they aren’t as frequent as in regular league competitions. All teams also have FIFA rankings, which can serve as a good indicator of their overall ability.

It’s just that I don’t always bet on every match. But choosing the favorite team seems pretty normal to me. However, there are times when I might pick an underdog like choosing Morocco over Brazil, or something like that. Because I know Morocco has a pretty good chance based on their performance. Anyway, good luck, OP, with your favorite team picks.

And I’m leaving a comment here to keep an eye on the experiments you’re doing. I’m really curious to see how the overall results turn out. 

[shawonngp]

Still, I believe the favourite team pick is not always profitable in the long term. You can expect to win some matches by picking the favourite team, nothing more. Many favourite teams can disappoint us in this World Cup, I think, because many unknown small teams are able to beat big, strong teams in this World Cup, so that many unexpected things will happen. This is just my hypothetical concept. I never unquestioningly favour picking favourites for the long term. I see team squad, defence, and attacking capabilities and considering everything, I often pick small teams also sometimes.

[Wakate]

Still, I believe the favourite team pick is not always profitable in the long term. You can expect to win some matches by picking the favourite team, nothing more. Many favourite teams can disappoint us in this World Cup, I think, because many unknown small teams are able to beat big, strong teams in this World Cup, so that many unexpected things will happen. This is just my hypothetical concept. I never unquestioningly favour picking favourites for the long term. I see team squad, defence, and attacking capabilities and considering everything, I often pick small teams also sometimes.

There are some matches I will never add to my game because I know that they can end up playing a draw instead of a win.
The world cup competition may look easy to predict but it's not if we are not careful about our selections.
Op had made an effort to make a good prediction so far and I don't think I will bet on one or two of the matches for a win except going for number of goals or both team to score.

[Mate2237]

Still, I believe the favourite team pick is not always profitable in the long term. You can expect to win some matches by picking the favourite team, nothing more. Many favourite teams can disappoint us in this World Cup, I think, because many unknown small teams are able to beat big, strong teams in this World Cup, so that many unexpected things will happen. This is just my hypothetical concept. I never unquestioningly favour picking favourites for the long term. I see team squad, defence, and attacking capabilities and considering everything, I often pick small teams also sometimes.

There are some matches I will never add to my game because I know that they can end up playing a draw instead of a win.
The world cup competition may look easy to predict but it's not if we are not careful about our selections.
Op had made an effort to make a good prediction so far and I don't think I will bet on one or two of the matches for a win except going for number of goals or both team to score.

Some games are actually traps which can end up in a goalless draw, we should be very careful especially when a big country is going up against a small country. Some of these small countries are actually in this tournament not to win , but the spoil the part of the big nations. We should be very careful when ever we are choosing are trying to pick any game.


The best option when it comes to this group stage, is to make sure that we play over . This is because there is high probability of plenty of goals coming out in this group stage of the competition placing a straight wine is something we about to cautious about.