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Question: Do you think Ordinals / BRC-20 will come back?
No, they're dead forever! - 6 (54.5%)
Yes, it's only a little dip. - 4 (36.4%)
NS/NC - 1 (9.1%)
Total Voters: 11

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Author Topic: Seems that Ordinals and BRC-20 have died, finally.  (Read 292 times)
d5000 (OP)
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July 09, 2026, 01:20:04 AM
Merited by pooya87 (5), ABCbits (2), HeRetiK (1)
 #1

When I was updating the stats for my OP_RETURN observer, I also checked the state of Ordinals inscriptions and BRC-20 transactions.

The results are quite clear:



See the violet curve in in the right area? That's the total size of all Ordinals together.

Not even when Runes were introduced in 2024, there has been such a big drop in Ordinals.

Let's see the numbers:

- At its height in 2023, around 40 MB of Ordinals were posted each day. There were peaks up to 80 MB. Most of this always was BRC-20, a very unefficient meme token format.
- In 2024, there was a dip when Runes entered the stage. The values dropped to 5-10 MB per day, so they were still significant.
- Then in 2025 with the decreasing fees, Ordinals seems to have had a comeback, although it seems that none of the tokens was really able to profit. But there were again 20-30 MB per day, with peaks over 60.
- Now in 2026 there was a very surprising and sharp decline:
-- in March they dropped below 20 MB,
-- in April they dropped below 8-10 and finally below 5 MB,
-- and from May on the line is almost flat, with only 1-3 MB per day added. That's almost nothing.

Runes seem to be still around, probably due to the low fees. And thus it's surprising that Ordinals haven't benefitted from the low fees too.

From another query it is posible to see that the huge majority of the transactions are still small <1 kB transactions and thus very likely BRC-20. Which is a bit surprising to me, because BRC-20 have a lot of competition now with Runes and lots of other meme coin platforms, while the "meme NFT" model isn't possible with Runes afaik.

Now I wonder if there was a specific reason for that drop. I asked an AI but it was quite clueless, okay it said the bear market was a reason, but then it even argued that fees were too high Tongue

Does anybody know the answer? Has a big meme coin project switched from BRC-20 to Runes, for example? Or are Inscriptions now deprecated in the Ordinals project? (unlikely) Fear of BIP-110? Don't think so with minuscule support by miners.

If you have an opinion on that, I'm interested Smiley

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July 09, 2026, 02:46:08 AM
Merited by un_rank (1)
 #2

These inscriptions are useless and they were created to exploit Taproot protocol as well as take advantage of bull run to more easily attract and steal money from greed and inexperienced people. When the bull market went away, money was withdrawn from the market, such useless inscriptions will become no longer attractive and they will die with time.

The likely deaths of inscriptions remind me about times when they were very hot.
Oridinal theory and the rise of inscriptions.
Inscriptions, mempools, and miners.

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July 09, 2026, 03:13:52 AM
 #3

Few months after the peak of the ordinal hype there were already talks about it being dead due to the sharp decline in volume on the network and also in value of it's coins. It was clear that the idea was to piggyback off the bull run and hope greed pushes enough people into it, such a model by design can only work for a short amount of time.

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July 09, 2026, 05:24:15 AM
 #4

It fumbled because people stop paying attention and probably get bored of it. I can't think of any other reason.

There is still occasional deployment of several BRC-20 but they all fumbled. I guess most simply don't care anymore about BRC-20 and prefer to trade shitcoins on another blockchain.

Also, BRC-20 seems complex as hell for average people.

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July 09, 2026, 06:00:43 AM
 #5

Ordinals and all brc-20 are built on top of bitcoin... despite this resilence Roll Eyes , like any "crypto" related product, if you don't have a real use, this will just become irrilevant and in some way, die.
We have seen a speculation that has lead to some interesting applications, including "ntf" and uncapping "any limit" Roll Eyes
At least to me, excluding speculation , this It's pretty useless for the real reason we use bitcoin, as a monetary system.
Tracking all satoshis as a single unit and creating an artificial difference can be seen as the bad part = blockchain probably has not been designed. This evolution should not become one of the main applications.
For sure, decentralized technology could always allow a project to become available, and accessible....

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July 09, 2026, 06:45:44 AM
 #6

It was all money grabbing opportunity, I knew it back then that it won't end well, I was investing in some altcoins like Render and Kaspa but I never even dare to go into any ordinals projects, some did very well it terms of returns but they died in a very gruesome way, many altcoins did well and stayed stronger than ordinals, that says alot lol.

It was an unnecessary experiment that should have never existed in the first place, not gonna lie, I like how every ended for ordinals, as for few comments talking about utility, it doesn't matter, few old them got good utility but people don't care, good utility isn't enough to keep a project alive, if the audience don't want it you are on your own.

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July 09, 2026, 07:44:59 AM
Merited by d5000 (2)
 #7

Has a big meme coin project switched from BRC-20 to Runes, for example?

Maybe yes. I tried comparing ordinals and brc-20 (also use ordinals protocol) market with runes market on unisat[1-3], with following result.

Total 30d volume on top 10 collection.
ordinals = 0.13194372 + 0.07518 + 0.0080128 + 0.0043 + 0.0009 + 0.0004 + 0.000388 + 0.000339 + 0.0003 + 0.0002 = 0.22196352BTC
brc-20 = 0.10005958 + 0.08677498 + 0.0196 + 0.01516958 + 0.00637 + 0.0038 + 0.003773 + 0.00366433 + 0.002509 + 0.00170905 = 0.24342952BTC
runes = 4.23208089 + 0.52831949 + 0.33907812 + 0.10396447 + 0.10385623 + 0.078 + 0.04 + 0.02301371 + 0.02161951 + 0.0191598 = 5.48909222BTC

Even if you combine both ordinals and brc-20, it's only 8.5% of runes volume.

[1] https://unisat.io/market/collection
[2] https://unisat.io/market/brc20
[3] https://unisat.io/runes/market

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July 09, 2026, 08:07:14 AM
Merited by pooya87 (5), ABCbits (3), d5000 (2)
 #8

- Now in 2026 there was a very surprising and sharp decline:
-- in March they dropped below 20 MB,
-- in April they dropped below 8-10 and finally below 5 MB,
-- and from May on the line is almost flat, with only 1-3 MB per day added. That's almost nothing.

Runes activity has been going back up in recent months so that may be why Ordinals is seeing a decline.



Both protocols were created by the same person. Runestones are supposed to be better than BRC-20 for tokenization on Bitcoin and it would make sense that it would take away market share from BRC-20, thus resulting in fewer Ordinals transactions.

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July 09, 2026, 08:50:04 AM
 #9

Now we could achieve a stabled and affordable network fee that is not inflated by what ordinals has caused, the apart of what makes it appear as if Bitcoin transaction fee is unaffordable because of their cloggings on the network, competing with the Bitcoin transactions, now that everything has been achieved and restored back to normalcy, you will really hear people shouting of exorbitant transaction fee in Bitcoin.

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July 09, 2026, 06:33:26 PM
 #10

Runes activity has been going back up in recent months so that may be why Ordinals is seeing a decline.
Yes, that's what I initially thought could have been the reason. But the increase of Runes was already registered before April/May when the BRC-20 weight dropped to unprecedented levels.

I have looked at the price evolution of the most popular BRC-20 tokens and honestly I have more questions than answers:



This is ORDI measured in BTC (to eliminate Bitcoin price influence) - you see that there was even a price increase in April/May 2026.



This is SATS, the #2 at the BRC-20 rankings. Its price is low, but it didn't substantially change after late 2025. No April/May 2026 decline is visible. And still both tokens are firmly in the top #1000 in altcoin rankings.

So I'm still wondering if something happened in the Ordinals space. And what's that strange price spike in both tokens just close to the moment the volume drop ocurred?

Not that I'm unhappy with it. Some will know that I consider BRC-20 the worst token format ever invented. It was just an amateur experiment with Inscription that went out of control, it could even have fueled the mining bubble in 2023/24. And so I'm surprised the fad lasted so long.


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    No @1.15         Yes @6.00    
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July 09, 2026, 08:26:56 PM
 #11

I always thought this ordinals and BRC-20 have nothing to do with Bitcoin project. That's why it don't worked, only for a few that wasn't even care about Bitcoin, just wanted make money, and they was some of the few that made money, and the big miners. Didn't come any benefit for me, it's good news even knowing that a lot of people lose money in this, each one is responsible for their own choices.
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July 10, 2026, 12:40:06 AM
Last edit: July 10, 2026, 01:08:44 AM by treesintheforestooh
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 #12


... wondering if something happened in the Ordinals space. And what's that strange price spike in both tokens just close to the moment the volume drop ocurred?

Not that I'm unhappy with it. Some will know that I consider BRC-20 the worst token format ever invented.


Agreed on it being horrible token format. Personally, I was turned off from it almost immediately.

I don't have an idea on the Runes increase. Ya got me. I find Runes to be nearly as bad as BRC-20 and, practically, worthless.

With regards to that strange price spike you are seeing, I have a speculative answer which matches the timeline:

It was likely, in my opinion, related to the adoption of a Bitcoin-native "Digital Matter Theory" asset by F2Pool and SpiderPool as a second-subsidy for their participants. The asset in question is known as DMT-NAT and aims to incentivize miners to a greater degree via, well, more money in their pockets. For what it's worth, Foundry currently has about 8.43T of it, distributed at/via the coinbase level automatically and is there whether they know it or not, valued at about $1M. Though, to be sure, they have not moved any/interacted in the same way as the others (yet).

We can see the SpiderPool announcement here and F2Pool announcement here.

Additionally, during that same timeframe it was noticed via blockchain transactions that AntPool, Luxor, and ViaBTC had been interacting/playing around with the asset, too; subsequently some Chinese Bitcoiners relayed that they know at least one of the pools mentioned above are actively working to integrate it in their dashboards, as well. Which is *ahem* interesting to me as they are all Chinese mining pools (excluding Luxor) interacting/integrating it, equating to over 60% of the world's hashrate.

KuCoin published multiple articles on it around the time, too. Were they officially coming from KuCoin? I'm not sure about that, as one can't tell from the webpage who the author is. Here is one of them.   

That's all to say that DMT-NAT during that period of time (couple weeks-ish?) was rising in value at such a rate as to overtake ORDI and SATS for the #1 spot, which it did for a few days before everything cooled off. So, the aforementioned adoption by SpiderPool and F2Pool, the rumors, articles, as well as basic market mechanics, associated (schizophrenic) attention, (perhaps) market manipulation, and even ego resulted in the price spike/s you/we are noticing and seeing.

It would be interesting to see all three charted together.

By the way, what are you using for your charting?
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July 10, 2026, 06:28:56 AM
 #13

Various scams will continue to emerge around Bitcoin. Why is this possible? Because Bitcoin is money, and most people do not truly understand what money is or why Bitcoin was created.

They keep looking for some other utility beyond its monetary function. Money is not like a car or water. When the average person sees a car, they immediately understand that it is used for transportation. When they see water, they instinctively know that it is meant to be drunk. Money is much harder to understand.

To truly understand money, you need to go deep into the rabbit hole, study the Austrian school of economics, and spend hundreds or even thousands of hours learning about it. Most people simply do not have the time, interest, or patience to do that.

Scammers understand this weakness and exploit it. That is why we are now seeing an invasion of shitcoins. They sell people stories about a “better bitcoin,” “faster bitcoin,” “more private bitcoun,” or “new” Bitcoin. They sell them stories about NFTs, tokens, and countless other scams.

I believe these scams will continue because, as Einstein said, two things are infinite the universe and human stupidity and he was not entirely sure about the universe.

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July 10, 2026, 03:22:56 PM
 #14

I never cared at all about stupid ordinals or brc-20, but you can't be happy about that when entire Bitcoin network is having less activity.
Mempool is always empty and number for transactions is dropping down all the time, now big companies have big supply of coins and they are only using them for speculation and manipulation.

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July 11, 2026, 03:00:26 AM
 #15

These inscriptions are useless and they were created to exploit Taproot protocol as well as take advantage of bull run to more easily attract and steal money from greed and inexperienced people. When the bull market went away, money was withdrawn from the market, such useless inscriptions will become no longer attractive and they will die with time.

The likely deaths of inscriptions remind me about times when they were very hot.
Oridinal theory and the rise of inscriptions.
Inscriptions, mempools, and miners.

Yeah I remember walking about Bitcoin conference in Miami 2023 and it was everywhere people were saying it was the future and it got so much traction at the start but from the get serious bitcoiners always rejected it and you could tell that they had 0 confidence in ordinals. It just was way too out of the ordinary.  Grin Couldn't resist m8. Anyhow, its nice to see that life is moving in the right direction. Now I just need to get my bitcoin back in check I am down a bit from some needs have arisen. Whats the next big opportunity?:!?

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July 11, 2026, 03:25:45 AM
 #16

These fake things work based on hype, and if there is enough newbies to be hyped up (aka fooled) to put their hard earned money into them, they get pumped. Otherwise they don't receive any attention since they are useless and start being forgotten (kinda like what happened to ICO tokens).

If you check the charts versus price chart you can find some interesting coincidences too.
For example the peak in your chart is happening at the same time as one of the largest bitcoin price rises. A 100% rise to go from $15k to $30k in only 4 months, the same months Ordinals Spam is peaking. It is also happening right after 13 months of bear market where price keeps dumping.
That reversal into a bull market and the hype it caused (and brought newbies in) helped the Ordinals Attack gain a big momentum.

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July 11, 2026, 05:14:00 AM
 #17

These fake things work based on hype, and if there is enough newbies to be hyped up (aka fooled) to put their hard earned money into them, they get pumped. Otherwise they don't receive any attention since they are useless and start being forgotten (kinda like what happened to ICO tokens).

If you check the charts versus price chart you can find some interesting coincidences too.
For example the peak in your chart is happening at the same time as one of the largest bitcoin price rises. A 100% rise to go from $15k to $30k in only 4 months, the same months Ordinals Spam is peaking. It is also happening right after 13 months of bear market where price keeps dumping.
That reversal into a bull market and the hype it caused (and brought newbies in) helped the Ordinals Attack gain a big momentum.

The problem was not the idea itself. Actual problem was flood of low quality BRC20 spam. which ruined the whole vibe.
But there were some positives. Not everything about ordinals was useless.
They brought attention and fees to Bitcoin at a time when the network needed it.

You know, more users always attract more developer. If you find enough dev in one place they could build more app. And more apps always attract more new users. For one token standard this cycle creates a healthy ecosystem.

In this case instead of one ecosystem, liquidity and users are split into several isolated ecosystems. Bitcoin-based meme assets have to compete with numerous alternatives. When you are surviving with lack of any strong use-cases and functionality you cant fragmented like this.

Wallet X may support BRC-20 but not Runes. Marketplace Y may only support Ordinals. Exchange Z may only list a handful of these assets. The entire memecoin market is now divided into multiple chains. That is why each market becomes much smaller and liquidity declined.




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July 11, 2026, 05:21:30 AM
 #18

BRC-20 mostly traded in exchange, the volume still at tens of millions. Even though it's significantly lesser than at its prime but it's still being traded regardless which is a good thing because their users offload transaction to exchange instead which makes sense to see the transaction decreasing on the blockchain lately.

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July 11, 2026, 08:02:55 PM
Last edit: July 11, 2026, 11:47:01 PM by d5000
 #19

The Ordinals-based shittoken has probably only peripherally to do with the price spike I mentioned. Its price spike occurred at April 21 (see below):


Source is Coinpaprika.

ORDI and SATS had their price spike during the same time but not exactly the same day as "the unnamed token" I linked above: both on April 17 (on April 21 ORDI already had fallen around 30%).

According to Google Gemini the reason for the BRC-20 activity decline could have been instead the closure of the Ordinals section of the Magic Eden marketplace. I could confirm this news (from February/March) here. I had asked Gemini already before I started this thread but it seems it needed the info about the price spike to deliver that result. It looks quite a convincing theory.

The reason for the price spike at April 17 instead could have been a simple short squeeze.

For example the peak in your chart is happening at the same time as one of the largest bitcoin price rises. A 100% rise to go from $15k to $30k in only 4 months, the same months Ordinals Spam is peaking.
You're of course correct but I was wondering more about the April 2026 spike at the same time when the activity of BRC-20 declined.

Edited the post for "reasons" (thanks @Satofan44, sorry for the merits, wasn't aware of this dishonest shitcoin promotion attempt as I saw this person only once before.).

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.WHERE EVERYTHING IS A MARKET..
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Will Bitcoin hit $200,000
before January 1st 2027?

    No @1.15         Yes @6.00    
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