My prediction. Michael Sellor will cause the bottom of this bear market 2026!

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that the whales might be preparing for another dump. We cannot be certain what will be the most lowest bottom for this bear market, however, I predict this will be caused by Michael Sellor's next dump which might be billions of dollars worth of bitcoin!



Bitcoin traders are scrambling to position for a deeper selloff, snapping up put options that would deliver big payouts if prices slide all the way down to $52,000 in the coming weeks.

In the past 24 to 48 hours, crypto exchange Deribit saw heavy buying of short- and near-dated put options, spanning expirations from June 22 to July 31, according to data tracked by Laevitas. Notable flows included:

June 22 $61,500 puts (337 contracts)
July 3 $60,000 puts (116 contracts) and $55,000 puts (380 contracts)
July 10 $55,000 puts (540 contracts)
July 31 $52,000 puts (314 contracts)

A put option is likely an insurance against market swoons. A put buyer locks in the right to sell bitcoin at a specific strike price in the future. If the price drops below that strike price, the buyer can still sell at the predetermined higher price, thus pocketing the difference as profit. On Deribit, one options contract represents on BTC.

The surge in these out-of-the-money puts reflects a distinctly bearish sentiment and understandably so, as several catalysts are weighing on the market.

Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/19/bitcoin-traders-load-up-on-bearish-bets-all-the-way-down-to-usd52-000

[GreatArkansas]

I was surprised by the number of puts that were below $60,000.

This clearly means the time we broke earlier, below $60,000, is already alarming, causing many bears to expect to dump more.
Earlier, I was really confident $60,000 is the real deal here as we all know, $60,000 level became significant support and resistance for Bitcoin since before.

[Oshosondy]

It appears that the whales might be preparing for another dump. We cannot be certain what will be the most lowest bottom for this bear market, however, I predict this will be caused by Michael Sellor's next dump which might be billions of dollars worth of bitcoin!

You mentioned Strategy, let us hope Free Market Capitalist will not come after this thread, but it was a good thread for me even if Michael Saylor will not cause any dump or further dip or if the dip happened just on its own as it can happen.

I do not know much about options. It has been one of the trading areas that I have not gone for before. But if said bitcoin can dump to $52000, I have a post about the possibility that it can bottom at $53000 which was not directly from me but from another analyst. So I think the dip price that you talked about is still very possible.

Although, I posted the bottom may be $59000, but that was breached in the last bear market when bitcoin dipped below it a little.

About Michael Saylor to cause the bottom, I do not know, but I also do not think so.

[Aanuoluwatofunmi]

It appears that the whales might be preparing for another dump. We cannot be certain what will be the most lowest bottom for this bear market, however, I predict this will be caused by Michael Sellor's next dump which might be billions of dollars worth of bitcoin!

This shouldn't be new to us because we are already in the bear market, we are expected to see the market fall at any time as well as rise when the trend experience a slight change, this is why if we observe the market closely of recent, we are going to discover much of falling and little rising within the market, because the season tells much about the direction of the market at a particular time, be there for we must be more observant this season to see that we speculate well, so as not to miss out.

[asriloni]

It appears that the whales might be preparing for another dump. We cannot be certain what will be the most lowest bottom for this bear market, however, I predict this will be caused by Michael Sellor's next dump which might be billions of dollars worth of bitcoin!

I can't disagree with it. The sentiment has been going so negative after some blunders being made by Saylor. I remember a tweet by coindesk mentioned how Saylor admit he used AI to design his STRC like what?

The strategy tweet is also opening the possibility for him to sell his bitcoin to increase the cash reserve in order to fulfill his obligation to pay the dividend.

He can't forever dumping his MSTR to raise the cash. He may sometimes dump his bitcoin. So it raises question from so many parties regarding his business mechanism.

I was also the one who bought STRC at $100 and it's now dumping to $88, and reached $85 as its new low last days. So i decide to cutloss all of my STRC.

I admit he might be the one who drive us to the moon, but he's also the one who can drive us back to the ground.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that the whales might be preparing for another dump. We cannot be certain what will be the most lowest bottom for this bear market, however, I predict this will be caused by Michael Sellor's next dump which might be billions of dollars worth of bitcoin!

This shouldn't be new to us because we are already in the bear market, we are expected to see the market fall at any time as well as rise when the trend experience a slight change, this is why if we observe the market closely of recent, we are going to discover much of falling and little rising within the market, because the season tells much about the direction of the market at a particular time, be there for we must be more observant this season to see that we speculate well, so as not to miss out.

Agreed that this should not be new to everyone in the cryptospace. However, you will be headshaking that there are still many people who are not expecting this and Michael Sellor causing the most bottom of this bear market has never entered their minds. This will be very shocking for them if this will happen.

@asriloni. Heheheheh this might be Michael Sellor's trick to make it appear that STRC has a type of connection with AI to cause this to pump.

STRC is presently only on $88.

https://www.strategy.com/strc

[yhiaali3]

It is clear that there is a major change in the "Strategy" policy, and although I smell from Saylor's statements, interviews and tweets a whiff that he seems to be hiding or planning something, I rule out that he will sell a large quantity that will cause the market to bottom out.

For many reasons, including that it would cause the price of Bitcoin to plummet and expose his company to enormous risks, including a decrease in the value of collateral, the potential activation of margin calls on the company's debt, a collapse of MSTR's stock, loss of investor confidence, in addition to regulatory risks related to a market manipulation charge.

[Don Pedro Dinero]

You are not the first one I see predicting that. See this thread from a Spanish forum for example:

El suelo de este bear market llegará con una gran venta de Strategy

Translation:    

The bottom of this bear market will come with a massive sell-off of Strategy.

It's clear that the company is a huge actor in the space and that things haven't been going very well for it lately. The problem is that if Strategy is in trouble, the price of bitcoin will be in trouble and we holders will suffer too.

[EluguHcman]

I was surprised by the number of puts that were below $60,000.

This clearly means the time we broke earlier, below $60,000, is already alarming, causing many bears to expect to dump more.
Earlier, I was really confident $60,000 is the real deal here as we all know, $60,000 level became significant support and resistance for Bitcoin since before.

Nevertheless, the $52K bottom according to puts analysis still lies on probabilities as a matter of fact that it still on Speculation.
So I will advise you don't get so emotional with the overwhelming news whether it is coming from the investors or institutions investing substantial of capitals in the market.

Don't forget that their medium-term plans might not be in correspondence as their initial plans due to the controversies of capitalizing a selloff at given short terms time while the future cash flow in the market is uncertainty.

I am sure the news would have influence to create FUD because it is coming from the upper layers of the Bitcoin market investors but don't be surprised that the price would still be sustainable for a support level of $60K over the time expected the $52K DIP to take place.

[Free Market Capitalist]

You mentioned Strategy, let us hope Free Market Capitalist will not come after this thread, but it was a good thread for me even if Michael Saylor will not cause any dump or further dip or if the dip happened just on its own as it can happen.

This thread is actually quite good because it gives another angle on Saylor and Strategy that hasn't been treated as such on the forum. Unlike you opening threads when Saylor buys Bitcoin which is like opening threads every time that a clock strikes twelve.

Whether the OP is right or not remains to be seen, but it's definitely a possibility.

[Oshosondy]

This thread is actually quite good because it gives another angle on Saylor and Strategy that hasn't been treated as such on the forum. Unlike you opening threads when Saylor buys Bitcoin which is like opening threads every time that a clock strikes twelve.

Whether the OP is right or not remains to be seen, but it's definitely a possibility.

I open threads if new companies buy or planning to buy bitcoin, not Michael Saylor. I intentionally opened that thread because of how Strategy sold 32 bitcoin was discussed and how it caused panic. I am not a member on this forum that open thread about Michael Saylor buying bitcoin every time despite that I get the notifications and be one of the members of this forum that always see the hint and when he is buying bitcoin. Any thread I open often, I later makes a single thread about it to make it into a single topic just like the prediction markets discussions. Creating that thread about Micheal Saylor bought $1500 after selling 32 BTC is not just a common thread. It was the first time that Strategy sold bitcoin and they bought far higher amount of bitcoin than that when bitcoin price is low, but what that is important about it is that Strategy still focus on bitcoin accumulation.

[Free Market Capitalist]

I open threads if new companies buy or planning to buy bitcoin, not Michael Saylor. I intentionally opened that thread because of how Strategy sold 32 bitcoin was discussed and how it caused panic. I am not a member on this forum that open thread about Michael Saylor buying bitcoin every time despite that I get the notifications and be one of the members of this forum that always see the hint and when he is buying bitcoin. Any thread I open often, I later makes a single thread about it to make it into a single topic just like the prediction markets discussions. Creating that thread about Micheal Saylor bought $1500 after selling 32 BTC is not just a common thread. It was the first time that Strategy sold bitcoin and they bought far higher amount of bitcoin than that when bitcoin price is low, but what that is important about it is that Strategy still focus on bitcoin accumulation.

You get a pass on the one about selling 32 BTC but the buy after that was totally expected, it was business as usual and much better analyzed by fillippone, as I already told you.

But let's not stray from the main topic of this thread, which is whether Strategy's problems could cause the market to bottom out in 2026.

I think it will depend a lot on the price of Bitcoin. If it drops significantly below $60K, we'll see the common stock, MSTR, fall below $100, and STRC fall below $80. This could trigger panic in the market, especially considering that 80% of STRC investors are retail investors, who tend to be prone to panic.

[Lucius]

Saylor has already turned into a modern version of Satoshi with his BTC stash hanging over everyone's heads and creating fear of a massive sell-off that will crash the price. Satoshi, of course, did us a favor by removing a lot of coins from the market, while Saylor has a completely different idea in mind - but he clearly hasn't learned much from the examples of those who wanted to build something stable on something extremely volatile.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

It appears that the whales might be preparing for another dump. We cannot be certain what will be the most lowest bottom for this bear market, however, I predict this will be caused by Michael Sellor's next dump which might be billions of dollars worth of bitcoin!

Bitcoin traders are scrambling to position for a deeper selloff, snapping up put options that would deliver big payouts if prices slide all the way down to $52,000 in the coming weeks.

Well, I believe that we may or might not yet have seen the bottom of bitcoin just yet, but I doubt if Michael saylor is going to be the reason why we will experience a new bitcoin price bottom for this cycle.
Saying this because few days ago, like I think a day before yesterday or so, I was on x and came across a post from Michael saylor whom I am actively following, he posted a chart with several dots on it which I believe is indicating the stages at which he bought bitcoin, and the caption he added to the post was "the chart is better with more dots" (this might not be exactly how he said it but I believe this is what he meant).

And his followers tried to interpret what that meant and some were saying that he is likely going to be buying more bitcoins pretty soon.
But coming across this thread now, I can't help but wonder if Michael is going to be buying more bitcoins soon, what is or will be his reason for selling? This is absolutely no sense in this except he's going to sell a small amount to cause panic, people dump the price down further and he buys back and more cheaper.

[bbc.reporter]

@Fivestar4everMVP. Similar to the arguments before on the beginning of the bear market on 2022, some people in the cryptospace also argued that Do Kwon and Sam Bankman Fried will not cause a big dump. However, there were some people already who were speculating that they will be the next to bite the dust heheheh.

Read the 1st page and 2nd page of this thread. There were some people who never gave the big dump caused by Sam a chance. It will be similar also for Michael Sellor.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5419386.0