Is this the Bull Run that we have been waiting for?

[Proty]

This is just my observation, but it seems Bitcoin really becomes bullish most of the time in the last quarter of the year.

Anyway, how do you see this? Is this already the bull run that we have been waiting for, or just another pump? Give some technical aspects or justification if you have too, let us understand this.

Well many people are as confused as you are, people believe that when Bitcoin surge during bear season then it is bull, but we have to understand is that there are times when Bitcoin increase during bear and they mistake it for bull run when it's actually a bull trap. But However If this is really bull run we all will know if it keeps surging and not expirencing a big correction. But if we look closely it appears that we are gradually going bullish.

The problem is seeing every price rise as a bull run and this is the mindset of most people. During bear season the market can still make a strong move before a major decline again. Therefore it is good to watch the market movement constantly before reaching at a conclusion. If the price continues to fluctuate up and downs without a break, then we can say that we are in a bull run and not merely as a result of some candles showing greens.

[Bushdark]

Not being close to the next halving can never be a perfect justification why anyone wouldn't believe that the bull season is about to kick off, we can experience a bull season at anytime whether we are close to the next halving or not, don't forget how unpredictable the market can be and perhaps no history are guaranteed of repeating itself, now it doesn't matter what we believe to be an indication or not, we can only be compel to concede the reality of the market, let's keep watching.

Look at the historical price movement of Bitcoin, you will see that it move in patterns, and history keeps on repeating itself, that's why investors always believes that the bull season comes after or before the halving. You are right when you said that nothing is impossible, and history may not repeat itself as expected due to the uncertainty of the market, but until then we can never be certain that the bull season has kicked off until it's confirmed.

History repeat itself and that has been the pattern so many traders have been using when they are trading.
They often check for market patterns and keep it has graph that can be use in the future to know what the market could be probably heading to. This has been the reason why we have so many market patterns in form of chart that are used to predict the future movement of cryptocurrency assets. The use of indicators can also help to predict the future price of Bitcoin or altcoins and it has been very effective as new indicators are being programmed to make trading easy to know what's happening in the market.

[Yorubek]

Anyway, how do you see this? Is this already the bull run that we have been waiting for, or just another pump? Give some technical aspects or justification if you have too, let us understand this.

The price of Bitcoin is naturally increasing in this situation, the reason for the increase in the price of Bitcoin in the current market is the high buying pressure. According to the current situation, the price of Bitcoin is now suitable for correction according to the Bitcoin market chart, but the positive side has helped the price of Bitcoin to increase.
As a result, the price of Bitcoin has naturally improved after the sharp fall of Bitcoin, but this does not determine the signs of the Bitcoin bull market. So we can call it a natural rise in Bitcoin that at any time the Bitcoin market may move forward at the moment of correction again.

The current price of Bitcoin is $86,645 which is increasing naturally and the price is stable, but it is not certain how long the price of Bitcoin will remain stable. However, looking at the current price of Bitcoin and the way it is increasing, it is not yet certain that this is a bull market for Bitcoin. The current price of Bitcoin will gradually improve and we will see the ATH, but it needs more time. However, during the volatility of Bitcoin, every opportunity will be used with confidence and wait for Bitcoin ATH, so that you can enjoy all the opportunities that come from Bitcoin.

[Wiwo]

The current price of Bitcoin is $86,645 which is increasing naturally and the price is stable, but it is not certain how long the price of Bitcoin will remain stable. However, looking at the current price of Bitcoin and the way it is increasing, it is not yet certain that this is a bull market for Bitcoin. The current price of Bitcoin will gradually improve and we will see the ATH, but it needs more time. However, during the volatility of Bitcoin, every opportunity will be used with confidence and wait for Bitcoin ATH, so that you can enjoy all the opportunities that come from Bitcoin.

The question is not wether the price lf bitcoin is stable or not, but that we are way above the resistance zone now, bitcoin achieving and moving up to 85k+ price is quite remarkable price that anyone should already know that pulling back won't matter much even if it happens.

Highest low we could see within the next end of this year can not take us below $70k any more, so we shouldn't be panicking if we even see a pull back in price it won't last long before a new lift for the market will occur, and that could take us above $100k price.

[JiiBs]

The problem is seeing every price rise as a bull run and this is the mindset of most people. During bear season the market can still make a strong move before a major decline again. Therefore it is good to watch the market movement constantly before reaching at a conclusion.

It is indeed true that many people are eager to see the bullrun kick in with every green candle on the charts, however we all know that isn’t always the case and we can’t blame those who are in this habit of high expectations in the market with every pump in price.
What I wouldn’t support is the part where you said, people need to watch the market constantly to come to a conclusion. That is one of the behaviors that I find to be unnecessarily and could be detrimental to mental health:

Come on, the market is in a state of constant flux, watching it constantly would put your emotions in that same state, happy and sad the next minute.

What I find to be ideal would be, being patient with the market and should you at some point find the market to have maintained an up trend and is heading towards the ATH after breaking certain resistance line on the charts, then we can come to some conclusion.

[Ndabagi01]

The current price of Bitcoin is $86,645 which is increasing naturally and the price is stable, but it is not certain how long the price of Bitcoin will remain stable. However, looking at the current price of Bitcoin and the way it is increasing, it is not yet certain that this is a bull market for Bitcoin. The current price of Bitcoin will gradually improve and we will see the ATH, but it needs more time. However, during the volatility of Bitcoin, every opportunity will be used with confidence and wait for Bitcoin ATH, so that you can enjoy all the opportunities that come from Bitcoin.

The nature of performance of the market cannot allow us to tell the direction the market is headed exactly, we could just speculate but we can’t tell the exact direction yet. The market all time high is till far from being reached and it is after then we can talk of the market attaining a new ATH which is not even expected anytime soon. The fact that the market is trading above $80K, that doesn’t mean that the market will remain like that in that direction, it can change trend at anytime and we see a market downturn happening when we least expected it. The Bitcoin market still remains speculative, and whatever outcome the market comes with, we should be prepared for it.

[fullfitlarry]

The current price of Bitcoin is $86,645 which is increasing naturally and the price is stable, but it is not certain how long the price of Bitcoin will remain stable. However, looking at the current price of Bitcoin and the way it is increasing, it is not yet certain that this is a bull market for Bitcoin. The current price of Bitcoin will gradually improve and we will see the ATH, but it needs more time. However, during the volatility of Bitcoin, every opportunity will be used with confidence and wait for Bitcoin ATH, so that you can enjoy all the opportunities that come from Bitcoin.

It's back to $84k right now as I have check the price (I haven't check it for a while), so I would say that as far as $80k goes, we are somewhat stable at this point. But yes, it doesn't mean that it won't go down anytime soon, or worst go on a massive downside or correction.

As for the volatility, we can treat it either way, but for smart investors, it's a good opportunity again to accumulate. Just like what we could be seeing, from $86k-$84k, that could be a good way to buy some because of that decline.

[fighter2627]

This is just my opinion, I haven't been in this industry long enough. However, I doubt that we are going back now at the bull run again, this could be a bull trap for me.

How can it happen that we are in a bull run again, the bear market has only entered this year, just due to there is bullishness in the market is bull again in the eyes or opinion of others.
Maybe whatever is happening at the moment, let's just use the right timing to take profit if there is one, right?

[pooya87]

This is just my opinion, I haven't been in this industry long enough. However, I doubt that we are going back now at the bull run again, this could be a bull trap for me.

How can it happen that we are in a bull run again, the bear market has only entered this year, just due to there is bullishness in the market is bull again in the eyes or opinion of others.
Maybe whatever is happening at the moment, let's just use the right timing to take profit if there is one, right?

If we zoom out the actual bear market started in October 2025 when price stopped rising after it hit $126k and started dropping for months. But ever since August this year since the price has been rising, we can call that the end of the long bear market.

And even though this may not be THE bull run we were waiting for, but it is definitely not a bull trap. It's almost been 2 months of rise. "Traps" don't last that long.
And the only reason this is not THE bull run we were hoping for is the deteriorating global situation with energy, fuel, food, and all the tensions going on. For example I just read France has set a record high in number of people imprisoned. That's an indication of deteriorating society as well as economy. And the situation is similar in almost all countries. That affects all markets including Bitcoin's.

[buwaytress]

And the only reason this is not THE bull run we were hoping for is the deteriorating global situation with energy, fuel, food, and all the tensions going on. For example I just read France has set a record high in number of people imprisoned. That's an indication of deteriorating society as well as economy. And the situation is similar in almost all countries. That affects all markets including Bitcoin's.

Energy, for sure, and arguably food security but I'm still not sure it's as bad as we're led to believe in many other indicators where we're continuously setting all-time highs (or at least, nowhere near all-time lows) with inflation, security and safety, health risks.

There is certainly improved reporting, and the media we're reading or which stands out which adds to that feeling that things are getting worse.

France has always been a country of incarceration but they've at least closed down their penal colonies so it's no suprirse they're keeping things high in terms of prisoner numbers. Netherlands is about to close down their last few prisons now, which is a trend in Northern Europe (lowering levels of incarceration). You might be surprised to learn the US has also seen drops from ATH prison levels in 2000s.

[danadc]

What I find to be ideal would be, being patient with the market and should you at some point find the market to have maintained an up trend and is heading towards the ATH after breaking certain resistance line on the charts, then we can come to some conclusion.

Yes, and it's better, it's pointless to rush into deciding what's best. We're the ones rushing, not the market. The market moves at its own pace, and rushing only leads to exhaustion. If we rush into a decision without knowing what we're doing, we'll lose money. The idea is to avoid losing money and profit from the market situation. Patience is key to all of this.

I know that patience can be the best strategy, but sometimes we tend to despair, even though we don't gain anything by being desperate, because there's not much we can do about it.

[JoyMarsha]

This is just my opinion, I haven't been in this industry long enough. However, I doubt that we are going back now at the bull run again, this could be a bull trap for me.

We can never tell if this is a bull trap or not. What I can say is that next year, Bitcoin won't be at its current price, it will be above it. The advice is for us to invest through DCA means

How can it happen that we are in a bull run again, the bear market has only entered this year, just due to there is bullishness in the market is bull again in the eyes or opinion of others. Maybe whatever is happening at the moment, let's just use the right timing to take profit if there is one, right?

However, those who will be thinking of taking profits at the current price will mostly be those who bought Bitcoin when it was below $60k-$70k. At any price other than that, I think investors will like to hodl until Bitcoin reaches a reasonable price of above $100k at least before selling, for those who want to sell all their Bitcoin or some part of their Bitcoin in the upcoming bull run.

[STT]

Its not a run more a slow climb.  BTC is taking each rung on the ladder like its wading waist high through cold porridge.

  Previous range on the ladder was 75k to 82k now we're 83k to 87k and the current action is entirely within the boundaries of just one candle on the daily chart, so an engulfing price action scenario.
  I thought BTC might drop back to its averages as it was too far ahead, a possible stall is normal enough but any price on any asset can adjust through time as well as price.  Its a waiting game, slow & steady I suppose is bullish nonetheless.

[jossiel]

How can it happen that we are in a bull run again, the bear market has only entered this year, just due to there is bullishness in the market is bull again in the eyes or opinion of others.

On paper, it can be said that we're in a bear market now. I still believe that we are in.

But it cannot be ignored of what's happening with the price now. The reach we have to go back near to the former ATH last year is close to think yet far if the move slows down.

Maybe whatever is happening at the moment, let's just use the right timing to take profit if there is one, right?

Yup but not everyone will do that and hold longer and the others who have bought near peak will still have to wait.

[Iranus]

We can never tell if this is a bull trap or not. What I can say is that next year, Bitcoin won't be at its current price, it will be above it. The advice is for us to invest through DCA means

Like the member above pointed out, Bitcoin has pumped for two months straight, up 24% and 7% respectively. So we can be pretty sure this isn't a bull trap. That said, we may still not be in the bull market we've been waiting for.

On paper, it can be said that we're in a bear market now. I still believe that we are in.

But it cannot be ignored of what's happening with the price now. The reach we have to go back near to the former ATH last year is close to think yet far if the move slows down.

To be precise, based on history and market cycles, the bear market isn't over yet. But strictly on paper, Bitcoin is now above both MA200 and MA50, and price is up around 45% from the bottom. Put all that together and Bitcoin's on the bull side right now.

[pooya87]

Energy, for sure, and arguably food security but I'm still not sure it's as bad as we're led to believe in many other indicators where we're continuously setting all-time highs (or at least, nowhere near all-time lows) with inflation, security and safety, health risks.

There is certainly improved reporting, and the media we're reading or which stands out which adds to that feeling that things are getting worse.

Economically things are getting worse everywhere. There is just no exceptions. The only thing different is that in different countries the severe issues are in different areas.

For example energy crisis is hitting most countries as you know with for example gasoline setting the record high at $9.99/gallon in California; but energy prices in Iran are starting to look ridiculous these days at $0.02/gallon for gas and diesel (500x difference) LOL.
But at the same time the inflation is climbing and salaries aren't catching up so price of food and rent are going up making things tougher for people.

This means in the end people still are strapped for cash and have nothing left to invest by the end of the month. This is happening everywhere and because of that we aren't seeing the same level of momentum in bitcoin market. Money just doesn't come in the same as before. Hence the smaller bull runs.

[Olatundespo]

Anyway, how do you see this? Is this already the bull run that we have been waiting for, or just another pump? Give some technical aspects or justification if you have too, let us understand this.

The price of Bitcoin is naturally increasing in this situation, the reason for the increase in the price of Bitcoin in the current market is the high buying pressure. According to the current situation, the price of Bitcoin is now suitable for correction according to the Bitcoin market chart, but the positive side has helped the price of Bitcoin to increase.
As a result, the price of Bitcoin has naturally improved after the sharp fall of Bitcoin, but this does not determine the signs of the Bitcoin bull market. So we can call it a natural rise in Bitcoin that at any time the Bitcoin market may move forward at the moment of correction again.

The current price of Bitcoin is $86,645 which is increasing naturally and the price is stable, but it is not certain how long the price of Bitcoin will remain stable. However, looking at the current price of Bitcoin and the way it is increasing, it is not yet certain that this is a bull market for Bitcoin. The current price of Bitcoin will gradually improve and we will see the ATH, but it needs more time. However, during the volatility of Bitcoin, every opportunity will be used with confidence and wait for Bitcoin ATH, so that you can enjoy all the opportunities that come from Bitcoin.

A stable price situation has been prevailing for several weeks. This market situation cannot be called completely unstable. An upward or downward trend can start at any time. A few months ago, many experienced investors mentioned October as a potential month for Bitcoin. They expected that this month it might over $100k. Bitcoin is being bought and sold at a price of $85k and still in the first quarter of the month, the bull run will probably start soon and the price will exceed $100k. It may not move the ATH right now as you have remarks on about the possibility. I think that another ATH may be seen next November.