Can peace news really make Bitcoin bounce back?

[notocactus]

well, I do think peace negotiations should have some effect on it, if not so what could be cause of the recent pumping in the price of bitcoin from yesterday when the news broke out ? Is that also another coincidence? I doubt. Ordinarily a tweet from an individual should bring about speculation Wch literally will also cause a price move!

"Buy the rumor, sell the news" and again Bitcoin market proves this saying and principle is quite right. Weeks ago, Bitcoin market recovered strongly to about $83k with rumor about peace deal negotiation and opportunity of an official peace deal later. Now the deal is on but the market price is very far below $83k, it is truly how "buy the rumor, sell the news" works.

Bitcoin market can continue to recover in coming days, and I am not predicting how high the price will reach to, but I believe that the bear market will never end because of this Peace Deal between the USA and Iran. People who imagined of such scenario and believed that the market will move with that direction are very unrealistic and perhaps they lack of experience in Bitcoin market.

[Sexylizzy2813]

So now Bitcoin reacts again because of possible US-Iran ceasefire news. Some will say this is bullish because less tension means investors are more willing to take risk again.

But isn’t that also a bit worrying?

If Bitcoin is supposed to be independent from the traditional market and global politics, why does it still move like other risk assets every time there is war fear or peace news?
Maybe this is where the debate starts. Is Bitcoin really acting like a safe haven, or is it still just another asset that follows market emotion?

I’m not saying the bounce is fake, but I also don’t think one ceasefire news is enough to say the market is already strong again.

Do you think this kind of news can start a real recovery, or is it just another short-term pump because traders found a reason to buy?

Everything we see now are all political because the statement alone can change the market movement in a second, for me these guys are in control of how we see the market today, if the war ends today that they come to an agreement believe me when I say this, in less than an 1hr if is not too much, you'd see how fast Bitcoin price will skyrocket from the current price which is $65k to $85k+ or even more. For instance when J.T won the election and when he was inaugurated we saw the changes and yes this whole struggle Bitcoin price is struggling now the war have everything to do with it, very soon we'd hard see the price dropping but my prayer is for everything to be normal again and let's see if the price won't have a positive turn.

[jcojci]

If the time for Bitcoin is the bear, the peace news maybe hodl the price not go down too far. People can take a break for a while and makes another strategy but they will research to know the situation. Bitcoin have the bear and the bull so when the time comes, the situation might following the market moves and the trend.

But Bitcoin will moves based on the market emotion where people buy and sell without stop. If you stop buy and sell, other people will replacing your position and continuing to trade. We don't need to worry, we have seen that before and experienced while we know what we need to do.

[bubilas]

So now Bitcoin reacts again because of possible US-Iran ceasefire news. Some will say this is bullish because less tension means investors are more willing to take risk again.

But isn’t that also a bit worrying?

If Bitcoin is supposed to be independent from the traditional market and global politics, why does it still move like other risk assets every time there is war fear or peace news?
Maybe this is where the debate starts. Is Bitcoin really acting like a safe haven, or is it still just another asset that follows market emotion?

I’m not saying the bounce is fake, but I also don’t think one ceasefire news is enough to say the market is already strong again.

Do you think this kind of news can start a real recovery, or is it just another short-term pump because traders found a reason to buy?

There are still more than five days before the signing. The signing will take place in Switzerland.  These five days will be used by one of the parties to maximize earnings on short futures.
That is, now that the same crypto has shot up, someone will put up the maximum short and then bang missiles on one side.  That's all.
My main question is who will be the first to do it.  I know for sure that Iran immediately understood what Trump was doing in this war, so they also became active players.  They will run to the distilleries to disrupt this truce in order to ruin everything again. It makes sense to do this not on Sunday, but from the beginning of the markets.
We're waiting to see who does it first.

[fuguebtc]

Bitcoin market can continue to recover in coming days, and I am not predicting how high the price will reach to, but I believe that the bear market will never end because of this Peace Deal between the USA and Iran. People who imagined of such scenario and believed that the market will move with that direction are very unrealistic and perhaps they lack of experience in Bitcoin market.

I guess the price could reach $70k, or even $75k. But yes, no matter how high Bitcoin climb, a bull market will not begin just because the war ends. Those who believe that are oversimplifying the issue

Markets are driven by many different factor, and a single event is rarely enough to completely change a long term trend


Those who believe that the end of the war will trigger a bull market should remember bear market started in November and Bitcoin had already fallen to $60k before the war began.

[WatChe]

"Buy the rumor, sell the news" and again Bitcoin market proves this saying and principle is quite right. Weeks ago, Bitcoin market recovered strongly to about $83k with rumor about peace deal negotiation and opportunity of an official peace deal later. Now the deal is on but the market price is very far below $83k, it is truly how "buy the rumor, sell the news" works.

Bitcoin market can continue to recover in coming days, and I am not predicting how high the price will reach to, but I believe that the bear market will never end because of this Peace Deal between the USA and Iran. People who imagined of such scenario and believed that the market will move with that direction are very unrealistic and perhaps they lack of experience in Bitcoin market.

At least this peace deal has lessened Bitcoin chances of going towards 50k or 40k for now as bitcoin price has gone up to 65k. This is very much true that we can't say that since deal is signed and now 100k is on the cards, bitcoin can take any route and we need to remain ready for all possible circumstances. Based on past data which shows Bitcoin price went up to 83k during the conflict, we can say that Bitcoin price can at least now go in 70k to 80k range. Congrats to those who took advantage of price fall and bought Bitcoin when it went down to 60k because as I said chances are that price will go above 70k at least in this small bull run.  

[tread93]

It depends; Bitcoin has a certain correlation with the markets. It is affected, for example, by interest rate policy, but it isn’t fully correlated—as evidenced by 2025, which was generally a bullish year for the markets while Bitcoin ended up down 7%. So, now with a possible peace announcement, we would expect it to be positive for the markets in general, but there’s no guarantee of that—and even less so that it will be positive for Bitcoin in particular. Normally, the announcement would lead to a broad rise across various assets, but what might happen in the coming months is another story.

Yeah its pretty crazy to think that we can pair bitcoin up against any assets other than gold with much certainly but the way it reacts to current events is kind of wild also. I feel like most see bitcoin as a wild card and dont have as much confidence in it compared to your everyday bitcoin believer.

[passwordnow]

Do you think this kind of news can start a real recovery, or is it just another short-term pump because traders found a reason to buy?

We are in the bear run this time, I think even so, we'll still see some recovery when good news comes. But look at it, when it moves up a bit there will be a sudden flash crash followed by it. The force of bear is still stronger than of these good news. I hope that the good news impact is way better than the bear but you can see it with naked eyes on how it moves. We're $65k today after the good news of Iran/US agreement, wait until a few more days to see on how it will actually be because for me, what impact of news as a market mover is if bitcoin moves back to $80k and up.

[Nathrixxx]

There have been a lot of speculations that this peace move could trigger the market to react, thereby rising, and I've also seen some speculation that predicts falling.

However, even without this breaking or proposal to end the war, bitcoin will still remain as usual being a volatile currency and will rise and fall at the same time based on its demand and supply, now that the market is pumping, I think we are on the positive side already, there is more likely possibility to see it at $70,000 soon, but nevertheless, we must not forget that we are still in the bear season.

[AprilioMP]

If Bitcoin is supposed to be independent from the traditional market and global politics, why does it still move like other risk assets every time there is war fear or peace news?

I don’t agree. Bitcoin is a system that requires no third parties other than the owner and the recipient. The rise and fall of Bitcoin’s price depend on the laws of supply and demand, not on the global political situation you mentioned. Global political conditions only influence market participants.

Maybe this is where the debate starts. Is Bitcoin really acting like a safe haven, or is it still just another asset that follows market emotion?

It depends on the perspective. If people view Bitcoin as a safe haven, they assess it from a hedging perspective because, historically, its overall price trend has been consistently rising since its launch.
For those who don’t see it that way, no matter how strongly we explain it, they won’t accept it. That’s what I mean by “it depends on the perspective.”

[Ayers]

If Bitcoin is supposed to be independent from the traditional market and global politics, why does it still move like other risk assets every time there is war fear or peace news?

I don’t agree. Bitcoin is a system that requires no third parties other than the owner and the recipient. The rise and fall of Bitcoin’s price depend on the laws of supply and demand, not on the global political situation you mentioned. Global political conditions only influence market participants.

But demand for Bitcoin is entirely dependent on the market participants, investors. So, it is not entirely wrong to say that the global political situation has an influence on bitcoin.

The Bitcoin network and protocol may be independent of global politics, but the price of Bitcoin is not.

Maybe this is where the debate starts. Is Bitcoin really acting like a safe haven, or is it still just another asset that follows market emotion?

It depends on the perspective. If people view Bitcoin as a safe haven, they assess it from a hedging perspective because, historically, its overall price trend has been consistently rising since its launch.
For those who don’t see it that way, no matter how strongly we explain it, they won’t accept it. That’s what I mean by “it depends on the perspective.”

Yes, that depends on each person's perspective and definition of a safe haven. However, according to the traditional definition, Bitcoin is not considered a safe haven asset.

[arwin100]

So now Bitcoin reacts again because of possible US-Iran ceasefire news. Some will say this is bullish because less tension means investors are more willing to take risk again.

But isn’t that also a bit worrying?

If Bitcoin is supposed to be independent from the traditional market and global politics, why does it still move like other risk assets every time there is war fear or peace news?
Maybe this is where the debate starts. Is Bitcoin really acting like a safe haven, or is it still just another asset that follows market emotion?

I’m not saying the bounce is fake, but I also don’t think one ceasefire news is enough to say the market is already strong again.

Do you think this kind of news can start a real recovery, or is it just another short-term pump because traders found a reason to buy?

It seems this is what happening now, we have seen US and Iran sign good agreement then now Bitcoin slightly goes up.

This one shows how sensitive the market is and people sentiments easily shifts once they hear good or either bad news.

But if people are trading their Bitcoins they should not lower down their guards because who knows maybe this little pump is temporary and price might eventually decline once there's issue again happened with this two countries.

[Agbe]

Even though bitcoin is independent, it is still human that using the coin like the we ate using the traditional currency and those who are using it are in one way to the other connected to the wars across countries. If war affect businesses then it will affect bitcoin as well because people using it to buy things and pay for service. Therefore the demand of it will be high or low. Depending on the demand and supply.