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Author Topic: Outrights 26/27 season for reference  (Read 244 times)
Sim_card
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Today at 07:34:00 AM
 #21

Bayern Munich to win the Bundesliga simple bet.
PSG to win the French Ligue 1 easy bet.
In th La Liga, Barcelona or Real Madrid is going to win the La Liga. I will place my bet on Real Madrid this time.
In the Premier League ( the most competitive league in the world). No certaintity who will win. Could be Manchester City, Arsenal or Liverpool.
EPL is always unpredictable gone are the days of Manchester City dominating the league. I don't think anyone can predict this correctly, because no team should be underestimated. Only Bayern and PSG is a sure bet. In Laliga, it's either Barca or Real Madrid. You can only win that of Laliga by luck.

R


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Today at 09:54:15 AM
 #22

In this Premier League top 6, I wouldn't risk betting that Chelsea and Manchester City could be there. I know there will be people saying the opposite because they saw the name "Manchester City" and forgot that Guardiola is no longer there, so I won't consider Manchester City strong without Guardiola for now. It's also strange that you didn't include Aston Villa, who finished 4th last season, 6th in the 2024-2025 season, and 4th in the 2023-2024 season, and it was in that season that Tottenham finished 5th. With a new manager at Tottenham, I see them with the potential to finish in the top 6.

For me, the safe bets would be:

- Bayern to be champions

- PSG to be champions

- Arsenal and Liverpool to finish in the top 6

If there's a market to bet that Haaland won't be the top scorer, I won't hesitate to bet $1 because the odds will be high, so it will be very worthwhile. Without Guardiola and with this new coach, Manchester City will decline, and he will go down with it.

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Today at 10:29:43 AM
 #23

~
Now going back to Spain, I wonder if it's not more value in this
- Atlético top 4 for 1.25
- Atletico winner without Madrid/Barcelona 1.66
You're essentially betting on place 3 rather than place 3&4.

On paper, this looks like a perfect bet strengthening, instead of 25% you are aiming for 66% profit, which in itself is a big X - 2.64 (66/25).
But there's a huge risk of a repeat of last season's situation, when Atlético, having dropped out of the title race, completely abandoned La Liga and focused on the Champions League. The most striking example is this segment of games:

On April 8, Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona in the Champions League with their main squad
On April 11, Atletico loses to Sevilla (17th place before the game) playing with its second team
On April 14th, the return match in the Champions League against Barcelona with the main squad
April 22nd loses to Elche (18th place before the game) playing with its second team

Atletico doesn't care about third place at all, they're cynically solving problems and redistributing resources, so despite the apparent similarity of the situation, the risk here is growing at the same rate (if not more) than the profit.
If this was a real competition for gold with Real and Barcelona actually missing, I would bet on Atletico 1.66 without hesitation, they have only missed out on this "title" twice in the last 15 years  Cheesy

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Today at 12:30:16 PM
 #24

If I may get you correctly, the above digital are the odds you gave to them on the match or that is your prediction already? Sincerely most time you can’t really predict what would happened next to these club you had picked. Like know the English premier is actually that competitive and if you do not know what you pick then the game would be against you completely.
However, it will be more better to bet on the team you know very well and familiar with otherwise if you bet on a team you do know there way around there are possibilities for you to lose more.


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Today at 02:47:36 PM
 #25

I really do like the outright acca for Top 4 finishes. Haaland seems like a steal for me, but I personally avoid individual performances once a huge managerial change happens (as I missed out on Salah 2 seasons ago, I say this).

Only an injury or some force majeure could prevent Haaland from showing his average result (27+ goals, which would ensure first place) after all, City is still under threat of the verdict of that case about 115 violations, but the odds compensate for the risk in my opinion.

I was never more than hopeful when the news first emerged, and when last season simply went by without any meaningful progress, I think it's safe to say nothing significant will come of it. I wouldn't want to punish Haaland for it, most if not all those charges related to a period he wasn't even around (I think).

Still waiting for some odds here and there, I might actually have no outrights this season for the first time in about ten years. Nothing speaks to me strongly, for some reason.

P.S. Relegation outrights are gnarly... curious to know just how many people put money on this. The ultimate hate move.

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Today at 08:43:29 PM
 #26

Bayern Munich to win the Bundesliga simple bet.
PSG to win the French Ligue 1 easy bet.
In th La Liga, Barcelona or Real Madrid is going to win the La Liga. I will place my bet on Real Madrid this time.
In the Premier League ( the most competitive league in the world). No certaintity who will win. Could be Manchester City, Arsenal or Liverpool.
EPL is always unpredictable gone are the days of Manchester City dominating the league. I don't think anyone can predict this correctly, because no team should be underestimated. Only Bayern and PSG is a sure bet. In Laliga, it's either Barca or Real Madrid. You can only win that of Laliga by luck.

All thanks to Arteta for being the first manager to battle with Pep Guardiola and win the EPL. I wont include 2025 Arne Slot because Manchester City wasn't in a position to contest for the league title. However, Manchester City still has a decent squad to compete for the league, but it seems we dont have faith in Enzo Maresca to be a successful manager at City. My choice to win the EPL for now is Arsenal.

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Cleanshit
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Today at 08:54:09 PM
 #27


Still waiting for some odds here and there, I might actually have no outrights this season for the first time in about ten years. Nothing speaks to me strongly, for some reason.

That a very decipline approach before the season get to start a lot of bettors, do have this feelings that they do need an outright ticket. But would say staying out it also a decision if odds don't really offer good value enough. Afterfew first matchweeks, markets do become clearer as new managers will settle in, were we check out how signing fit and also wheathe the key players do stay fit. I would would really say that it better one lock it bankroll in a bet he don't really believe in, then for him to miss outright opportunity. Patience really do pays most times it a best value 

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