Cryptoland after Trump

[Abiky]

Trump's term will end in Jan 2029. So far, he's been the most pro-crypto President in US history. During his tenure, the administration has enacted pro-crypto policies which resulted in a positive outcome for crypto market prices. Particularly, Bitcoin. This makes me wonder how crypto will react in a post-Trump era? I mean, if Republicans lose the White House in the 2028 elections. Another administration which is completely anti-crypto (probably Democratic) might cause a severe blow to market prices. Or it could hinder the growth of the entire industry. I understand crypto is independent from politics, but certain events in the mainstream world can have a direct impact on the market.

Your input would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.

[Churchillvv]

Not sure he would loss the election because the parliament is 80% republicans now but however if eventually he losses then, for crypto world it’s just going to be the same crypto world that survived all the attacks from the past but this time with better experience and lesser reaction whatever the new government might decide since obviously crypto has become part of the mainstream in the world so they will probably work viz vice with crypto than go all against it.

[JeffBrad12]

2026 to 2029, is quite long time for a crypto don't you think? I'm sure there will be many bills passed that allow crypto to be stronger within legal system.
Outright banning crypto is already difficult thing today considering how many entity has invested into crypto directly and indirectly and there is a giant ETF from BlackRock and others.
Crypto adjacent firm are already ingrained in broad market funds. Severe blow to crypto also means severe blow to their own money and you know what that means.

[aioc]

... if Republicans lose the White House in the 2028 elections. Another administration which is completely anti-crypto (probably Democratic) might cause a severe blow to market prices. Or it could hinder the growth of the entire industry. I understand crypto is independent from politics, but certain events in the mainstream world can have a direct impact on the market.

We should not jump to the conclusion that the Republicans will lose in the next election and that the Democrats will become anti-crypto. They will check the policy, and if it's good for the majority of Americans, then they don't have to do anything, but if ever they maintain their position as anti-crypto, then the community should brace, as it will have an impact, but not a big impact that will send the market crashing.
The market has been robust and continues to attract adoption and it wil not stop because of any country's anti crypto policy.

[jossiel]

We have no control over that, and so we just let it happen whoever will be the next US president.

But I think that the foundation was already there and the work that was done during this Trump administration.

The thing from the past I think is that we've been happy to see that Trump was vocal about it. And when he's already on office, it was him that took advantage of the crypto market and benefited a lot and not the people.

[o48o]

Trump's term will end in Jan 2029. So far, he's been the most pro-crypto President in US history. During his tenure, the administration has enacted pro-crypto policies which resulted in a positive outcome for crypto market prices. Particularly, Bitcoin. This makes me wonder how crypto will react in a post-Trump era? I mean, if Republicans lose the White House in the 2028 elections. Another administration which is completely anti-crypto (probably Democratic) might cause a severe blow to market prices. Or it could hinder the growth of the entire industry. I understand crypto is independent from politics, but certain events in the mainstream world can have a direct impact on the market.

Your input would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.

Bitcoin isn't american, and it's not pumped by Trump or his silly . I find it so weird that people are waiting a government to help with the prices, when the core idea of it is that it's supposed to be resilient against governments. If it's not, why would it have value in the first place?

Also it's not like it matters, but it mooned more during the "completely anti-crypto administration" called Biden administration. Only thing Trump has done has made is that he managed to  associate cryptos even more with scam and corruption.

And what do you mean if republicans lose it? How in the name of everything holy are republicans bouncing from this mess they made?

[Marykeller]

Will it mean that Democrats will be anti Bitcoin if peradventure they win by 2029. Let's not forget that any US president who takes up power by 2029 has their own agenda and implementations. It could be that the Democratic president won't be strict on crypto.

What I am saying is that, any new implementations made are what the political leader feels like doing, not what their predecessors did that they would like to follow up on, to do the same, like the case of Bitcoin

[coin-investor]

Bitcoin. This makes me wonder how crypto will react in a post-Trump era? I mean, if Republicans lose the White House in the 2028 elections. Another administration which is completely anti-crypto (probably Democratic) might cause a severe blow to market prices. Or it could hinder the growth of the entire industry.

Trump has been here for only a few years. Yes, he has done a lot, but the cryptocurrency industry has advanced over the last 2 decades. Its adoption is unhampered; the cryptocurrency will not die just because Trump is out of office. If the successor is against Bitcoin, the world will continue to support Bitcoin.
The world has become comfortable with Bitcoin, so it's hard to take it down.

[d5000]

Also here ... 96% of the potential crypto users do not live in the US.

Even if we only look at high-income regions, we have around 1.2-1.3 billion people living in countries with a per capital nominal GDP of more than 20,000 USD. The US has 340 million. This means that even if we only count the high income countries, more than 70% live outside the US. If we add the so called high mid-income countries with 10,000 USD or more, where the middle class often does invest in crypto, then we already get to 3+ billion people, almost 90% outside of the US.

In the altcoin sector there is even less dominance of the US, because there are only few altcoin ETFs and they aren't that important for the coins in question.

Of course policy changes in the US can lead to pumps and dumps. But I don't believe a Democratic government will be too strict, as others have already written it was in Biden's tenure when Bitcoin and even Ethereum ETFs were allowed, and the Harris campaign in 2024 had also a pro-crypto wing.

[Kavelj22]

Will it mean that Democrats will be anti Bitcoin if peradventure they win by 2029. Let's not forget that any US president who takes up power by 2029 has their own agenda and implementations. It could be that the Democratic president won't be strict on crypto.

We can't make a judgement based on assumptions only, but we can predict based on the history of democrats previous positions. Democrats have never been crypto friendly which was a pushing factor for republicans (mainly Trump) to win a large voters base during the last election. This scenario is high probably to happen again if the democrats won't change their vision towards bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general.

In the other hand, there are no guarantees that Trump's friendly policy will continue as expected because of many possible factors. If trump is losing popularity because of his losing foreign policies, don't expect crypto community will continue supporting his party. It is a complex scene with many factors.

[Oshio-man]

Many people will going to use this regime of the trump to invest a lot on bitcoin and some new cryptocurrency in the market, some people know that trump will definitely going to use some government funds to invest in those new coins and it will be difficult for government officials to know that trump have save some funds in those coins in the market, what investors are seeing now on those cryptocurrencies, it will not move them now until the price of those coins double up after trump have leave the office before those coins will begin to cause holders and investors to earn huge income.

[Roseline492]

Will it mean that Democrats will be anti Bitcoin if peradventure they win by 2029. Let's not forget that any US president who takes up power by 2029 has their own agenda and implementations. It could be that the Democratic president won't be strict on crypto.

We have been very negative about the United States Democratic Party concerning Bitcoin but however I have been thinking about what you said and it could be true because Bitcoin was never the reason why the both parties has been in competition or on a disagreement and even on there elections I don't think they have express any hateful feeling about Bitcoin, so actually it was Donald Trump that made democratic to look like a party with no love for Bitcoin especially when he was taken it personal, so actually there would be hope for Bitcoin even if democratic are in power.