Bitcoin Forum
June 21, 2026, 07:36:47 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 31.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 [5]  All
  Print  
Author Topic: Sticking with the Favorites : World Cup edition  (Read 728 times)
Myleschetty
Full Member
***
Offline

Activity: 1475
Merit: 116



View Profile
June 20, 2026, 10:53:39 PM
 #81

Anything to explain? Doubt it, but here it goes  Cheesy

We had thousands over hundreds over millions of topics on how choosing the favorite is bad long-term, choosing low odds is bad, how there is no strategy, how this and that and little actual data or even worse, close to none of putting the money where the quota typing is.
I actually ran this for a year, which, despite all odds, turned profitable:
Betting experiment with low odds on football main leagues!
If we do the proper analysis, determine the likelihood that the game will go in our favor, and use the match handicap to our advantage, I don't see anything wrong with picking favorites or low odds in sports betting. Even though no strategy can consistently produce positive results, at least we're putting our money where our mouth is.

no Fibonacci, no Fleshlight
due to curiosity. Do people who bet on sports also use fib?

nelson4lov
Hero Member
*****
Offline

Activity: 2842
Merit: 874


Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013


View Profile
June 20, 2026, 10:59:34 PM
 #82

Only a few favorites doing really well in this world cup otherwise PnL would've been much higher. Have you also considered backing Favorites during their live matches too? For instance, Germany odds went up 3-5x today from prematch simply because they were down 0-1 against Ivory coast and Ivory coast were out-playing. Might be something to consider so even though you do lose for backing favorites, at least you're losing at great odds.

███▄▀██▄▄
░░▄████▄▀████ ▄▄▄
░░████▄▄▄▄░░█▀▀
███ ██████▄▄▀█▌
░▄░░███▀████
░▐█░░███░██▄▄
░░▄▀░████▄▄▄▀█
░█░▄███▀████ ▐█
▀▄▄███▀▄██▄
░░▄██▌░░██▀
░▐█▀████ ▀██
░░█▌██████ ▀▀██▄
░░▀███
▄▄██▀▄███
▄▄▄████▀▄████▄░░
▀▀█░░▄▄▄▄████░░
▐█▀▄▄█████████
████▀███░░▄░
▄▄██░███░░█▌░
█▀▄▄▄████░▀▄░░
█▌████▀███▄░█░
▄██▄▀███▄▄▀
▀██░░▐██▄░░
██▀████▀█▌░
▄██▀▀██████▐█░░
███▀░░
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 [5]  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!