But here is my practical challenge:
How do you mathematically or visually differentiate between genuine long-term absorption, and a temporary "Whale Trap"?
You know, when a whale puts up a fake limit wall just to induce early retail longs, only to pull the bid 5 minutes later and flush the price down to grab liquidity?
What is your specific confirmation trigger to know the absorption is real and not a spoof?
It is not easy to know but you will just need to try your luck but by using the money that you can afford to lose. What I have noticed is that there can be increased trading volume and the price action is noticed on a particular coin, but within few minutes or hours, the price of the coin that is going up before will suddenly crash and the trading volume will fall back.
Even the market that the whales are really dominating, the price action is not in a way that the price will just be going up, you will see whales sell and buy again. You may think the whales are dumping the coin but later buying it again. You can see what happened to the coin called BANK few days ago. I thought the coin has increased 10x already, the price dropped and later the whales took it up again and it later went up more than 20x.
The best one that I know if to just buy bitcoin and just wait for the bull run.