Which of these modern sports is actually the easiest to predict?

[retreat]

No matter what sport it is, if you're already familiar with it, it can be easier to bet on because you've been following it for a long time. If you say this to someone from India, they might say that cricket is a sport they find easy to predict because most of them are already familiar with the game and feel more confident betting on it compared to other sports. So I think it all comes down to how familiar you are with the sport, which makes it seem more predictable to you, not because the sport itself is easy to predict.

[dwyane36]

It would be esports for me, dota 2 to be exact. I play these games regularly and I'm updated on the leagues that pros are playing so I can analyze and bet on teams on major tournaments. Teams are casually changing players on every TI so I have bias on position roles of players. I usually go for known players rather than known teams as it is more reliable base on my experience.

For the majority of the sports, I think the more you know about it is the more you can predict the outcome of the game. Single player game would be easier to bet I guess, since you will only track a single person performance from his/her past games.

Yes, I agree that if someone has previously played or is still playing a particular sport, they naturally know more about its intricacies, making it easier for them to analyze it and place bets. The same applies to video games and, consequently, to betting on esports.

[Rashlyowl]

For those who have followed different sports over the years. Out of football, tennis, NBA, Swimming, golf, horse racing, wrestling, Car Racing, Hockey and other modern sports, which one do you personally find easiest to predict and do you think that is because the sport is actually more predictable or it is simply because you understand it much better!!![glow]

Subjectively, I choose football because it is the sport that has filled my time from childhood until now. Most people find it easy to do something once they understand it, making a prediction is no different, I don't think there is any distinction there. I don't like the NBA, so I find everything about it difficult. By the way, I have never placed a single NBA bet in my life.

[puloweh555]

Out of all the sports out there, I choose to bet comfortably and easily on soccer. Actually, it's not just because it's easy, but soccer is very familiar to me and I even watch soccer almost every week. So this also makes it easier for me to analyze before betting.  

It's different from other sports besides rarely following them, I also don't really understand them. Something we don't master we probably shouldn't bet on because it could lead to continuous losses. Besides, betting on sports that we like and know is more enjoyable, whether we win or lose. It's different from betting on sports we don't like or have never watched we don't even understand the game system, so betting without analysis and without statistics is basically just betting blindly.

[Chinesebaby]

But now I feel that familiarity from early stages is what makes football feel easier to predict for me or is it that football is actually easier compared to other sports. Some of us don't have the same exposure to all this professional sports like the NBA, tennis, golf, cricket, horse racing, Swimming, Car Racing or even wrestling. Some of these sports are not things you see physically around you on a regular basis, like our first real exposure to some of them was through television or in some cases, by going online to understand the rules and how the sport is actually played.

Early exposure is one of the predominant factor that makes a game easier to predict by the general public, and just like football which seems to have been the most popular game that people can play at a very low cost, unlike basketball, baseball and the rest whose ball are always expensive, when it comes to football, it's ball is always cheap and likewise can be improvise by using any circular object, which is why tend to be the most popular. And it's popularity gave it a worldwide interest for the game, whereby the more people talk about it, analyze its games, the more gamblers that are likely to bet on it, simply because they have watched analysis online or might have watched live games, and knowing which team likely to perform better in it's subsequent games.

[SOKO-DEKE]

I wouldn't say any of those sports are the easiest to predict, but people can find one as easiest sport to predict but that is based on their exposure to that particular sport. So, I will say it all depends on the individual.Like me, for example, I see football as the easiest sport to predict, and the reason behind it is that it is the sport I always deal with. I don't deal with any other sport like football, so my understanding of other sports is limited.I have a friend who always says that basketball is the easiest sport to predict, and I don't always try to argue with him because I know it is what he loves watching and playing.So, the sport that can be easy for me to predict can be hard for other people because they don't know how everything works in that particular sport. Therefore, every sport can be easy to predict and also hard to predict, depending on the individual and their level of knowledge and exposure to the sport.

[Luzin]

I feel confident that people who bet on certain sports do so because they have carefully understood how the competition unfolds. So, they understand the sports statistics in various factors that can serve as a basis for analysis. Even though there will be many probabilities that cannot be measured precisely due to certain factors. If I follow what the OP wrote here, then I might pick the two sports that seem to have the least analysis basis: Golf and Tennis. But some people might disagree because they are used to other sports. The factor of individual strength becomes the basis for decision-making, so the probability is just on the individual, not a team working for them. IMO

[programmer3666]

I would not say football is easier to predict in general. It is rather about how much exposure you have had to football through your life, which has given you much information and intuition which are obvious advantages not all people within the betting ecosystem have.

I did not grow up watching as much football as you, so to me it takes more effort to correctly predict the outcome of a game. If football was actually as predictable as it is in the eyes with someone with much experience, then odds and the market overall would look completely different from what we have today.

I will not ague this because if football was really that easy to predict, I don't think the betting market would be as it is today. Well, I guess familiarity can sometimes make us feel like we know what will happen even when the game can still pull a surprise package on us. There are times you watch a match and everything will look very obvious before kickoff!! then the game starts and you realise that football has its own plans. But regardless, I still enjoy trying to predict football more than the other sports because that is the one I understand best. I can follow the teams, know the players, form, injuries and even have some idea of what to expect from certain teams without having to do any stressful research. But with some of these other sports, I honestly will not even know where to start from.

[Texac]

I don't bet much on sports other than football and cricket. I find these two sports easier to predict, especially cricket. Since I have been following these sports for a long time, I have gained enough experience in knowing what kind of performance a team can perform and which players are good enough to turn the outcome of the match. In that case, if I really research the teams and bet on which team can win, I have been able to profit in most cases, although I don't take much risk in sports betting.

hmm, having good experience of particular sport can really give you certain advantage. If you have been following football or cricket for year then you have better understanding of teams form. I am sure that any casual bettor might not even take into account. But I would still be careful about saying that this allow you to make profit in most cases.

In my opinion it is actually no matter how good our analysis is, it is not possible to account for everything perfectly.
Moreover bookmaker also have lot of statistic, so much of the publicly available information is already reflected in their offering odd.

Even if you predict the majority of match correctly but profit is not guaranteed. Especially if you regularly bet on favorites with low odd.
And not risking a large amount is also very sensible approach in my opinion.

[Nothingtodo]

For those who have followed different sports over the years. Out of football, tennis, NBA, Swimming, golf, horse racing, wrestling, Car Racing, Hockey and other modern sports, which one do you personally find easiest to predict and do you think that is because the sport is actually more predictable or it is simply because you understand it much better!!!

Most of the time I like to watch football matches because football is a popular sport all over the world and the game is over in a short time, within just one and a half hours, so there is not much disruption to work. However, in terms of my betting, I generally give the most priority to football. And in football, regular updates and sufficient analysis of the team are necessary. That is why it is very easy for me to find out the prediction of football matches. And I basically place most of my bets on football matches. However, the happy thing is that most of my predictions that I make before the start of the match basically match my predictions, which I do not get the correct results from any other sports by making predictions.

[Stable090]

No matter what sport it is, if you're already familiar with it, it can be easier to bet on because you've been following it for a long time.

Everyone is just going to choose the sport which they are to as the easiest to predict. You don’t expect me to start making predictions on sports which I don’t really know much about, there is no way am going to find it easy to predict. So I will say all games are easy to predict, it just depends on what you are use to. I will say football is easy to predict, because that’s the sport that am so familiar with, and that’s the sport I so have interest in.

If you say this to someone from India, they might say that cricket is a sport they find easy to predict because most of them are already familiar with the game and feel more confident betting on it compared to other sports.

In my country here, you will find difficult to see people talk about other sports, they always talk about football, because that’s the sport thats popular here. If you see people gambling on other sports, they don’t always have much knowledge about it, they just gamble blindly, so most people you will see here gamble on football.

[Gozie51]

You will see people playing it everywhere you watch it on television, you discuss it with friends and families and with time you naturally become very familiar with the teams, players, competitions and how the game works.

I was expecting you to also say the reason people find it easier to follow and gamble on it is also because they play the game physically, maybe as a child or at one point in their life. Football is no doubt the most popular and easy to bet game and that is because majority of the people in the world now understand the game and the rules. If you look at the Asian countries that prior to this time, they never got interested in football but they are now. They do all things possible to get high class footballers to play in their leagues because it will attract fans and advertisement/marketing will also generate money for them. This is enough reason that football is easy to follow.

~snip~

I don’t think it has anything to do with physical seeing or participating in the sport; it's just about something of interest. Some people just watch it on TV, got attached to it, and from their following up on the sport in every season and keeping to details can get you familiar with that sport.

In my own POV, I believe that it is not just because people watch football that they follow it or that it becomes easy to bet on. Apart from the media aspect of it, football is also popular because people are physically involved in it. It is only very few people that may not have played a little bit of football from childhood to adulthood. They understand the rules and follow it up whenever there is changes to them as they also apply it in their local organized competition that they also gamble P2P on. The familiarity and participation of people in football is pivotal, that has created the attraction and love for it more than other sports game. Advertisement play a role on the awareness of football but being physically involved too has given rise to its easy understanding.

[Rabata]

which one do you personally find easiest to predict and do you think that is because the sport is actually more predictable or it is simply because you understand it much better!!!

I think that the game that people understand well, they watch that game with excitement and their interest in that game increases, they are able to make good guesses about that game at some point. Some people may like football, some basketball, some NBA or any other games. Different types of people may have love for different types of games. However, in my opinion, I think that people are more passionate about football all over the world. People consider football differently than any other game. Those who try to watch football regularly can guess who can win in that game, but they cannot be sure that which team can really win. This cannot be said because it is difficult to understand who is better in every game, especially if the teams are of the same level.

[MorganaX]

There's no sport that's completely predictable when it comes betting and from the experience I have had so far even with the games that I'm familiar with there is never a linear path to winning consistently. Football is the option a lot of people would go for the most but this is because they are familiar with the sport. As a bettor that has been betting on soccer for a while i can tell you for a fact that it's not actually easy to win especially when the leagues are on break.

In a nutshell no sports games is easy to bet on, you must always be ready to lose, which is why you must stake what you can afford to lose at all times.

[Chibit01]

It's not really about easiest, it's about the one you identify with since what appears natural to you would definitely be very easy for you to predict. I'll go with football since I play and it's easier to understand and predict. I also have a friend who's a basketballer and has zero interests in football, he bets steadily on basketball games as well, so it's more about what is appealing to us.

Football will appear to be the most talked-about sport here and which many pick interest in, maybe because we can easily come across people who are playing football in the street than the chances of us seeing every other form of sport which makes them a bit unpopular compared to football. We can have clue on how to predict our favourite sport, but that does not mean it will be easy, easy to predict is constantly being mentioned in this thread as if it's really that simple to make a perfect prediction in your favourite sport.

[Joy- maker]

None of them are actually easy to predict, I know some people would say football matches can be easily predicted but that's not true, if football matches can be easily predicted as most of us think, then those who better only on football matches are supposed be profitable always but they are always profitable.

As a matter of fact, I can't really tell the sports that can easily predicted, all my life i stuck to watching football, I rarely watch other sports, however, there was a time I when liked basketball and wrestling, but I later stopped watching them and focused only on watching football, which is my favorite sport.