Predicting Crypto future is hard

[Israelgogo]

Digital assets like btc, etherium and others either decentralized or centralized is more like virtual games to me, the more you look the less you see. Honestly the future of all the Cryptocurrency can never be determined by any economic or political circumstances, one predictions dies another person hope, the market is always unrealistic and uncertainty. Inflation might likely cause dips to occur, excessive capitalism or price control in digital markets products or even monopoly of governments decisions.

The future of btc is not actualize by any studies but one might counts its past testimonies and several events of bullish and bearish notwithstanding is difficult to actual tell when the community breaks into major lost because no real fact about its future, I hope it doesn't flies out tomorrow unexpectedly. This is not fact findings but curiosity of Crypto future.

[Hatchy]

Digital assets like btc, etherium and others either decentralized or centralized is more like virtual games to me, the more you look the less you see. Honestly the future of all the Cryptocurrency can never be determined by any economic or political circumstances, one predictions dies another person hope, the market is always unrealistic and uncertainty. Inflation might likely cause dips to occur, excessive capitalism or price control in digital markets products or even monopoly of governments decisions.

The future of btc is not actualize by any studies but one might counts its past testimonies and several events of bullish and bearish notwithstanding is difficult to actual tell when the community breaks into major lost because no real fact about its future, I hope it doesn't flies out tomorrow unexpectedly. This is not fact findings but curiosity of Crypto future.

Like what, Cod? If you see digital assets like games it means all investments are games to you then. Indeed you win, and then you lose but when it comes to Investments, you plan and execute. The outcome might not be probable but with a good risk management and patience there's a high chance that your losses over time might not be significant. The volatile nature of the crypto market is what draws many investors to it today. If it wasn't that volatile and a stable market where there's a stable price adoption rate would not get to where it is today. You cannot predict the future, what you can do is to follow its path to where ever it leads and that's why before you go into crypto investments, you should make up your mind to the kind of risk you are about taking. It's not an easy journey but you get used to the varying market conditions.

[EarnOnVictor]

Let me focus on a long-term-determined price movements, rather than the short-term scope. In this alone, haven't you noticed that Bitcoin is one of the easiest assets of all time to predict? Its market moves in cycles triggered by tradition, so you don't really need any special studies to invest profitably in it. It's as simple as just to follow the tradition/cycle and the rhythm.

Here comes Bitcoin's chart as well, oh no...it's almost perfect in knowing what Bitcoin would do, and I've told people who cared to listen on this forum many times. You just need to learn how. This has been my best guide, even more than Bitcoin's cycle tradition itself, and a simple price action on the monthly chart speaks enough for those who are not too blind to it or doubtful.

[hd49728]

The future of btc is not actualize by any studies but one might counts its past testimonies and several events of bullish and bearish notwithstanding is difficult to actual tell when the community breaks into major lost because no real fact about its future, I hope it doesn't flies out tomorrow unexpectedly. This is not fact findings but curiosity of Crypto future.

We don't know about our future so we similarly don't know about future of Bitcoin market that is volatile and unpredictable enough to beat us if we try to speculate and gamble in this market. Fortunately, with Bitcoin if we focus on long term and investment, make our plan, do it disciplined, we will have opportunity of getting good profit by simple steps as buying and holding our coins.

It's simple in theory but practically there are challenges financially and psychologically for investors. Who are newbies in this market, just get started with investment will naturally feel like investment is not easy.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

The future of btc is not actualize by any studies but one might counts its past testimonies and several events of bullish and bearish notwithstanding is difficult to actual tell when the community breaks into major lost because no real fact about its future, I hope it doesn't flies out tomorrow unexpectedly. This is not fact findings but curiosity of Crypto future.

You can just go back to the beginning, if it is that easy then no one could have sold their stash. Some early investors who bought it at $1.00 sold at $3.00 and thought that they have hit a jackpot.

However, they didn't know that in the next 10 years or so it will be $126k. So that is the beauty of Bitcoin or crypto, it's the unknown, others hit a big jackpot, while others sold early because they don't have the patience.

So history tells us something that we shouldn't ignore.

[aoluain]

I feel the OP is stating the obvious. Predicting the future is hard, unpredictable and arguably
impossible.

As the saying goes past performance is no guarantee for future expectations

As regards Bitcoin there are some safer predictions or "almost" certainties and facts like the
mining reward which affects supply is guaranteed, the 4 year cycle will likely continue, Bitcoin
offers an alternative to controlled and manipulated FIAT so it will likely continue to appeal to
a certain portion of the worlds population for decades to come at least.

Future economic, political and geopolitical events will certainly affect the market because
human emotions respond to these events, how they will pan out in the future cannot be predicted.

[Oasisman]

If you are predicting, like literally predicting its movement, like the ones in a prediction market, I can say it is quite hard. But, if you're investing, then I can say, not pretty hard. Bitcoin's historical data suggest the value is constantly moving upward. Though there are ups and downs, prolonged bear markets followed by a dead cat bounce, and then finally recover and hit another ATH. There has been a cycle that has yet to be broken.
So, if your main concern is to know whether your Bitcoin or ETH, and other top alts could perform a lot better in the next 10 years, there is no guarantee, but chances are most likely, just prioritize Btc.

Honestly the future of all the Cryptocurrency can never be determined by any economic or political circumstances, one predictions dies another person hope, the market is always unrealistic and uncertainty.

Well, this is a bit inaccurate. Political circumstances affect Bitcoin. Spot Bitcoin ETF approvals are a good factor, and it was a bullish run driver.
On the other hand, if governments impose strict crypto regulations (the kind of regulation that makes retails suffer), this may steer the future of cryptocurrency into a bad spot. Though this may never really determine Bitcoin's success in the long run,but it can definitely play a role in shaping its price movements and adoption over time.

[Frankolala]

I hope that you're not scared of buying bitcoin based on your post. I can only talk about bitcoin that's a long term investment and the government have already involved themselves in the bitcoin accumulation game because they have seen a hidden secret of success behind it. That alone is enough to clear your doubt that bitcoin will continue creating a new ATH in every bull run. Bitcoin is still in her early stage, and history is enough to give you the confidence you need to start your bitcoin accumulation. Shitcoins is gambling.

[joniboini]

I can only talk about bitcoin that's a long term investment and the government have already involved themselves in the bitcoin accumulation game because they have seen a hidden secret of success behind it. That alone is enough to clear your doubt that bitcoin will continue creating a new ATH in every bull run.

One could argue that it means most people will probably wrong because the bigger players understand how the average joe works now. They won't stop manipulating the market but they won't let it accumulate easily. Who knows, maybe it won't break new ATH in every bullrun because they want to control how much money is there for the average joe. That being said, even if we're at the point where Bitcoin is as controlled as gold, doesn't mean it won't be a good asset to switch your wealth into. Especially if fiat inflation is getting worse every year.

[Peanutswar]

[...] is more like virtual games to me, the more you look the less you see.[...]

Sometimes nowadays people much addicted with the cryptocurrency they keep scouting every time for a new potential coin, check their wallet if the profit is good for a swap already in their wallet so for me basically if you dont have a goal as an investor in crypto or even whats the use of your coin probably I consider them yet still blindly they obssess too much in cryptocurrency.

But if we tried to talk about the market prediction we just rely on what we are seeing such as what are the current trend of the market, what are the possible price movement, so by that we can make a speculation and analysis what are the potential outcome of the market for the next coming days. There is no always assurance in the market of crypto.

[Son Of Blockchain (SOB)]

Digital assets like btc, etherium and others either decentralized or centralized is more like virtual games to me, the more you look the less you see. Honestly the future of all the Cryptocurrency can never be determined by any economic or political circumstances, one predictions dies another person hope, the market is always unrealistic and uncertainty. Inflation might likely cause dips to occur, excessive capitalism or price control in digital markets products or even monopoly of governments decisions.

The future of btc is not actualize by any studies but one might counts its past testimonies and several events of bullish and bearish notwithstanding is difficult to actual tell when the community breaks into major lost because no real fact about its future, I hope it doesn't flies out tomorrow unexpectedly. This is not fact findings but curiosity of Crypto future.

Like what, Cod? If you see digital assets like games it means all investments are games to you then. Indeed you win, and then you lose but when it comes to Investments, you plan and execute. The outcome might not be probable but with a good risk management and patience there's a high chance that your losses over time might not be significant. The volatile nature of the crypto market is what draws many investors to it today. If it wasn't that volatile and a stable market where there's a stable price adoption rate would not get to where it is today. You cannot predict the future, what you can do is to follow its path to where ever it leads and that's why before you go into crypto investments, you should make up your mind to the kind of risk you are about taking. It's not an easy journey but you get used to the varying market conditions.

He's speaking from a traders perspective cause people who invest in a coin like Bitcoin would barely have time predicting the market but focused on accumulating consistently for good returns. Trading is never easy cause no one can tell what the future would look like that's why I laugh at people who feel they can easily turn $100 into thousands, it possible but requires lots of calculated efforts and good risk management as you said.
 Well, it's a bit easier for those who get to understand what they're doing but more tougher for newbies cause they're the ones who feel they can flip little amount of money to something huge but volatility mostly humbles them.

[michellee]

The future of Bitcoin is uncertain but people believes that will increasing the value and gives them profit int the future. That makes them invests for long terms instead short term because they see the value increases from time to time although Bitcoin have bear market, they can accept it and consider that is the best time to start accumulation.

It is no problem if you see Bitcoin as a game because that is your choice but people choose Bitcoin as their long term investment and start collecting it then sell it when they see profits.

[Livingleged]

Digital assets like btc, etherium and others either decentralized or centralized is more like virtual games to me, the more you look the less you see. Honestly the future of all the Cryptocurrency can never be determined by any economic or political circumstances, one predictions dies another person hope, the market is always unrealistic and uncertainty. Inflation might likely cause dips to occur, excessive capitalism or price control in digital markets products or even monopoly of governments decisions.

If you see bitcoin or it's  investment as form of virtual  game then I can say you got it wrong, virtual games are randomly  generated  and are not really  influenced  by any factor like demand  or supply. Bitcoin  can be trace  historicaly  to see how it behavior  has been since it's inception you can as well see how consistent  the chat  has alway being and that is why people  can actually  predict  it future  and make money  from it as well.

While the future  price is uncertain  but bitcoin  investment  has alway reward  those who have held it for long and I don't think that has changed  since  2015, and with this we can say that the future  can be predicted  but not exactly  as it may be. Adoption  of bitcoin  by people  is another  factor  that can also influence  the bitcoin  price because  the more the demand  the more it gain more value as it will be moving  toward  mining  the last blocks and once everything  is minned every  bitcoin  will be in the hand of individual  making  it more scarce  there by increasing  it value.

[thesebassv]

It's difficult to predict because it depends on what people believe. Everything, even gold and fiat get their value from shared belief, it's just that Bitcoin's belief system is "newer" (17 years so far) and still being tested.

A good example is the tulip mania; the price of tulips skyrocketed because people believed they were valuable. Similarly, all cryptocurrencies depend on how valuable people perceive them to be.

But I don't think Bitcoin is likely to disappear, because it has a very strong community. The only thing it needs is a more stable price, but its volatility will continue as long as people keep buying and selling based on their emotions. Every time there's a dip, it's because people panicked and decided to sell for fear of losing their money, something that doesn't happen as often with physical assets like gold because people still have confidence that the price won't change that much, and most importantly, people are already familiar with those assets.

Which makes me think that the fact that people can see it as a real thing is one of the reasons those assets generate more confidence than Bitcoin, since we cannot touch Bitcoin; it is only code on a computer. Even stocks represent something physical.

So, maybe once the price is more stable it will be easier to "predict" what will happen

[MusaPk]

Bitcoin is a volatile asset if we look at it in short duration but this volatility decreases if someone is willing to invest in Bitcoin for long term like at least 4 years or more. The longer you invest in Bitcoin, lesser will be its volatility. The most convincing part of Bitcoin investment is that its price increases with time, at least till date this is the practise and chances are that Bitcoin will maintain the pattern in coming years also. There are many negative predictions about future of Bitcoin right now but we have to overlook them if we want to secure our future profit.  

[arwin100]

Digital assets like btc, etherium and others either decentralized or centralized is more like virtual games to me, the more you look the less you see. Honestly the future of all the Cryptocurrency can never be determined by any economic or political circumstances, one predictions dies another person hope, the market is always unrealistic and uncertainty. Inflation might likely cause dips to occur, excessive capitalism or price control in digital markets products or even monopoly of governments decisions.

The future of btc is not actualize by any studies but one might counts its past testimonies and several events of bullish and bearish notwithstanding is difficult to actual tell when the community breaks into major lost because no real fact about its future, I hope it doesn't flies out tomorrow unexpectedly. This is not fact findings but curiosity of Crypto future.

At least you are aware that its hard to predict the movement of those coins and you will also know that those speculation or predictions released by what they called experts don't have any strong grounds that it will actually happen.

Also you will know that no people could give you a passive income especially those people claim that they are profitable trader and if you invest with them you can also earn passive income.

So research is your weapon to avoid those shady testimonial and any potential scams.

[Nrcewker]

I don’t know much about other coins, but let me tell you about Bitcoin. Instead of jumping to conclusions, let’s get our facts straight first.

We know that the supply of Bitcoin is fixed and limited, meaning no more than the maximum number of bitcoins can ever be created. In economics, we learn about the concept of supply and demand. When demand is high and supply is low, prices tend to increase because more people are competing for a limited resource. The same concept applies to Bitcoin. Since its supply is fixed, if the demand to buy and hold Bitcoin increases, its price is also likely to rise. Therefore, if you’re unsure about the future of other cryptocurrencies, you can simply have faith in Bitcoin.

Buy as much Bitcoin as you can afford and hold onto it. In the future, there may come a time when you could potentially make three to four times your investment by selling your Bitcoin.

[Luzin]

Honestly the future of all the Cryptocurrency can never be determined by any economic or political circumstances, one predictions dies another person hope, the market is always unrealistic and uncertainty.

I don't agree with your statement. In fact, Political Economy has a big effect on Bitcoin and Crypto. It's already provenjust look at the Iran vs America situation, or look at the market when the FED announces interest rates. Political Economy these days actually adds a really strong flavor to crypto, especially Bitcoin.

The future of btc is not actualize by any studies but one might counts its past testimonies and several events of bullish and bearish notwithstanding is difficult to actual tell when the community breaks into major lost because no real fact about its future, I hope it doesn't flies out tomorrow unexpectedly. This is not fact findings but curiosity of Crypto future.

Communities and trust provide strong evidence of how they have grown up to today. So currently, they are growing into industries, and even big companies have them. This means trust is increasing, so the future seems brighter for crypto. But I understand everything could still disappear, although Bitcoin is growing and it’s not going anywhere anytime soon.

IMO

[PX-Z]

That's one of the most interesting aspects of bitcoin and the crypto market. Despite the uncertainty about what the future holds, the long term price trend has continued to tell a different story.

The market may go through bull and bear phases that last for months, sometimes even longer, but those cycles are part of its nature. Historically, after a prolonged downturn, another bull market has eventually followed. While nothing is guaranteed, that's one of the reasons many long term holders remain optimistic.

[CryptoYar]

While it is true that there is degree of unsureness, it is also missed what Bitcoin is at basic level as it compared to virtual game. Virtual games have admin that can change rules, end servers or delete accounts. That is not the case with Bitcoin. No single group controls it, no one can print more of it, and it has proven to run continuously for more than 15 years even as it has been put through every political and economic crisis that has come its way. It is not game, it is true new form of financial setup.
There is a reality to price jumps and no one should act otherwise. However, unsureness of price and future are two different matters. As years go on, existence of bitcoin and continued working of virtual currency has become more and more certain. The amount it will cost at any given time is what remains in the dark.
History, network power growth, large company adoption and fixed supply all offer clear points, if not final results. More than most assets provide as basis for study.