In fact, if you want to invest in Bitcoin for the long term, just looking at the current market doesn't require much analysis. If you look at the last ATH price and the current price, there's already been a significant drop.
It’s really a good time to buy if you are planning to invest in bitcoin for long period of time. Bitcoin price have been dropping for some time now, and we can see that bitcoin price has dropped so low now, so even if you buy at the current price, am not expecting much drop from bitcoin price again, so buying now is really a good buy.
If you are scared that bitcoin price is going to drop more, and you don’t want to buy all at once, you can just make use of DCA strategy, you can be buying it gradually, so even if the price drops more, you going to keep on accumulating. Anyone buying bitcoin currently is just kind of lucky to me, but don’t think bitcoin price is going to start pumping from the current price, we might experience more dip before things will bounce back.
I would say that lucky are those who are capable enough to DCA into Bitcoin, because those are basically the only ones who are probably accumulating at this time or have accumulated until this point, because someone who doesn't have enough funds or resources would probably be waiting for a better price to make a purchase since they know they can buy only once, but those who have a constant flow of money are free or have been free to buy at different price points from the past and they can continue doing so if the price goes down further from here.
I believe that Bitcoin has been in accumulation phase since the point it dropped below $70k, because as I said, those who are able to DCA into it, they must have started their accumulation process long before the price where the market is at the moment.
Short-term pumps cannot be considered a signal that the mass accumulation phase has started, because if that happens, the market won't just go up a few thousand dollars and then stop and drop a few thousands again, because then it will just keep going forward and then after some time, we experience a new all-time high, and there is still time for that because the halving is pretty far for now, and most people wait for that event before accumulating.