I built a free MLS analytics tool — power ratings, xG divergence, referee data, goals simulator (soccerkiller.com)
Been buried in MLS data all season and put together a site that pulls it together in one place. Sharing in case it's useful to anyone else who follows the league closely.
What's on it:
Power ratings — for all 30 teams, split by attack/defense, built off actual goals + xG (not just points table)
xG divergence tables — who's over/underperforming their expected goals, both scoring and conceding
Corner and card stats by team, home/away splits
Referee tendencies — cards per game by official, with a strictest-to-most-lenient ranking (25 refs tracked so far this season)
Form tables — (last 5 games) ranked by attacking/defensive/overall form
Player leaderboards — scorers, assisters, and an "offensive power" composite stat
Goals simulator — pick two teams, it runs a Dixon-Coles-adjusted Poisson model and spits out win/draw/loss, over/under, and BTTS probabilities. You can also plug in your own book odds to see implied edge
Everything's calibrated against actual MLS results rather than raw Poisson output, since raw Poisson tends to underpredict high-scoring games in this league specifically.
It's free to use, updated every matchday. Would genuinely appreciate feedback — especially if you spot something that looks off or have requests for what to add next (more corners/cards market coverage is next on my list).
soccerkiller.com
