Are “safe bets” really safe, or just overpriced?

[Onyeeze]

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

I am not aware of this but I want to assure you that in gambling I don't think that a gambling team or platform can be able to pick up favorite to the gamblers because I know quite well that whoever that means in any gambling platform has the experience losses are also take corrections so that it will not be able to make auto repeat a such mistake again, so I want to assure you that for someone to win in gambling the person have examine the performance of the boat team very well and know the strength if they can be able to defeat their openness or not so this is one of the things that make people to win from gambling.

[Uhwuchukwu53]

Well I can't completely comprehend the safe bet, no bet is safe because from experience I have seen occasionally where the bet that one gambler pick to be safe become what failed him, sorry to use this instance looking at the world cup match between USA and Paraguay how you a better look at the risk of see them conceiving four goals with Paraguay experience in football, luck play a major role. If bet have safe bet I think it would be more of positive outcome all time without negative outcome as many gambler See's in their bet, even confidence or experience has limitations because of high level of uncertainty, anything safe bet is partially overpriced.

[Findingnemo]

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

But that is where the trap can start.

Sportsbooks already know most people will run to the favorite, so the odds or spread can become too expensive. The team may still win, but the bet itself might not be good anymore because the value is gone. This is why I’m starting to think that a safe-looking bet can still be a bad bet. Maybe the question should not be “will this team win?” but “am I paying too much for this pick?”

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

We can't really put the two words 'safe' and 'bet' together because there is no such thing. So when we think that we found one then it is just the illusion of taking the risk for nothing. This is one of the reason I just go with plain and simple math behind casino games, I mean there you have different level of calculations for winning but it is just simple, if you hit this x then you will win that much so kind of transparent but with sports betting the odds always keep chaing and it almost kind of being manipulated.

[mv1986]

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

But that is where the trap can start.

Sportsbooks already know most people will run to the favorite, so the odds or spread can become too expensive. The team may still win, but the bet itself might not be good anymore because the value is gone. This is why I’m starting to think that a safe-looking bet can still be a bad bet. Maybe the question should not be “will this team win?” but “am I paying too much for this pick?”

For those who do sports betting, do you still trust favorites when the odds are low, or do you avoid them once the price looks too expensive?

No I think sports book balance the odds according to how bets coming in step by step. It is not true that everyone goes for the favourite under any and all circumstances.

One of the best examples against it is when you a play multi bet and have three strong picks already safe and then to boost the odds a little bit, you added one big favourite with odds of easy 1.20. I think you know what I am going to say, it is the favourite that messed up your multi bet. At least those who have been placing bets for a while, know that there is no safe way ever.

[Myleschetty]

Since the game is said to be a game of chance and the odds are always against us as gamblers, I believe safe betting in gambling is a myth because nothing guarantees a winner.

Many bettors like to pick the favorite because it feels safer. Strong team, better players, better record, so it looks like the obvious side to take.

Such betting strategies, in my opinion, are used by gamblers who don't have the time to thoroughly analyze the game and don't want to miss the game event due to their enthusiasm

[Orpichukwu]

I've lost too many what I thought would be "safe bets" to lose count.
Truth of the matter is that no bet is entirely safe considering all the variance in sports betting.

Bet safety and guaranteed winning are something out of line here. Anyone believing in that based on the data they have or odds selections are leading themselves to a trap. When odds appear too low, sometimes we should question it. The bookies don't know it all, but they can be very tricky in terms of playing with our minds.

[Crypto_Timothy]

The thing with gambling is that the house never wants you to win because if you did, you would never place another bet or at least not immediately. So the house is always against you, therefore the odds and everything is usually against the player. Unless you get a fixed match there is absolutely nothing like safe bets, at least that's what I like to think because you can't truly prevent indeed.

[Fredomago]

I've lost too many what I thought would be "safe bets" to lose count.
Truth of the matter is that no bet is entirely safe considering all the variance in sports betting.

Bet safety and guaranteed winning are something out of line here. Anyone believing in that based on the data they have or odds selections are leading themselves to a trap. When odds appear too low, sometimes we should question it. The bookies don't know it all, but they can be very tricky in terms of playing with our minds.

Bookies for sure do the deligence to investigate and with more advanced technology they'll have a better way to analyze before they'll going to provide the odd that they'll going to offer, as for that I agree that it's not something that they just missed look but something that may play tricks inside your mind that more likely lead a gambler to pick it up and being upset after.

[Ziskinberg]

I guess there's really no safe bets with gambling. Everything is all about risky betting.

I don't just bet simply because its the bettors favorites. Although I'm actually more on betting what's the favorite team, favorite player, but at some point, betting blindly will often lead you to an unexpected loss. That's why if I bet on the favorite, that's because I actually see their winning edge, not because its the best choice of other players.

And when I chose the lower odds, that's because I think the winning probability is higher there compared to the higher odds.