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Author Topic: HODLers vs. Lost Coins Can we ever really know the difference?.......  (Read 186 times)
m2017
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keep walking, Johnnie


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Today at 06:06:09 AM
 #21

​Well if I may say we can't properly identify lost coins from long-term holders because the system doesn't know if a person's seed phrase was lost or not. But still, based on my understanding every lost coin makes the rest more valuable because Bitcoin has a limited scarcity of 21 million coins.​ But then if the system can't identify lost coins, how do we know if lost coins make the rest more valuable?......
Then I suppose it turns out this way: bitcoin's price is greatly undervalued due to the unknown exact number of lost coins, and if this figure were known, then BTC-community would be horrified really appreciate how scarce this asset is by how little bitcoin remains in free access.

In general, value is subjective, variable, and dependent on current market demand. The value of a glass of water next to an artesian well and in the desert will be significantly different.

​Basically theoretically holding long for about 10 to 15 years or more isn't bad because, as we all know Bitcoin is a store of value and those who have held longer can testify. Still does that mean even lost coins are considered long-term holdings and long-term holdings are considered lost coins?.....
Add to this another unknown variable: long-term assets that were stored for a long time were one day lost (loss of access to the wallet).

yeah I know it's kind of confusing, but I need more opinions on this, so correct me if I'm wrong. Even on-chain analysis companies like Glassnode often just guess by saying they are considered lost coins, but there isn't a solid proof that those coins were actually lost for that I don't think we can ever really know the difference......
Check out this link : https://www.ledger.com/academy/topics/economics-and-regulation/how-many-bitcoin-are-lost-ledger?hl=en-GB
Let's consider this the greatest paradox of bitcoin, because how can we know what can't be calculated? Smiley

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.Duelbits PREDICT..
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.WHERE EVERYTHING IS A MARKET..
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Will Bitcoin hit $200,000
before January 1st 2027?

    No @1.15         Yes @6.00    
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Lucius
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Today at 01:36:22 PM
 #22

~snip~
Such wallets could be counted as well amongst those that are lost or as long term holder. We can't really know which is which
but I would just say they are lost coins.

It's not logical to say that something is lost if you can't prove in any way that it really is. There are a lot of people who bought coins a long time ago and simply have no need to make transactions with them, and using that methodology to assess what has really been lost and what has not is completely wrong.

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.Duelbits PREDICT..
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.
.WHERE EVERYTHING IS A MARKET..
█████
██
██







██
██
██████
Will Bitcoin hit $200,000
before January 1st 2027?

    No @1.15         Yes @6.00    
█████
██
██







██
██
██████

  CHECK MORE > 
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