BTC YEAR-END 2026 — MY BASE CASE

[coinrifft]

Nobody can be absolute about a future event, but he made a prediction about where the price will be, and Bitcoin is heading in that direction. This is a good speculation, if anybody tells me we will finish around $90K-$98K, where he speculated, I definitely will agree with the person, the price is currently at $85K, with no resistance at this level, in a short while, we might touch $90K before the month runs out.

Well looking at the current price movement, it's realistic that his price prediction is within reach. Perhaps the graphs shows it, but we really don't know what could be the reason that the price will go that way.

But as we go along, we will find out the factor, so just like the rest of the members, his price is doable and could be breach in the next couple of months. And we knows, maybe it could be in the $100k if this rally will continue or we are out of the bear market already.

[Loyang]

Nobody can be absolute about a future event, but he made a prediction about where the price will be, and Bitcoin is heading in that direction. This is a good speculation, if anybody tells me we will finish around $90K-$98K, where he speculated, I definitely will agree with the person, the price is currently at $85K, with no resistance at this level, in a short while, we might touch $90K before the month runs out.

Well looking at the current price movement, it's realistic that his price prediction is within reach. Perhaps the graphs shows it, but we really don't know what could be the reason that the price will go that way.

But as we go along, we will find out the factor, so just like the rest of the members, his price is doable and could be breach in the next couple of months. And we knows, maybe it could be in the $100k if this rally will continue or we are out of the bear market already.

As you said, we can see this before the end of this year. But yesterday, a friend of mine and I were sitting together and discussing the Bitcoin market. My friend thinks that the price of Bitcoin can now go up to $ 90,000 and after that we will see a big fall in the market and then a bull market again and at that time the price of Bitcoin will go above $ 150,000.

When I asked him for the reason for this, he said that the current war situation is very bad, a new war has started with Saudi Arabia, etc., he explained to me several reasons and I could not find his arguments unreasonable. However, after listening to his words, I think that this may happen in the future for the price of Bitcoin.

[Emitdama]

I agree with your prediction that the price of Bitcoin will reach $90,000-$98,000 by the end of the year. Looking at price now about $85,484 this means that Bitcoin has indeed succeeded in breaking through important resistance levels And stable trading above these levels gives the market positive momentum.

I think none can accurately predict the price. Also it may still be early to talk positively despite of what the market is showing lately. And in fact, the price already experience some drops.

Continued upward movement towards the $90k-98k target This scenario is strongly supported by what we can call the "negative news ignoring effect" as the market shows high resilience to news related to geopolitical turmoil.

If the negative news is only small, then yeah we can likely ignore that but what if it was a big one? Hmm... The root of the news, already can shake the market if it was related to finance but if we will only be calm, then we can not worsen it.

The displayed BTC price now is $86.xxx k but if we will observe closely, there is also a red colour with minus $1.xxx k / 1.xx % . Which means that the price did already reach $86k. But since it did not continue, I guess we can take that as a sign that there is no $90k that will happen on the current month.

[knuckey]

What is your base case for BTC at the end of 2026 — and what evidence would make you reject mine?

As you predicted, I changed my mind even though for now, my previous assumption was that BTC would fall below $50K I thought that would not happen, and now your prediction shows a realistic number even though it is not exact, at least it will be close, now Bitcoin is $86,000, it might happen faster to $98,000 because it only needs another $12,000, the market seems to support it for now, hopefully BTC will not fall again below $82,000 this month

[alastantiger]

Well, i am not one of the future or fortune teller, because i can not do it and i do not have the power to... since i can not do anything that can influence the market thereby making it to go as predicted but i will say bitoin hitting 90-$98k is very realistic but then again it is just a mere prediction and i believe anything is possible in the market that is why i feel and think bitcoin can go above $100k before the end of 2026 i mean that is what my gut keep telling me but i channel my energy into actualizing a good portfolio before this move happens.

There is nobody that has the power to tell the future and tell you what the price of Bitcoin is going to be at that particular price in the future because if they do then they will buy alot to make alot of profits. Everything you see are all speculations and anybody can do that and then anyhow the market likes it does. Sometimes the prediction that were all positive are woeng because when the time comes, different things might happen and that causes the price of Bitcoin to fall and not pump.

For example when the Iran war happened, the price of Bitcoin fell but before then many people expected that period for Bitcoin to be pumping which it did not do. By the end of the year, what I expect the price of Bitcoin to be is between $90,000 to $100,000 that is if the price does not fall heavy before then and it continue to go up monthly untill the end of  the year.

[skarais]

~~~

There is nobody that has the power to tell the future and tell you what the price of Bitcoin is going to be at that particular price in the future because if they do then they will buy alot to make alot of profits. Everything you see are all speculations and anybody can do that and then anyhow the market likes it does. Sometimes the prediction that were all positive are woeng because when the time comes, different things might happen and that causes the price of Bitcoin to fall and not pump.

For example when the Iran war happened, the price of Bitcoin fell but before then many people expected that period for Bitcoin to be pumping which it did not do. By the end of the year, what I expect the price of Bitcoin to be is between $90,000 to $100,000 that is if the price does not fall heavy before then and it continue to go up monthly untill the end of  the year.

Since there is no certainty whatsoever about the future of bitcoin, it is always not advisable to 100% put your money there. We play between risks, prices can fluctuate for various reasons, but every investor should have the best plan and strategy when starting. I will not 100% put my money on bitcoin, it is my way of avoiding risks that I do not want. In addition to choosing other investment assets, I think starting a business in the real world is also one good approach. Bitcoin will always be worth as long as traders are still trading it, but when it comes to its price and future, everyone can't guess for sure.

[Pandorak]

After observing Bitcoin price movements over the past few days, it can be concluded that the possibility of a rise to $100k is no longer impossible, in fact, it’s quite realistic.

The breakout that occurred around the $83k level is a key point for the trend’s continuation. Given the current volatility, the price we expect may be reached sooner, before the end of the year. For now, the $98k–$100k range is the next key area to watch. Will there be a reversal after it reaches that level or will there be such strong buying pressure that it breaks through that range. For now, it’s a wait and see situation, we can only hope for the best for Bitcoin this year.

[MarryWithBTC]

After observing Bitcoin price movements over the past few days, it can be concluded that the possibility of a rise to $100k is no longer impossible, in fact, it’s quite realistic.

The breakout that occurred around the $83k level is a key point for the trend’s continuation. Given the current volatility, the price we expect may be reached sooner, before the end of the year. For now, the $98k–$100k range is the next key area to watch. Will there be a reversal after it reaches that level or will there be such strong buying pressure that it breaks through that range. For now, it’s a wait and see situation, we can only hope for the best for Bitcoin this year.

There's no doubt that bitcoin will continue on the positive lather until it gets to $100k unless a very strong negative fundamental happens. We have to underline the word "strong". The negative fundamental will have to be strong to effect such a reversal. I said so because the clarity act failure was not able to reverse the market, it therefore means a stronger force will emerge to do the reversal, and I am not seeing such fundamental anywhere close, no sign of it.

I think Op's project for the year end is do realistic and it wouldn't be bad if anyone uses it as a yardstick to pedal the remaining months of the year.

[Oasisman]

After observing Bitcoin price movements over the past few days, it can be concluded that the possibility of a rise to $100k is no longer impossible, in fact, it’s quite realistic.

The breakout that occurred around the $83k level is a key point for the trend’s continuation. Given the current volatility, the price we expect may be reached sooner, before the end of the year. For now, the $98k–$100k range is the next key area to watch. Will there be a reversal after it reaches that level or will there be such strong buying pressure that it breaks through that range. For now, it’s a wait and see situation, we can only hope for the best for Bitcoin this year.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $86k as of this writing, and it is up by almost 1.5% in the last 24hrs. So, there's no sign of reversal yet. To hit the $100k level, it needs about 16% more increase. That sounds achievable before 2026 ends, IF we continue to see some positive market sentiments, more ETF inflows, and technical breakouts.
I think Bitcoin needs to establish the $85k support, and that should be a good start to the 100k path.

[Zigabel]

BTC YEAR-END 2026

Base case: $90K–$98K
Confirmation: sustained acceptance above ~$82.8K
Weakens: below ~$76.2K
Invalidation: sustained loss of ~$72K
Main timing window: late Nov → mid Dec

Not a trading signal.

I will return to this thread with checkpoints as the market develops.

This is a very realistic and attainable price for Bitcoin by or even before the end of the year. Looking at the current surge and bullish move seen on Bitcoin, we get to observe that it doesn't look like an impulsive move so it is one that promises some sort of sustainability in the upwards direction, I really commend the discretion stated to the fact that it's not some trade signal, so some persons don't get to pick it up and want to push responsibilities if it doesn't turn out as they have expected.

Out there are so many predictions by people, some form people considered authorities in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, and others some respected fellow who probably have some commendable track records about their Bitcoin and cryptocurrency dealings, but then nobody stands to get an exactly accurate prediction as Bitcoin isn't controlled by a single entity but some how responds to human activities and economic happenings at the time, mainly influenced by adoptions and utility, one of its primary bases of invention.

[Female King]

~~~

There is nobody that has the power to tell the future and tell you what the price of Bitcoin is going to be at that particular price in the future because if they do then they will buy alot to make alot of profits. Everything you see are all speculations and anybody can do that and then anyhow the market likes it does. Sometimes the prediction that were all positive are woeng because when the time comes, different things might happen and that causes the price of Bitcoin to fall and not pump.

For example when the Iran war happened, the price of Bitcoin fell but before then many people expected that period for Bitcoin to be pumping which it did not do. By the end of the year, what I expect the price of Bitcoin to be is between $90,000 to $100,000 that is if the price does not fall heavy before then and it continue to go up monthly untill the end of  the year.

Since there is no certainty whatsoever about the future of bitcoin, it is always not advisable to 100% put your money there. We play between risks, prices can fluctuate for various reasons, but every investor should have the best plan and strategy when starting. I will not 100% put my money on bitcoin, it is my way of avoiding risks that I do not want. In addition to choosing other investment assets, I think starting a business in the real world is also one good approach. Bitcoin will always be worth as long as traders are still trading it, but when it comes to its price and future, everyone can't guess for sure.

No you can't invest 100% of your money in bitcoin doing that is gambling, bitcoin is an asset that fluctuates which no body really know what the outcome will be in the future this is why people are only expected to invest with money they can let go and it wouldn't affect them in any way.
Bitcoin is long term investment so using money you may be needing soon might make you to sell your bitcoin half way because you didn't use the right funds to buy bitcoin, we can use much of money to invest in other physical business since it's something of buying and selling because this is also what can keep your bitcoin investment ongoing for a long time as long as you are investing with your discretionary income and not money for basic needs.

[STT]

US Dollar is too strong for this prediction to play out as you might want it to.  The recent rate rise and forthcoming expected further rise(s) is helping put King dollar back on the menu.
   If Dollar continues to trend above 100 for the rest of the year like it appeared to be capable of doing today and this week then I suspect BTC will bow and give way until weakness in Dollar resumes whenever that might be the case.

I wouldn't dare call BTC weak but it might cap gains in this area all the same.  82250 is a good placement for pivot either way, going back 2 years ago and many times since there's significance for price here.  If we can hold this price then hope for OP prediction and others  bullish can remain.

[yhiaali3]

Continued upward movement towards the $90k-98k target This scenario is strongly supported by what we can call the "negative news ignoring effect" as the market shows high resilience to news related to geopolitical turmoil.

The displayed BTC price now is $86.xxx k but if we will observe closely, there is also a red colour with minus $1.xxx k / 1.xx % . Which means that the price did already reach $86k. But since it did not continue, I guess we can take that as a sign that there is no $90k that will happen on the current month.

I think you have a wrong theory here. The price reaching $86,000 but not continuing to rise does not mean that it is an indication that the price will not reach $90,000 this month. This is a natural correction that occurs after any rise.

I am not saying that it will inevitably continue to rise to $90,000 but I am saying that the theory itself is wrong because a correction is a very natural and healthy thing after any rise, and this is part of the nature and movement of the market.