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Today at 02:06:41 PM |
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This is not a screenplay - these are the facts, which could detemine the whole narative sooner then most think.
🚩 6,900,000 BTC (1/3 of total cap) keys are publicly visible on-chain for 17 years, some using P2PK with nothing hides the lock, and can't be moved to safety.
🚩 Attacker clocks are ticking fast with high edge AI modles exposing vonrubilities in minutes without any knowlegede required (instead of days only by top experts), and quantom computing advances rapidly, threshold to break the signature (remember this mark): roughly 1,200 logical qubits. QuEra has already run Shor's algorithm on logical qubits.
🚩 The first minute will look like nothing, i.e. yesterday - twelve wallets from Mar-2010 woke after sixteen years, 1 BTC moved first - a test, then 600 more - a quantum harvest would begin with similar transaction.
🚩 BTC defence clock on the other hand is stuck: BIP-360 was merged in last February but not yet activated, BIP-361 is informative only without a date not vote. Defenders earliest shield overlap with attackers earliest window by five years - the attackers side with the hardware gets rapidly accelerated by AI while the defenders side that needs consensus does not.
🚩 3,000,000,000 USD a year are stolen today, mostly by human engeeniring, not math - Bybit lost 1,500,000,000 via interface hack and models now scan code for the kind of entropy flaw that already exposed millions of keys twice. At 3-5x theft rate, stolen BTC supply match minning supply - "harder than gold" theory at risk of dying years before any qubit is involved.
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