Bitcoin prediction thread for July

[Iranus]

The current market situation has been relatively good since the beginning of this month, the price of Bitcoin in July is in a much better position than before. I do not see any possibility of the price of Bitcoin down $50,000 this month, I expect the price of Bitcoin to be between $65,000 and $70,000 in July and the price of Bitcoin may increase further in the coming month. The quickly fall or increase in the price of Bitcoin makes this process more attractive to general people to investing.

Based on how the market has moved since the start of the month, there is nothing wrong with thinking Bitcoin is unlikely to drop to $50k this month. But I would not rule it out completely.

The bear market is not over yet, and all it take is one event to change market sentiment and send the price the other way.

Bitcoin was above $80k in May, then fell below $60k in June. So I do not think it makes sense to base longer term prediction, or even next month's outlook on short term price action alone.

[coinrifft]

Based on how the market has moved since the start of the month, there is nothing wrong with thinking Bitcoin is unlikely to drop to $50k this month. But I would not rule it out completely.

The bear market is not over yet, and all it take is one event to change market sentiment and send the price the other way.

Bitcoin was above $80k in May, then fell below $60k in June. So I do not think it makes sense to base longer term prediction, or even next month's outlook on short term price action alone.

We are not yet in the middle of the bear market, so with that, there are a lot of things that can happen in the price, and one of them is dropping to $50k. So we need to bear in our mind that is possible, so that we can prepare ourselves.

But the thing is that even if we know that the price is possible to drop, there could still be some investors that are not willing to buy and still waiting for more price drop. So if that is the case they might missed that perfect opportunity to buy at a discount price.

[arwin100]

Based on how the market has moved since the start of the month, there is nothing wrong with thinking Bitcoin is unlikely to drop to $50k this month. But I would not rule it out completely.

The bear market is not over yet, and all it take is one event to change market sentiment and send the price the other way.

Bitcoin was above $80k in May, then fell below $60k in June. So I do not think it makes sense to base longer term prediction, or even next month's outlook on short term price action alone.

We are not yet in the middle of the bear market, so with that, there are a lot of things that can happen in the price, and one of them is dropping to $50k. So we need to bear in our mind that is possible, so that we can prepare ourselves.

But the thing is that even if we know that the price is possible to drop, there could still be some investors that are not willing to buy and still waiting for more price drop. So if that is the case they might missed that perfect opportunity to buy at a discount price.

That $50k drop is eventually possible and preparing for that situation to come is good action to do. But if we look closely on the situation now, how long those people will wait to see the price would go down for more.

Because its rare to see a perfect bottom, since its hard to identify if we are already seeing that. So to much waiting will make them miss on those good price which is supposed to be good to accumulate. That's why I don't like to engage on that waiting matters and just like to be consistent upon accumulating since this is best thing to do on Bitcoin.

[dwyane36]

Based on how the market has moved since the start of the month, there is nothing wrong with thinking Bitcoin is unlikely to drop to $50k this month. But I would not rule it out completely.

The bear market is not over yet, and all it take is one event to change market sentiment and send the price the other way.

Bitcoin was above $80k in May, then fell below $60k in June. So I do not think it makes sense to base longer term prediction, or even next month's outlook on short term price action alone.

Unless there are any major market disruptions, BTC will most likely not drop to $50k this month. Personally, I think that in July, BTC will either consolidate within a narrow range or show slight growth; that is, it will correct slightly after the dump. Overall, even if July closes with a green candle, the bearish scenario will still be on the table for the next 2-3 months, and reaching $50k is only a matter of time.

[pooya87]

For the time being we should get comfortable with seeing sideways market. Price may not go either up or down for quite some time. So for now since price is on the rise, I'll keep an eye on $65k-$65.5k levels and if that breaks we can enter a bull run, even a short one for a little while. Otherwise the sideways it is for the rest of July.

And if recession gets any worse I'll keep an eye on $58k support and if that breaks then we end the sideways too in a bad way...

[cyberninja2]

That $50k drop is eventually possible and preparing for that situation to come is good action to do. But if we look closely on the situation now, how long those people will wait to see the price would go down for more.

Because its rare to see a perfect bottom, since its hard to identify if we are already seeing that. So to much waiting will make them miss on those good price which is supposed to be good to accumulate. That's why I don't like to engage on that waiting matters and just like to be consistent upon accumulating since this is best thing to do on Bitcoin.

However, in recent months the price hasn't dropped as much as you mentioned it only briefly dipped to $59,000, and that didn't last long. This shows that the current market price is still very consistent at $60,000 and above. However when opportunities like this arise we need to accumulate Bitcoin to increase our assets for the future. Prices like this rarely occur and today there's a slight upward movement. However for those who want to buy it's still very worthwhile.

As I said earlier situations like this don't require delaying purchases as this could lead to missed opportunities for those of us who sometimes have enough income to increase our BTC holdings. Therefore it's important to accumulate any amount. Basically this opportunity requires us to remain consistent in accumulating towards our desired amount especially when buying large amounts. I think this is the best step for those who consistently and regularly purchase BTC.

[Yorubek]

That $50k drop is eventually possible and preparing for that situation to come is good action to do. But if we look closely on the situation now, how long those people will wait to see the price would go down for more.

Because its rare to see a perfect bottom, since its hard to identify if we are already seeing that. So to much waiting will make them miss on those good price which is supposed to be good to accumulate. That's why I don't like to engage on that waiting matters and just like to be consistent upon accumulating since this is best thing to do on Bitcoin.

However, in recent months the price hasn't dropped as much as you mentioned it only briefly dipped to $59,000, and that didn't last long. This shows that the current market price is still very consistent at $60,000 and above. However when opportunities like this arise we need to accumulate Bitcoin to increase our assets for the future. Prices like this rarely occur and today there's a slight upward movement. However for those who want to buy it's still very worthwhile.

As I said earlier situations like this don't require delaying purchases as this could lead to missed opportunities for those of us who sometimes have enough income to increase our BTC holdings. Therefore it's important to accumulate any amount. Basically this opportunity requires us to remain consistent in accumulating towards our desired amount especially when buying large amounts. I think this is the best step for those who consistently and regularly purchase BTC.

The rise or fall of the price of Bitcoin is nothing new, this process is normal. Due to the volatility of Bitcoin nothing can be said for confirm about the price. You are right that the price of Bitcoin has not decreased as much as was expected. When the price of Bitcoin decreases there are some investors who quickly get disappointed and sell all the Bitcoin they have despite facing losses. Opportunities do not always come, so when you get an opportunity, it is wise to use it properly. The current value of Bitcoin will not be the same in the future, so it is wise to invest with confidence and discipline and hold it for a long time. As a result, investors will be able to enjoy all the opportunities that come from Bitcoin in the future.

[imthegreat]

For the time being we should get comfortable with seeing sideways market. Price may not go either up or down for quite some time. So for now since price is on the rise, I'll keep an eye on $65k-$65.5k levels and if that breaks we can enter a bull run, even a short one for a little while. Otherwise the sideways it is for the rest of July.

And if recession gets any worse I'll keep an eye on $58k support and if that breaks then we end the sideways too in a bad way...

But that's what everyone thought about 60k.
With the market potentially reaching a cyclical low, identifying the underlying source of downward pressure becomes a central question. As the price fell below the true market average, the share of total realized value attributable to long-term holders' losses rose from 15% in early February 2026 to 43% today, making the disappointment-driven capitulation of this investor group the most significant factor driving the price. Because loss realization by long-term holders is currently the dominant force pulling the market down.

[cyberninja2]

The rise or fall of the price of Bitcoin is nothing new, this process is normal. Due to the volatility of Bitcoin nothing can be said for confirm about the price. You are right that the price of Bitcoin has not decreased as much as was expected. When the price of Bitcoin decreases there are some investors who quickly get disappointed and sell all the Bitcoin they have despite facing losses. Opportunities do not always come, so when you get an opportunity, it is wise to use it properly. The current value of Bitcoin will not be the same in the future, so it is wise to invest with confidence and discipline and hold it for a long time. As a result, investors will be able to enjoy all the opportunities that come from Bitcoin in the future.

It is true but what I mean in the past few months has always shown the price is always at $ 60,000 and above, meaning that the process of increasing little by little has been seen from before so this makes us see something new about the increase that occurs so it is very appropriate as you mentioned there is no market price that we can determine for the reason that it always changes in a time that we do not know and it could be that in the next few days the price will go up again or it could go down to more drastically so it is difficult to know the truth about the price that is clearly happening, accumulating more precisely to collect the number of future assets to increase more in our portfolio as the party that owns it.

[YOSHIE]

Happy new month everyone. Also happy second half of the year. Hope you have saved money for the next bull run? And hope you are saving more money and investing in bitcoin when there is still the opportunity to do so.

This is good advice, I hope so, all Bitcoin users must understand it, so that they no longer fail during the next Halving, the more Bitcoin invested the better.

I speculate that the price of Bitcoin in July will still remain at the level of more than $60k, to fall to the level of $55k maybe not for this month, my speculation and my big instinct are that Bitcoin is currently stuck in a bear market, this may be the best opportunity to own more Bitcoin.

For this reason, if they are thinking long term in investment, this is a good opportunity to think about.

[summonerrk]

I see a positive side: there's a trend in OrionEngine's M2 Global Liquidity: Every time Bitcoin's price has deviated significantly from the global liquidity index, it has tended to cross it again. This often happens with a sharp surge. The price is now much lower than this indicator.
M2GL is considered an anchor for Bitcoin.
Also, based on price dynamics over the past four months, Bitcoin is trending upward, and I'll explain why: Compared to historical similar behavior during this period, the general consensus was positive.



Considering how little Saylor's selloff and the start of the war managed to push the coin's price below $60,000, it truly seems like the bottom has already been reached.

[Oshio-man]

Watching this new month of July, I think this month will make the price of bitcoin to reach $70k before the end of this month because the price is above $62k right now, which is a sign that is making long term and short term holders to be bold in holding their bitcoin to achieve what they want before the end of this month, I'm still standing on my grand, the price will cross above $70k this month of July and it will cause some holders to start selling their bitcoin to increase their income.

[dwyane36]

Considering how little Saylor's selloff and the start of the war managed to push the coin's price below $60,000, it truly seems like the bottom has already been reached.

I’d like to believe that the bottom of this bearish trend has been reached, but personally, the situation on the liquidation heatmap is concerning to me. As I’ve noted before, there’s a noticeable concentration of positions in the $50-60k range that could be liquidated. In other words, I still doubt that the BTC price will rise significantly without first absorbing liquidity within this range.

[CryptoYar]

Unless there is big global economy shock, or big negative news trigger, it seems like $50k this month is extremely unlikely. Large company buying that has been reported at these levels is proof of genuine demand at current level which should limit any slide on the downside. However, what is support level in downtrend can turn into resistance in uptrend.  For this month, it is more likely that we will see some filling of the hole from the price break on the bottom.

[DanWalker]

Considering how little Saylor's selloff and the start of the war managed to push the coin's price below $60,000, it truly seems like the bottom has already been reached.

I’d like to believe that the bottom of this bearish trend has been reached, but personally, the situation on the liquidation heatmap is concerning to me. As I’ve noted before, there’s a noticeable concentration of positions in the $50-60k range that could be liquidated. In other words, I still doubt that the BTC price will rise significantly without first absorbing liquidity within this range.

I also suspect that Bitcoin has bottomed out.
I agree that despite geopolitical tension and Saylor selling Bitcoin, it has held up well without any major sell-off. That is a pretty positive sign. However, that alone is still not enough to say the bottom is already in.

Bitcoin is influenced not only by geopolitical and macroeconomic factor but also by its own cycle. We cannot conclude that the market has bottomed based on just a few factors.

Do not forget that Bitcoin dropped from $126k to $60k in February with little to no negative news driving the drop.

[suhadi88]

Do not forget that Bitcoin dropped from $126k to $60k in February with little to no negative news driving the drop.

Yes, this is also worth noting, but I see BTC currently pumping, but whether it will continue or just be a temporary move, I'm not sure yet. However, if the price continues to fall, it's likely that BTC will correct to 50K again. The market is enough to make us think.

[Just Say]

Based on how the market has moved since the start of the month, there is nothing wrong with thinking Bitcoin is unlikely to drop to $50k this month. But I would not rule it out completely.

The bear market is not over yet, and all it take is one event to change market sentiment and send the price the other way.

Bitcoin was above $80k in May, then fell below $60k in June. So I do not think it makes sense to base longer term prediction, or even next month's outlook on short term price action alone.

We are not yet in the middle of the bear market, so with that, there are a lot of things that can happen in the price, and one of them is dropping to $50k. So we need to bear in our mind that is possible, so that we can prepare ourselves.

But the thing is that even if we know that the price is possible to drop, there could still be some investors that are not willing to buy and still waiting for more price drop. So if that is the case they might missed that perfect opportunity to buy at a discount price.

This $50,000 drop may not happen because we can see that Bitcoin is now above $64K around mid-July 2026. To be honest, Bitcoin is still trending upwards despite the recent sell-off of Saylor’s Bitcoin and the recent resurgence of the war, so it is clear to us at this point that Bitcoin may be able to reach higher. You should notice that those who want to buy Bitcoin at a discounted price should buy it now instead of waiting because in my opinion, you have to deposit BTC continuously to achieve the desired amount of BTC from the investment.

[suhadi88]

This $50,000 drop may not happen because we can see that Bitcoin is now above $64K around mid-July 2026. To be honest, Bitcoin is still trending upwards despite the recent sell-off of Saylor’s Bitcoin and the recent resurgence of the war, so it is clear to us at this point that Bitcoin may be able to reach higher. You should notice that those who want to buy Bitcoin at a discounted price should buy it now instead of waiting because in my opinion, you have to deposit BTC continuously to achieve the desired amount of BTC from the investment.

I also share the same assumption, hoping the price continues to rise and doesn't stall again this weekend. Of course, some people are accumulating, as usual, buying while the price is still good before it rises. I believe the BTC price will improve over the next three months, especially if geopolitical tensions ease.