When examining history through the lens of the traditional 4-year cycle covering 2014, 2018, 2022, and 2026, it is evident that this period represents a phase of downtrend and accumulation. Personally, I made a definitive choice to liquidate my entire crypto portfolio at the conclusion of 2025 to transition into a position consisting entirely of stablecoins. The objective remains precise: to monitor the market with patience and wait until 2027 to re-enter using a systematic DCA and RDCA strategy.
The course of 2026 has now progressed past the halfway mark, and the market continues to challenge investor resolve. We recently observed a significant recovery of BTC back to the 80K USD range in May, only for the price to reverse course immediately afterward and decline sharply to the 60K USD level where it currently stands.
In addition to price fluctuations, crypto media during this phase is saturated with dramatic headlines. Reports show major funds like Strategy disclosing BTC liquidations only to report subsequent acquisitions, alongside news of BTC slipping out of the top 10 global asset rankings. These psychological dynamics act as a severe test for participants on both sides. This environment causes stablecoin holders to feel anxious and tempted to act out of fear of missing the absolute market bottom, while simultaneously inducing BTC holders to capitulate and sell at a loss to preserve their remaining capital.
Amidst this volatility, I maintain my commitment to holding a 100% stablecoin position rather than rushing to accumulate BTC. The rationale is straightforward: throughout 2026, the ultimate floor for the BTC price remains unpredictable. My conviction rests on the expectation that a genuine recovery phase will materialize in 2027, marking the appropriate window to deploy capital once again.
Prior to reaching that milestone, a decline in the BTC price to the 50K USD range would still lack the appeal necessary to justify altering my established plan for 2026. My investment framework is well-defined: I do not require buying at the absolute low point, as initiating positions during the confirmed recovery wave of BTC is entirely sufficient.
That is my personal plan and perspective after half a year of persistently holding a safe position. What about you?
- Are you choosing the way of moving most of your assets to stablecoins for shelter like me?
- What is your personal target for the bottom zone of BTC in this year of 2026?
- And what is your specific plan to disburse capital back into the market?