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Author Topic: Polymarket gets $300M investment from Trump Jr.’s group  (Read 286 times)
TopTort777
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Today at 09:50:55 AM
 #21

After reading that Trump planned to sell early access to his tweets for 100k, investment in Polymarket is no surprise for me at all Cheesy We are about to see insiders trading advancing to a new level and absurd excuses after insiders betting made people lose everything. From all that, story about Trump teleprompter fined for using teletext info for placing bets looks like a big joke to me Cheesy

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Today at 09:52:52 AM
 #22

His evaluation increased to $21 billion of which his initial was only $15 billion, according to nytimes.com.
Polymarket no longer cares about insiders who abuse, maybe because their value is small compared to their evaluation so they ignore it.

For those who like to bet on the prediction market this is great news, those who still question why Polymarket always gets great support, is this due to political influence? Could be.

R


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Today at 09:59:46 AM
 #23

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?
It can be used to easily know what will happen. All what those United States' states are doing is only what will waste their time. If a company that Donald Trump Jr. is a partner  of is investing on polymarket like that, people should know that such site will be legal in United States and it will be difficult to go against them successfully when Trump is still in power. I believe Trump sons have influence and have connections with the regulators at the federal level.

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Today at 10:20:19 AM
 #24

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

States in the US have the right to ban or restrict the operation of prediction market service providers. Some states in the US are strictly regulating the activities of Polymarket. Minnesota has banned Polymarket, and Nevada, New York, and Arizona have used the courts to restrict their operations.

Polymarket is making so much profit because its customers keep increasing over the years. The President's son has unhindered access to his father, and this would affect the federal gambling laws. The Trump family has always been business-minded, and they are taking advantage of the office to make money.

R


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Today at 10:40:06 AM
 #25

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.
You might not say something wrong is happening, but something feels wrong, TBH. Though I don’t think the investment proves something illegal, but deep down, there could be undertone, especially when the untrusted Trump that wants to involve in everything is indirectly involved.

A decisive negotiation at this time that prediction markets face regulatory uncertainty and insider-betting concerns naturally raises questions about potential conflicts of interest and political undertone. For me, political connection to any industry is as good as no regulations at all, or a very weak one at that, because there will always be vested interests.

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Today at 10:41:25 AM
 #26

This makes Polymarket look like the king of prediction markets, and that could be scary for its competitors.

Regulation is already very strict in this industry, so my concern is whether competitors will face tougher treatment while Polymarket could somehow get an easier path because of its political connections. Having the president’s son connected to one of the investors can easily create that perception, almost like the platform has powerful backing. I’m not saying that will actually happen, but honestly it feels like something you would normally see in a movie.
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Today at 11:00:25 AM
Last edit: Today at 11:10:53 AM by TastyChillySauce00
 #27

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

It's obviously a political connection. What i can guess it's Trump's son who did that big investment to the Polymarket. It's a common knowledge prediction market has been Trump's family money generator. It's nothing new if he funded the machine that prints him and his family billions $.
Trump's son also warned republican to stay away from the prediction market. All of dots are connecting each other to the Trump and his family.

But i think Trump has opposite plan regarding prediction market. They wanted prediction market to be less strict from the intervention by law makers. So they can manipulate and suck the money from the prediction market.
It's the main cause why they even warned republicans to back off it.

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Today at 12:13:59 PM
 #28

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

Previously, I read about the first investment he made which was $200 million, this new $300 M just summed it up to $500 M investment on the prediction market. One of the main reason for such investment is because of the government support that the company is getting from Trump administration, if you check, you will see that the current administration has defended the prediction market industry because they also stands to benefit from it in this manner that such huge investment is made with expectation of good reward.

You know that about 9 states has fight to regulate this industry but they got sued CFTC because Trump is saying that only CFTC has the right to regulate the prediction market. With such support, you know what comes next is for the industry to repay their supporter which is the reason to this kind of investment.

About the question you asked, I'd say, strict regulations in the future could still be made flexible to the beneficiary if they have such connections with current administration of that time and as long as what is going on is never considered illegal according to their constitution, they will have successful deals like this.

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Today at 12:27:20 PM
 #29

This makes Polymarket look like the king of prediction markets, and that could be scary for its competitors.

Regulation is already very strict in this industry, so my concern is whether competitors will face tougher treatment while Polymarket could somehow get an easier path because of its political connections. Having the president’s son connected to one of the investors can easily create that perception, almost like the platform has powerful backing. I’m not saying that will actually happen, but honestly it feels like something you would normally see in a movie.

Sounds like it. When you have someone connected to the president backing you, people will naturally think you have some kind of protection.

If this were in the Philippines, some would probably already call them “untouchable.” So even if Polymarket ends up paying penalties for violations, the bigger question is whether those penalties really matter if they can continue operating and making much more money.

If the punishment is small compared to the profit, then it may not be enough to discourage future violations.

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Today at 12:27:33 PM
 #30

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

They made this before https://www.covers.com/industry/senate-bans-members-staff-from-betting-on-prediction-markets-platforms-april-30-2026 and now they announce about putting some investment on Polymarket?

This is potential conflict of interest, also it seems that Polymarket seems to be a subject of manipulation with the presence of Trumps group.

They are been involved with many market manipulation controversies, maybe that group will take advantage on their position and who knows more crazy things will happen in future.

R


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Today at 12:54:54 PM
 #31

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

Of course, this can and will affect Polymarket. He who pays the piper calls the tune. And if Trump is paying, whether it’s the younger or the elder, then everything will come to the point where Polymarket may “turn a blind eye” to the fact that they often abuse insider information. I think this is bad, because with such sponsors, the prediction platform loses its identity and essentially becomes closely linked to the greediest family on Earth. And, of course, there will be regulatory aspects. We don’t know much about this, guys.

 
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Today at 12:58:23 PM
 #32

They made this before https://www.covers.com/industry/senate-bans-members-staff-from-betting-on-prediction-markets-platforms-april-30-2026 and now they announce about putting some investment on Polymarket?
I’ve seen a lot of news about that, but it seems Polymarket itself is not usually the one violating the rules. Most of the cases are about people using inside information to gain an unfair advantage.

They get caught and punished, but from what I’ve seen, I don’t think any of them have really gone to jail yet. That’s the confusing part for me. If the punishment is only a fine or temporary ban, then some people might still think the risk is worth it, especially if the possible profit is much bigger.

This is potential conflict of interest, also it seems that Polymarket seems to be a subject of manipulation with the presence of Trumps group.

They are been involved with many market manipulation controversies, maybe that group will take advantage on their position and who knows more crazy things will happen in future.

it will not be a conflict of interest, otherwise they will not accept that investment.  (It's just us who are thinking of the possibilities, but on paper nothing is violated)

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Today at 01:20:32 PM
 #33

I won’t expect any strict regulations for the prediction market at least not for the period when Trump is the president. I can’t say when Trump leaves office, but who knows before then Trump jr and his associates might have removed their investment from Polymarket after making so much profit. Such a big money investment, and you think they haven’t done all their preliminary underground findings to be fully sure that their investment will be safe.
Maybe not from the Oval office but America is a unique place, just because the president won't impose strict regulations doesn't mean states are just going to let things be, they have their own laws and can still decide to ban the use of Polymarket in their own states, at that point strict regulations would be a mercy because at least they will still be allowed to operate.
It's even very possible that this particular act from Trump Jr will be what pushes the states against Polymarket, if for nothing else they would just restrict them to spit the federal government.

R


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Today at 01:46:37 PM
 #34


It's even very possible that this particular act from Trump Jr will be what pushes the states against Polymarket, if for nothing else they would just restrict them to spit the federal government.

If they really do that, it could easily look like they are going against the president’s side, and that would be a tough battle while Trump is still in office. Maybe after his term, regulators would have more room to push harder, especially since Polymarket has already faced cases in other countries as well. Those issues would not keep appearing if everything was always following the required standards.

For now, let’s just see what happens. But this kind of news can definitely hurt public perception because people may start worrying that political connections could create more room for insiders information.

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Today at 01:55:54 PM
 #35

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

Even having your dad as president of the U.S. and enacting regulations that benefit your business doesn't guarantee anything. Eric and Donald Trump Jr. run American Bitcoin, which is a fucking piece of shit business.

Why Did Trump’s American Bitcoin Stock Flatline In Just 1 Year?

Quote
American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC) crossed 8,000 Bitcoin (BTC) this month, yet its stock trades more than 95% below its peak. The gap asks whether the Trump name or the business model is to blame.

The company keeps buying Bitcoin and reporting strong mining margins. Its shareholders, however, have watched the equity collapse since its September 2025 debut.

I’ve seen a lot of news about that, but it seems Polymarket itself is not usually the one violating the rules. Most of the cases are about people using inside information to gain an unfair advantage.

Right. The thing is, in this hypothetical scenario, Donald Trump Jr. could have access to insider information and try to profit from it using front men. In any case, if you're investing in the company, I don't think that's the most likely scenario, because what you want is for the company to make a profit. But it's clear that this issue is open to a lot of debate.

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Today at 02:20:40 PM
 #36


It's even very possible that this particular act from Trump Jr will be what pushes the states against Polymarket, if for nothing else they would just restrict them to spit the federal government.

If they really do that, it could easily look like they are going against the president’s side, and that would be a tough battle while Trump is still in office. Maybe after his term, regulators would have more room to push harder, especially since Polymarket has already faced cases in other countries as well. Those issues would not keep appearing if everything was always following the required standards.

For now, let’s just see what happens. But this kind of news can definitely hurt public perception because people may start worrying that political connections could create more room for insiders information.
Of course, regulators could be under pressure if they start looking into cases against Trump Jr., because they won't be allowed to do their jobs unimpeded. Furthermore, insider information may belong to people close to Trump or his circle, but I doubt they'll be thoroughly investigated based on suspicions. Even if there's actual evidence of wrongdoing, I'm not sure anything negative will be said during Trump's presidency. And I think we'll hear more than once about those working for him exploiting inside information and betting on the wrong side of the market.

R


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Today at 02:26:52 PM
 #37

That's over $500 million dollars invested in the policy market by Trump Jr associate company as it's to what exactly? Their money is buried in their. No wonder he's against most state governments, most governments and its attorneys general on the level of strict rules they are trying to impose or regulate the market, which affect affecting how the polymarket where they have invested their money is operating. They want all laws concerning the market to be overseen by the federal government, where is daddy calls the shots.
As long as it's Trumps or his family getting involved we know it's all about the bags. They've already used his position as president to manipulate alot of economic and financial market since he got reinstated as the president. We know where all this is going, the states regulators will no longer have a say and can easily be shut out when the case for regulations in the poly market is brought out. The poly market is already filled with manipulation as we speak and if they don't figure out how to regulate it more manipulation and insider cheating will continue to happen..

R


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