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Author Topic: Bullish trap_What the lesson?  (Read 930 times)
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September 10, 2026, 09:17:55 AM
 #61

Due to the market season, there are times when we need to be careful about market performance that may present a bull trap. Some may not know it and think it is an ordinary pump that may retain the same position as it rises, but such a trap always follows a massive dump when people might have thought it was bullish the more, the more it rises, shows its actually going bearish before you know. Most traders pay the cost of this because they go into losses, and some even get their assets liquidated if care is not taken, unless they set a stop-loss.

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September 10, 2026, 01:50:59 PM
 #62

Due to the market season, there are times when we need to be careful about market performance that may present a bull trap. Some may not know it and think it is an ordinary pump that may retain the same position as it rises, but such a trap always follows a massive dump when people might have thought it was bullish the more, the more it rises, shows its actually going bearish before you know. Most traders pay the cost of this because they go into losses, and some even get their assets liquidated if care is not taken, unless they set a stop-loss.

Yes, others might fall into it. But there could be some remedy around, that is not to look at the short term time frame. Instead, go with the more modest DCA method so that it will negate all the emotions that we have.

So for me, we are still in the bear market, although the price goes as high as $80k, it didn't hold that much and so there is some correction going on. Or as others might point it, we are in the consolidation phase so the best approach is to buy. Simple but very effective, so that we won't fall for the bullish trap.

 
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September 10, 2026, 09:55:06 PM
 #63

What is the lesson?

The lesson here is not to FOMO.. many people FOMO when Bitcoin prices rise.. they feel they haven't accumulated enough and force themselves to buy more just in case the price rises.. but instead, the price drops, and they complain about buying at a higher price. This is why one needs to wait and stay patient, because not all bulls are real.. sometimes a price increase is only temporary, and buying out of FOMO can leave them very disappointed if it doesn't match their expectations, and it can even lead to losses if they panic and sell.

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September 11, 2026, 07:23:20 AM
 #64

Then the bullish happened and the people who bought at the high price were stuck with losses because the bullish trap this time made many people fooled. This bullish trap is only detrimental to those who only hope for short-term profits but those who hope and make long-term investments I think will still survive.

The bullish trap is not the end but so it's a reminder that when the price is really high you need to take a little profit and then buy back at the lowest price when the dump happens. this will also affect the psychology of a person in the trade, who is able to survive and manage their trades well then they will benefit from every unexpected event.

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September 11, 2026, 07:26:37 AM
 #65

Some person somewhere is complaining why the Bitcoin price is rising now cause he does not feel he has bought sufficiently for price to begin rising now and for this he feels is a trap that price is going up right now.

People talk about "bull trap" and it is worth noting that this has been a big hindrance for people failing to buy Bitcoin when they should have, all cause that they were thinking it that price will fall down back before they can buy.

These are not people doubting bitcoin but that they where having a target price for Bitcoin to touch down low again before purchasing and they miss a good price to buy as Bitcoin price keep covering heights. Yesterday bitcoin was 77k and immediately these very people are now buying out of FOMO at a higher price and could not wait for the .false breakout to happen.

What is the lesson?

The lesson is one. The Bitcoin price moves in a way that cannot be predicted by at least 90% of the traders/investors. Most traders fail at timing the market, so there's no point for them to complain. I don't get the people, who are buying at 77K USD out of FOMO. If they truly believe that the price is going to drop, why are they buying? The logical approach would be to just wait for the price to drop and then start accumulating.

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September 11, 2026, 08:02:59 AM
 #66

Over time, we have started to learn something new, just because of this, many people want to get by but no one wants to take extra risks. Those who take risks in the past, when Bitcoin was between $60K and $65K for a long time, no one took the opportunity to buy Bitcoin. This is a big weak point for them, those who were waiting for more buying opportunities that the price of Bitcoin would be lower are basically sitting idle till now.

What is the lesson?

Learn to deal with the situation properly and keep buying Bitcoin regularly. Then you will be able to take advantage of every buying opportunity, those who have failed to take the opportunity to buy Bitcoin will not be able to buy in the future. Those who are ready to take risks can buy Bitcoin from the market at any time and hold it for a long time, this is the only good idea and plan.

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September 11, 2026, 03:35:58 PM
 #67

The answer is simple. Just do DCA. As long as you believe that bitcoin would not crash and be worthless, considering DCA on bitcoin would be the ideal way to accumulate it. If you want to have a peace of mind while you accumulate bitcoins, doing consistent and strategic DCA would be the best for you. This way, you will avoid thinking about this bull trap, bear trap whatsoever, those are for traders to think of. Normal investors need to be more calm and focus on fundamentals of bitcoin, on how it will appreciate of the time.

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September 12, 2026, 10:18:50 AM
Last edit: September 12, 2026, 10:42:08 AM by Female King
 #68

The answer is simple. Just do DCA. As long as you believe that bitcoin would not crash and be worthless, considering DCA on bitcoin would be the ideal way to accumulate it. If you want to have a peace of mind while you accumulate bitcoins, doing consistent and strategic DCA would be the best for you. This way, you will avoid thinking about this bull trap, bear trap whatsoever, those are for traders to think of. Normal investors need to be more calm and focus on fundamentals of bitcoin, on how it will appreciate of the time.
You just said it all if you don't have any trust in bitcoin just forget about investing on it because i don't see any need why the price of bitcoin will always an issue to people, real bitcoin investor don't focus on the price of bitcoin they simply buy bitcoin consistently using the DCA strategy accumulate bitcoin when your discretionary income is available as long as you are buying and holding using the DCA strategy the price of bitcoin wouldn't won't be a consideration if you are going to accumulate bitcoin or not.

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September 12, 2026, 07:23:38 PM
 #69

Due to the market season, there are times when we need to be careful about market performance that may present a bull trap. Some may not know it and think it is an ordinary pump that may retain the same position as it rises, but such a trap always follows a massive dump when people might have thought it was bullish the more, the more it rises, shows its actually going bearish before you know. Most traders pay the cost of this because they go into losses, and some even get their assets liquidated if care is not taken, unless they set a stop-loss.
I don't know whether some people don't check market trend before they assume that we are in the bear market.
Because the price of Bitcoin went above $80k does not mean that the bull market has activated and it now time to buy. I know that the newbies will continue to make mistakes about when to expect total bull movement and when to expect total bear movement. If we eventually see the price of Bitcoin going to $90k or $100k, that can be a bull trap and that should not make us to fell pressured to buy when it's understandable that we in the bear season and the time has not get elapsed.

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September 12, 2026, 07:47:20 PM
 #70

Due to the market season, there are times when we need to be careful about market performance that may present a bull trap. Some may not know it and think it is an ordinary pump that may retain the same position as it rises, but such a trap always follows a massive dump when people might have thought it was bullish the more, the more it rises, shows its actually going bearish before you know. Most traders pay the cost of this because they go into losses, and some even get their assets liquidated if care is not taken, unless they set a stop-loss.
With our experience in the market, we already know how Bitcoin move so quickly and what could be the reason for that sudden movement, bull run have to come with time, because we can say that because Bitcoin price rise sudden with some percentage, what we have to do is to put in some effort to study the movement and know what exactly is behind such a market pump if it fundamental or just fomo. Bull market have to come along with some market wave that keep a consistent market trends which is far from just pump.


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September 13, 2026, 10:29:22 AM
 #71

Due to the market season, there are times when we need to be careful about market performance that may present a bull trap. Some may not know it and think it is an ordinary pump that may retain the same position as it rises, but such a trap always follows a massive dump when people might have thought it was bullish the more, the more it rises, shows its actually going bearish before you know. Most traders pay the cost of this because they go into losses, and some even get their assets liquidated if care is not taken, unless they set a stop-loss.

Yes, others might fall into it. But there could be some remedy around, that is not to look at the short term time frame. Instead, go with the more modest DCA method so that it will negate all the emotions that we have.

So for me, we are still in the bear market, although the price goes as high as $80k, it didn't hold that much and so there is some correction going on. Or as others might point it, we are in the consolidation phase so the best approach is to buy. Simple but very effective, so that we won't fall for the bullish trap.
When people think of making a quick profit from the market when the price of Bitcoin is increasing, the pump will always be seen as a trap, and this can even make some people hesitant to buy Bitcoin.

The reason for this fear is because of what people think about the market and what they want to get from it. The best way to approach Bitcoin is to first work on the mindset by understanding that the market is unpredictable and that the market rewards hodlers. Buying at any time shouldn't cause one to panic because there is no expectation of making a profit in the short term.

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September 13, 2026, 01:26:20 PM
 #72

Whether bull trap or not people whose intentions is to buy bitcoin when the price is down always feel unhappy and worried when there's a sudden increase in the bitcoin price because they believe that they have missed a good opportunity of making profit.

Quote
What is the lesson?
To answer your question, the lesson learned is that those that are waiting for bitcoin to fall in order for them to buy it should divide their money into two they should use one part to accumulate bitcoin with the DCA strategy and reserve one part what they can use to go all in on bitcoin if at last bitcoin drops to their targeted price. This strategy will make them not to feel unhappy when there's a sudden movement in the price of bitcoin.

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Derekfunds
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September 13, 2026, 06:38:22 PM
 #73

Due to the market season, there are times when we need to be careful about market performance that may present a bull trap. Some may not know it and think it is an ordinary pump that may retain the same position as it rises, but such a trap always follows a massive dump when people might have thought it was bullish the more, the more it rises, shows its actually going bearish before you know. Most traders pay the cost of this because they go into losses, and some even get their assets liquidated if care is not taken, unless they set a stop-loss.
With our experience in the market, we already know how Bitcoin move so quickly and what could be the reason for that sudden movement, bull run have to come with time, because we can say that because Bitcoin price rise sudden with some percentage, what we have to do is to put in some effort to study the movement and know what exactly is behind such a market pump if it fundamental or just fomo. Bull market have to come along with some market wave that keep a consistent market trends which is far from just pump.



You are right though but you should know that studying or finding what is behind a particular move in the market won't change anything because we can not still predicated correctly or exactly what the market will do for certain and it is very needless for investors because their goal is long term so immediate action or behavior is a waste of time and sometimes it can pose a threat by making someone to change their initial mindset or decision in their Bitcoin investment.

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aoluain
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September 13, 2026, 06:50:17 PM
 #74

Due to the market season, there are times when we need to be careful about market performance that may present a bull trap. Some may not know it and think it is an ordinary pump that may retain the same position as it rises, but such a trap always follows a massive dump when people might have thought it was bullish the more, the more it rises, shows its actually going bearish before you know. Most traders pay the cost of this because they go into losses, and some even get their assets liquidated if care is not taken, unless they set a stop-loss.
With our experience in the market, we already know how Bitcoin move so quickly and what could be the reason for that sudden movement, bull run have to come with time, because we can say that because Bitcoin price rise sudden with some percentage, what we have to do is to put in some effort to study the movement and know what exactly is behind such a market pump if it fundamental or just fomo. Bull market have to come along with some market wave that keep a consistent market trends which is far from just pump.



You are right though but you should know that studying or finding what is behind a particular move in the market won't change anything because we can not still predicated correctly or exactly what the market will do for certain and it is very needless for investors because their goal is long term so immediate action or behavior is a waste of time and sometimes it can pose a threat by making someone to change their initial mindset or decision in their Bitcoin investment.

Yes, what that amounts to is examining a historical event, even if its only 1 hour ago! There is no
harm to do that of course and it may be beneficial now depending on how you want to act.

Some person somewhere is complaining why the Bitcoin price is rising now cause he does not feel he has bought sufficiently for price to begin rising now and for this he feels is a trap that price is going up right now.

People talk about "bull trap" and it is worth noting that this has been a big hindrance for people failing to buy Bitcoin when they should have, all cause that they were thinking it that price will fall down back before they can buy.

These are not people doubting bitcoin but that they where having a target price for Bitcoin to touch down low again before purchasing and they miss a good price to buy as Bitcoin price keep covering heights. Yesterday bitcoin was 77k and immediately these very people are now buying out of FOMO at a higher price and could not wait for the .false breakout to happen.

What is the lesson?
[/quote]

The lesson IMO is to not get too hung up on trying to buy at a particular price point. Just
buy when you can and if you are so inclined watch the market and buy/sell accordingly.

Case in point: I was waiting for a sub $58k market move, it didnt happen, market shot up,
I didnt know where it was ending so I bought at various points up to $80+k.
The market now is moving back down so I will be buying again next week.

My view: In 5 or 10 years time todays price point will be largely insignificant.

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Futurexxx
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September 13, 2026, 07:05:51 PM
 #75

You are right though but you should know that studying or finding what is behind a particular move in the market won't change anything because we can not still predicated correctly or exactly what the market will do for certain and it is very needless for investors because their goal is long term so immediate action or behavior is a waste of time and sometimes it can pose a threat by making someone to change their initial mindset or decision in their Bitcoin investment.

Most investors underestimate the effect of staying glued to the price chart, they don't know that by constantly monitoring or trying to know everything that goes on in the market, it will only make you get emotional at some point, which might compel you to sell  your investment prematurely, so in as much as it's not a bad idea for a trader, it is not a healthy practice to an investor that is planning on holding unto his investment for a very long period of time.

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September 13, 2026, 07:14:40 PM
 #76

Buying Bitcoin at this current price I don't think such buyers will regret in future. If you watch the market from the beginning of this year, you will know that the price will still going to pump higher to reach $100,000 which is the wish of majority of holders and anything that will make the price of Bitcoin to reach that level it will make massive holders to sell off their Bitcoin for massive profits or income.
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September 13, 2026, 09:39:41 PM
 #77

I do think what we are seeing right now is a bull trap, but it doesn't matter at all if the investor is investing the right way, which is aimed to long term returns. If the investor is aware that he may need to hold for few years until cashing out profit, a bull trap won't prevent him from succeeding. The only worrying scenario is in case the investor is expecting to cashout profit in few months. Then there are serious risks Bitcoin may get cheaper yet, what would be completely normal right now, due to the length of time until the halving yet.

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September 15, 2026, 06:45:18 PM
 #78

Bottom of the projection sits near Dec 8 2026, around 55,500 USD; the model I run (bitpulse) simulates scenarios daily and this can miss. (wink) It's been off before, so what's your investment horizon?
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September 15, 2026, 07:31:33 PM
 #79

Buying Bitcoin at this current price I don't think such buyers will regret in future. If you watch the market from the beginning of this year, you will know that the price will still going to pump higher to reach $100,000 which is the wish of majority of holders and anything that will make the price of Bitcoin to reach that level it will make massive holders to sell off their Bitcoin for massive profits or income.
Only the peak buyers are the ones which mostly regret but even so, if they have hold until the next cycle the recover still happens and new ATHs are being reached. And I think many have already learned their lessons that they're going to set a sell order if ever Bitcoin reaches $100k but at some point, that's going to be a bad idea and decision for them because the price might go even higher with that. Although if you are in profit, then just take the profit with you and be content with it but never leave the market empty handed without buying back.

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September 15, 2026, 11:59:41 PM
 #80

I do think what we are seeing right now is a bull trap, but it doesn't matter at all if the investor is investing the right way, which is aimed to long term returns. If the investor is aware that he may need to hold for few years until cashing out profit, a bull trap won't prevent him from succeeding. The only worrying scenario is in case the investor is expecting to cashout profit in few months. Then there are serious risks Bitcoin may get cheaper yet, what would be completely normal right now, due to the length of time until the halving yet.
There's every possibility that the market can move downtrend from where it is at the moment but that still doesn't automatically mean that the whole move was a bull trap. For an investor that's long-term minded, they should be very much aware that short-term movements of the market is also part of game.

What actually makes people panic is when they enter the market with unrealistic expectations and the market turns out to not move the way they initially predicted.


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