Outrights 26/27 season for reference

[Sim_card]

Bayern Munich to win the Bundesliga simple bet.
PSG to win the French Ligue 1 easy bet.
In th La Liga, Barcelona or Real Madrid is going to win the La Liga. I will place my bet on Real Madrid this time.
In the Premier League ( the most competitive league in the world). No certaintity who will win. Could be Manchester City, Arsenal or Liverpool.

EPL is always unpredictable gone are the days of Manchester City dominating the league. I don't think anyone can predict this correctly, because no team should be underestimated. Only Bayern and PSG is a sure bet. In Laliga, it's either Barca or Real Madrid. You can only win that of Laliga by luck.

[Slow death]

In this Premier League top 6, I wouldn't risk betting that Chelsea and Manchester City could be there. I know there will be people saying the opposite because they saw the name "Manchester City" and forgot that Guardiola is no longer there, so I won't consider Manchester City strong without Guardiola for now. It's also strange that you didn't include Aston Villa, who finished 4th last season, 6th in the 2024-2025 season, and 4th in the 2023-2024 season, and it was in that season that Tottenham finished 5th. With a new manager at Tottenham, I see them with the potential to finish in the top 6.

For me, the safe bets would be:

- Bayern to be champions

- PSG to be champions

- Arsenal and Liverpool to finish in the top 6

If there's a market to bet that Haaland won't be the top scorer, I won't hesitate to bet $1 because the odds will be high, so it will be very worthwhile. Without Guardiola and with this new coach, Manchester City will decline, and he will go down with it.

[KTChampions]

~
Now going back to Spain, I wonder if it's not more value in this
- Atlético top 4 for 1.25
- Atletico winner without Madrid/Barcelona 1.66
You're essentially betting on place 3 rather than place 3&4.

On paper, this looks like a perfect bet strengthening, instead of 25% you are aiming for 66% profit, which in itself is a big X - 2.64 (66/25).
But there's a huge risk of a repeat of last season's situation, when Atlético, having dropped out of the title race, completely abandoned La Liga and focused on the Champions League. The most striking example is this segment of games:

On April 8, Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona in the Champions League with their main squad
On April 11, Atletico loses to Sevilla (17th place before the game) playing with its second team
On April 14th, the return match in the Champions League against Barcelona with the main squad
April 22nd loses to Elche (18th place before the game) playing with its second team

Atletico doesn't care about third place at all, they're cynically solving problems and redistributing resources, so despite the apparent similarity of the situation, the risk here is growing at the same rate (if not more) than the profit.
If this was a real competition for gold with Real and Barcelona actually missing, I would bet on Atletico 1.66 without hesitation, they have only missed out on this "title" twice in the last 15 years 

[Perfectbaby]

If I may get you correctly, the above digital are the odds you gave to them on the match or that is your prediction already? Sincerely most time you can’t really predict what would happened next to these club you had picked. Like know the English premier is actually that competitive and if you do not know what you pick then the game would be against you completely.
However, it will be more better to bet on the team you know very well and familiar with otherwise if you bet on a team you do know there way around there are possibilities for you to lose more.