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Author Topic: ⚽ Vega.bet ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2026/2027  (Read 4788 times)
rdluffy
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November 10, 2026, 08:00:44 PM
 #341

...

I did that few times when I was in a hurry, but it didn't turn out to be good. AI can make predictions based on some past statistics and some published news. But I still think that human factor plays an important part in making good predictions. Sometimes you just have a gut feeling that goes against all odds and later it turns out to be correct.


Lol about AI, no, you need specific sports model built only for the league and I was explaining in another thread that La Liga does use this on some of their broadcasts, but the AI does it poorly even with the most updated data.
...

Somehow, the AI helped me get my highest score so far: 18 points  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Up until then, my best round had been 13 points, so in that regard, it worked really well

Now, in the week I scored 18 points, practically everyone did well and scored more points, haha
Looking at the numbers, it seems like it was the easiest round to predict of all

I think I'll need to ask AI one more time, just one more round  Cheesy

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slackovic
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November 11, 2026, 09:05:06 AM
 #342

Somehow, the AI helped me get my highest score so far: 18 points  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Up until then, my best round had been 13 points, so in that regard, it worked really well

Now, in the week I scored 18 points, practically everyone did well and scored more points, haha
Looking at the numbers, it seems like it was the easiest round to predict of all

I think I'll need to ask AI one more time, just one more round  Cheesy

Everyone did well in the last round because most of the results were expected (favorites won against a weaker team). That is probably why AI helped you to get plenty of points, but in reality it didn't - AI just went with the favorites. You can try with AI one more time, but if more games finish with an unexpected result, I don't think that you will earn a lot of points.

cygan (OP)
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November 11, 2026, 12:50:08 PM
 #343

✂️
Everyone did well in the last round because most of the results were expected (favorites won against a weaker team).
✂️

unfortunately, not everyone... Grin
since i'm a huge werder bremen supporter, i find it very hard to take off my green/white glasses and make an unbiased prediction against werder.
since bremen has been performing well this season, there's a good chance they'll pick up more points here Smiley
they shouldn't have lost in stuttgart either (based on the second half)...

KTChampions
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November 11, 2026, 01:03:42 PM
 #344

Somehow, the AI helped me get my highest score so far: 18 points  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Up until then, my best round had been 13 points, so in that regard, it worked really well

Now, in the week I scored 18 points, practically everyone did well and scored more points, haha
Looking at the numbers, it seems like it was the easiest round to predict of all

I think I'll need to ask AI one more time, just one more round  Cheesy

cygan, please disqualify him - I thought this was a competition for humans, not machines! Grin Of course, I’m joking.
In games of chance or contests with uncertain outcomes, I don’t yet see how AI could provide a tangible advantage. In dreams, of course, I’d love to build an AI that earns money - but it definitely wouldn’t involve gambling, given the house edge.

unfortunately, not everyone... Grin
since i'm a huge werder bremen supporter, i find it very hard to take off my green/white glasses and make an unbiased prediction against werder.
since bremen has been performing well this season, there's a good chance they'll pick up more points here Smiley
they shouldn't have lost in stuttgart either (based on the second half)...

I have a similar situation with Real and United. It’s one thing when I predict a 3-0 win for Real in a competition (and actually make some cash from their victories), but it’s a completely different story with United - I end up losing both points in the forecasting contests and real money on bets as well. I often place bets thinking, "things can’t possibly get any worse", but they manage to prove me wrong every single time!

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slackovic
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November 11, 2026, 02:41:11 PM
 #345

/snip

In games of chance or contests with uncertain outcomes, I don’t yet see how AI could provide a tangible advantage. In dreams, of course, I’d love to build an AI that earns money - but it definitely wouldn’t involve gambling, given the house edge.

/snip

Well, I guess that AI can help with some research in a way that you don't need to read bunch of reports. For example, you can probably get AI to check the brackets and see which players will meet up before the semifinal. But in the end, a human decision (or a gut feeling) is probably still a far better choice. I don't know... It's still fun for me to manually do the research and try to pick results.

darbitmobilerecovery
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November 11, 2026, 04:00:31 PM
 #346

Damn man.... Congratulations to this guys oblivioncrypto( i dont write it right to not give him another annoying ping/tag) despite being a round of high scoring for everyone in the pool (you can check it since i scored 21 points and being one of the worst in the pool) 27 points are something really big and you get almos all the correct results in the games and a lot of exact scores.

/snip

In games of chance or contests with uncertain outcomes, I don’t yet see how AI could provide a tangible advantage. In dreams, of course, I’d love to build an AI that earns money - but it definitely wouldn’t involve gambling, given the house edge.

/snip

Well, I guess that AI can help with some research in a way that you don't need to read bunch of reports. For example, you can probably get AI to check the brackets and see which players will meet up before the semifinal. But in the end, a human decision (or a gut feeling) is probably still a far better choice. I don't know... It's still fun for me to manually do the research and try to pick results.

I still ahve my doubts about AI..... the few times i use it i dont like the results he provide. I only tested it ina  NFL pool in which i know nothing about so i try to see how the AI thinks and to be honest the results were awfull. SO i swicht to traditional simple analysis made by me which consist in only seeing the odds who is in home condition, current form and position in the leaderboard and it was way better.

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KTChampions
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November 11, 2026, 06:04:15 PM
 #347

/snip

In games of chance or contests with uncertain outcomes, I don’t yet see how AI could provide a tangible advantage. In dreams, of course, I’d love to build an AI that earns money - but it definitely wouldn’t involve gambling, given the house edge.

/snip

Well, I guess that AI can help with some research in a way that you don't need to read bunch of reports. For example, you can probably get AI to check the brackets and see which players will meet up before the semifinal. But in the end, a human decision (or a gut feeling) is probably still a far better choice. I don't know... It's still fun for me to manually do the research and try to pick results.

When money is at stake, you’ll have to check everything manually anyway Wink I remember back in the summer, during the World Cup, I tried to gauge the chances of various teams reaching the knockout stage by finishing third in their group. The AI ​​told me, "Congo has no chance, since they drew 1-1 and only have 2 points". The funny thing is, this was five hours before their match - which Congo ended up winning Grin
For instance, try finding the number of yellow and red cards Mourinho has received as a coach. I remember completely breaking an AI with that question - it kept churning out a bunch of contradictory answers. Then again, who knows - maybe modern models could provide a correct answer.

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slackovic
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November 11, 2026, 06:52:35 PM
 #348

/snip

For instance, try finding the number of yellow and red cards Mourinho has received as a coach. I remember completely breaking an AI with that question - it kept churning out a bunch of contradictory answers. Then again, who knows - maybe modern models could provide a correct answer.

You got me thinking so I checked with Claude that I use for work. It says that Mourinho received a total of 15 red cards in his čarter as a coach. It couldn't however find a reliable source for the number of yellow cards. For red cards it says that 15 is not the exact number because when he was a coach in Chelsea, no one showed him a red card - he was just asked to leave. Of course, I have no idea if all of this is correct Grin

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November 12, 2026, 08:59:06 AM
 #349

/snip

For instance, try finding the number of yellow and red cards Mourinho has received as a coach. I remember completely breaking an AI with that question - it kept churning out a bunch of contradictory answers. Then again, who knows - maybe modern models could provide a correct answer.

You got me thinking so I checked with Claude that I use for work. It says that Mourinho received a total of 15 red cards in his čarter as a coach. It couldn't however find a reliable source for the number of yellow cards. For red cards it says that 15 is not the exact number because when he was a coach in Chelsea, no one showed him a red card - he was just asked to leave. Of course, I have no idea if all of this is correct Grin

That’s precisely the problem - there are nuances. From a common-sense perspective, being sent to the stands (under the old format) is not the same thing as receiving a card - so why even mention it? In any case, if this is a serious matter, you’ll have to look into it or think it through for yourself. But it’s impossible to deny the trend, it’s quite possible that a year from now, we’ll be configuring agents to play against bookmakers who have, in turn, configured their own agents Grin We need to have time to enjoy the moments while the internet is not completely dead.

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