Polymarket gets $300M investment from Trump Jr.’s group

[Russlenat]

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

[Ryu_Ar1]

In the end this is not only about the uniqueness of gambling but will lead to politics that will happen because indirectly with Trump Jr. in the Polymarket then indirectly this will also encourage political influence in gambling, although not directly this will still encourage How the Polymarket is used as a media cutter for those who do not like the Trump camp.

Of course regulation will be one of the things they will fix later but on the one hand this will also add strength to polymarket because they will still stand tall even though there will be some things they must comply with.
This is indeed a win-win symbiosis for Trump Jr. and Polymarket but ultimately for me it can also be a disadvantage for the gamblers who are in it. With regulations that are likely to increase more stringent then the gambler will be a little difficult to express themselves in gambling.

[alani123]

I can't wait for the battle between state level regulators and federal ones now.

The moment Trump fan put their finger on anything while daddy is still in power we know from precedent that they can't be touched on the federal level but... Not there surely will be more states with incentives to ban the platform and this type of betting in general.

It'll be funny while unfolding during Trump's last two years in office.

[yhiaali3]

Polymarket and Trump Jr.??!!!
There's a very strong stench of corruption in the air...
Ironically, Trump Jr. holds the position of official advisor to the platform.😍
Basically, both of them have a lot of illegal and suspicious activities taking place under the table.

Trump Jr. could exploit his father’s influence to obtain inside information on certain political events that are being predicted, and this would be illegal manipulation expected to cause a major uproar in Congress, especially by anti-Trump Democrats.

[SatsPH]

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

And it's obvious that they are supporting Polymarket when some of the US states are filing cases on this prediction platform. So it's just weird to hear that Trump Jr is on the bandwagon of Polymarket.

Could be interpreted as something that we all know already, that there is pure manipulation from behind and some big entities are trying to make a lot of money. And so that includes Trump family.

[tiCeR]

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

I’m not saying there is already something wrong happening, but the timing and the amount of money involved make this worth watching closely.

I think it is not so much about how strict regulation is per se, but how strictly it is enforced against different parties. On paper regulation is the same for everyone. In reality it is not. If you have the resources and the networks a and the power and the money to play around with regulation more than others, it doesn't really matter how strict it is on paper.

What may be true though is that regulation tends to be looser if the Trump clan is heavily invested, but whoever is exploiting insider information, would also probably be better protected from investigation if the platform is owned by people close to the president of the United States.

It has been worth watching everything closely for a very long time and not just during the Trump administration, but then I think it doesn't really matter whether you or I watch closely or not. There haven't been any consequences as far as I know despite all those insider trading reports.

[Agathamay]

Trump Jr. could exploit his father’s influence to obtain inside information on certain political events that are being predicted, and this would be illegal manipulation expected to cause a major uproar in Congress, especially by anti-Trump Democrats.

This is the part I fear the most because the cheating will be obvious but there would be nothing anyone can do about it and dumping 300 million in the prediction market and also holding a key position in the system is just something I can't get to rap my head around but which ever the case might be, I am definitely sure there are a lot of fishy things going on back stage which the regular people can't see and so, anyone hoping to play with polymarket should have at the back of their minds that, the system might just be rigged.

[SamReomo]

Polymarket is really growing. In the past few days I have read some topics here about prediction markets being abused through insider information, and now this news came out that 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, reportedly invested another $300 million in Polymarket.

I'm not sure about others but I think such type of investment means that in future we might see huge growth of prediction markets and there's going to be a lot of money and investment in such platforms. I know some people fear that there's high chance of insider trading in prediction markets but insider information is happening everywhere and it can't be stopped fully. As long as it's not proven no one could say much about such things because there will be no proof and when there's no proof then it means nothing happened at least in eyes of authorities. We must keep in mind that at platforms like Poly market everything can't be fixed so users still can place bets on various events that in no way could be changed by insiders.

[Hazink]

That's over $500 million dollars invested in the policy market by Trump Jr associate company as it's to what exactly? Their money is buried in their. No wonder he's against most state governments, most governments and its attorneys general on the level of strict rules they are trying to impose or regulate the market, which affect affecting how the polymarket where they have invested their money is operating. They want all laws concerning the market to be overseen by the federal government, where is daddy calls the shots.

[Cointxz]

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

There might be a political connection given the recent speculation regarding Maduro arrest and US attacking Iran while someone suddenly bet huge amount on that scenario to happened on very short time before it was commenced.

But as usual, we can’t assume everything unless there’s substantial evidence available which I doubt we can find on the current administration.

A little bit OT,

In Philippines, the corruption is already exposed but no one involved jailed because the current administration is in total control with power. Same scenario on what will happened to US as long as the potential involved is in power.

[OsaiEmma]

Well, Polymarket is already highly regulated, and foul play is always closely monitored, so I believe the market will eventually gain traction especially since Trump has endorsed it. Besides, Trump Jr. has been investing in polymarket already, I don't think he'll slow down now when there's a lot to profit from it.

What I’m thinking is, could this kind of political connection somehow affect how strict regulation will be in the future?

Imagine this much money going into prediction markets while the industry is still facing regulatory problems and questions about insider betting. And considering that the son of the U.S. president is connected to one of the investors, it naturally raises some questions for me.

Regulations are already strict. Federal bodies like the CFTC (commodity futures trading commission), NFA (National Futures Associations), and some other Federal bodies in the US are already regulating its activities. I believe the US doesn't necessarily see polymarket as gambling—this distinction alone will propel the market forward in the US.

[qurbanshah02]

That's over $500 million dollars invested in the policy market by Trump Jr associate company as it's to what exactly? Their money is buried in their. No wonder he's against most state governments, most governments and its attorneys general on the level of strict rules they are trying to impose or regulate the market, which affect affecting how the polymarket where they have invested their money is operating. They want all laws concerning the market to be overseen by the federal government, where is daddy calls the shots.

Since Trump became president, there has been a lot of belief in it and we also saw Trump coin last year, which a lot of people invested in and it was also going up quite fast these days and all this happened after Trump became president and then the price of Bitcoin was also going quite well. Polymarket does not make any small investments, they have made good investments believing in Jr Trump and as long as they keep getting money and America keeps getting benefits, it will benefit everyone because they also invest in advance so that their company makes a profit and its name is known all over the world. Polymarket is investing a lot of money, they are making profits from their investments everywhere and in the same way they are doing business with everyone. A big investment of $300M has been made, if Jr Trump's market declines, it can also be a very big loss.

[Dave1]

I'm not sure about others but I think such type of investment means that in future we might see huge growth of prediction markets and there's going to be a lot of money and investment in such platforms. I know some people fear that there's high chance of insider trading in prediction markets but insider information is happening everywhere and it can't be stopped fully. As long as it's not proven no one could say much about such things because there will be no proof and when there's no proof then it means nothing happened at least in eyes of authorities. We must keep in mind that at platforms like Poly market everything can't be fixed so users still can place bets on various events that in no way could be changed by insiders.

That is possible, it could set a precedent that prediction market is here to stay despite the many attempts to stop it seeing that Trump Jr is on the boat with that huge amount of money that he is willing to invest.

And that could be the scary part, as if they are legalizing Poly and like asking many bettors to put their money on it because Trump is willing to take the risk and invest. As the saying goes, "strike while the iron is hot". So in that sense, since they are in power, they want to make as much money as they can and that includes not only crypto, but with prediction market too.

[Julien_Olynpic]

I would argue that regulation can be more balanced rather than excessively lenient, when it has influential supporters and opponents. Any innovative industry inevitably faces challenges and pitfalls and learns to solve and overcome them through experience. Its experience will inevitably be copied by other forecasting platforms, and they, in turn, will participate in adapting it to the industry. Overt insider trading will likely decline over time, as will unethical betting.