Bitcoin Forum
September 20, 2026, 04:45:34 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 31.1 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: [1]
  Print  
Author Topic: The Main Task of a Smart Gambler  (Read 94 times)
Julien_Olynpic (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3304
Merit: 5471



View Profile
Today at 02:23:04 AM
 #1

In reality, everyone can make mistakes, both the crowd and those who try to bet against the crowd. There's no particular meaning to this, but the crowd is still wrong a little more often. On the other hand, the main task of a smart gambler isn't to be right, or rather, not only or primarily about that. The main task of a smart gambler is to be right where many people are wrong, big time, for big money. Or where a small number are wrong, but, again, big time, for big money. If you win, but your winnings are mere cents, your game is pointless, even if you're right. Conversely, if you lose often, but your losses are small, then there's no problem.
This is a classic George Soros quote: the only thing that matters is how much you win when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.

 
█▄
R


▀▀██████▄▄
████████████████
▀█████▀▀▀█████
████████▌███▐████
▄█████▄▄▄█████
████████████████
▄▄██████▀▀
LLBIT▀█ 
  TH#1 SOLANA CASINO  
████████████▄
▀▀██████▀▀███
██▄▄▀▀▄▄████
████████████
██████████
███▀████████
▄▄█████████
████████████
████████████
████████████
████████████
█████████████
████████████▀
████████████▄
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██████
████████████
███████████
██▄█████████
████▄███████
████████████
█░▀▀████████
▀▀██████████
█████▄█████
████▀▄▀████
▄▄▄▄▄▄▄██████
████████████▀
........5,000+........
GAMES
 
......INSTANT......
WITHDRAWALS
..........HUGE..........
REWARDS
 
............VIP............
PROGRAM
 .
   PLAY NOW    
Nrcewker
Copper Member
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Activity: 2576
Merit: 591


www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games


View Profile WWW
Today at 02:40:41 AM
 #2

In reality, everyone can make mistakes, both the crowd and those who try to bet against the crowd.
In gambling we are bound to make mistakes but what is important is learning from those mistakes and becoming a smarter gambler. I dont follow the policy of betting for or against the crowd. Neither do I make decisions based on the betting trends or fans’ favourites or what everyone else is doing. I consider myself a smart gambler, and I know how to conduct proper analysis. I take calculated risks and always bet within my gambling budget.

Before choosing a team to bet on, I check the players recent form, playing conditions and the overall atmosphere. As a smart gambler these are the things that matter first. We also need to remain mentally stable and make good decisions when choosing a bet. Most importantly, we should always remember that gambling is never guaranteed money. Every single bet carries the risk of losing money and we need to be prepared for that risk.

█████████████████████████
███████▄▄▀▀███▀▀▄▄███████
████████▄███▄████████
█████▄▄█▀▀███▀▀█▄▄█████
████▀▀██▀██████▀██▀▀████
████▄█████████████▄████
███████▀███████▀███████
████▀█████████████▀████
████▄▄██▄████▄██▄▄████
█████▀▀███▀▄████▀▀█████
████████▀███▀████████
███████▀▀▄▄███▄▄▀▀███████
█████████████████████████
.
 CRYPTOGAMES 
.
 Catch the winning spirit! 
█▄░▀███▌░▄
███▄░▀█░▐██▄
▀▀▀▀▀░░░▀▀▀▀▀
████▌░▐█████▀
████░░█████
███▌░▐███▀
███░░███
██▌░▐█▀
PROGRESSIVE
      JACKPOT      
██░░▄▄
▀▀░░████▄
▄▄▄▄██▀░░▄▄
░░░▀▀█░░▀██▄
███▄░░▀▄░█▀▀
█████░░█░░▄▄█
█████░░██████
█████░░█░░▀▀█
LOW HOUSE
         EDGE         
██▄
███░░░░░░░▄▄
█▀░░░░░░░████
█▄░░░░░░░░█▀
██▄░░░░░░▄█
███▄▄░░▄██▌
██████████
█████████▌
PREMIUM VIP
 MEMBERSHIP 
DICE   ROULETTE   BLACKJACK   KENO   MINESWEEPER   VIDEO POKER   PLINKO   SLOT   LOTTERY
Karl_3000
Full Member
***
Offline

Activity: 420
Merit: 213


I’m drunk on bitcoin


View Profile WWW
Today at 02:44:08 AM
 #3

The main task of a smart gambler is to be right where many people are wrong
This is not about smart gamblers because it is not easy to get it right all the time when other people are wrong. The other things are the odds, you can get it right with small odds but in a way 1 loss is a huge loss. Gambling is not easy.

The main task of a smart If you win, but your winnings are mere cents, your game is pointless, even if you're right. Conversely, if you lose often, but your losses are small, then there's no problem.
Gambling should be done with Little amount of money regardless of the winning and losses. Being able to handle your losses in a way it will not affect you.

yahoo62278
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 4466
Merit: 5519


Contact @yahoo62278 on telegram for marketing


View Profile WWW
Today at 02:53:05 AM
 #4

If I am a consistent winner, even if it's for small profits, and I had a few hours of fun watching whatever I decided to bet on I consider myself a smart gambler. Now would I love to know when a huge favorite is going to be killed by an underdog? Of course, but how often does that happen?

I feel like betting spreads is too tough in the sports I like to bet. The oddmakers are damn good at making the spreads pretty close, so I like to bet the over unders as I feel those are more predictable, especially in American Football.


..Stake.com..   ▄████████████████████████████████████▄
   ██ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄            ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██  ▄████▄
   ██ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██████████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██  ██████
   ██ ██████████ ██      ██ ██████████ ██   ▀██▀
   ██ ██      ██ ██████  ██ ██      ██ ██    ██
   ██ ██████  ██ █████  ███ ██████  ██ ████▄ ██
   ██ █████  ███ ████  ████ █████  ███ ████████
   ██ ████  ████ ██████████ ████  ████ ████▀
   ██ ██████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██████████ ██
   ██            ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀            ██ 
   ▀█████████▀ ▄████████████▄ ▀█████████▀
  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄███  ██  ██  ███▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
 ██████████████████████████████████████████
▄▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▄
█  ▄▀▄             █▀▀█▀▄▄
█  █▀█             █  ▐  ▐▌
█       ▄██▄       █  ▌  █
█     ▄██████▄     █  ▌ ▐▌
█    ██████████    █ ▐  █
█   ▐██████████▌   █ ▐ ▐▌
█    ▀▀██████▀▀    █ ▌ █
█     ▄▄▄██▄▄▄     █ ▌▐▌
█                  █▐ █
█                  █▐▐▌
█                  █▐█
▀▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▀█
▄▄█████████▄▄
▄██▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀▀██▄
▄█▀       ▐█▌       ▀█▄
██         ▐█▌         ██
████▄     ▄█████▄     ▄████
████████▄███████████▄████████
███▀    █████████████    ▀███
██       ███████████       ██
▀█▄       █████████       ▄█▀
▀█▄    ▄██▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██▄  ▄▄▄█▀
▀███████         ███████▀
▀█████▄       ▄█████▀
▀▀▀███▄▄▄███▀▀▀
..PLAY NOW..
Russlenat
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3640
Merit: 1090


Crypto Exchange Aggregator


View Profile
Today at 02:54:39 AM
 #5

I think the main responsibility of a gambler is to practice what we always hear about, which is responsible gambling. I don't need to explain it too much because I think we already understand what that means.

Mathematically, we really don't have an edge over the casino in the long run, so losses are expected. The reason many of us can still enjoy gambling despite losing is because we know our limits and try to stay responsible.

danherbias07
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3990
Merit: 1158


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile
Today at 02:58:18 AM
 #6

I like that.

Being unique is good. Going against the flow. Cheesy It means more profit if we are betting on the underdog, which most of the time is not the pick of the many. I think I have won enough underdog bets to say that I really felt the satisfaction of it. It feels like you are the smarter one out of many people who really thought that their bet would win, even if there is so little profit for them betting on the heavy favorite. I've won x7.00 and x18.00 in odds when I started sports betting, and found it amazing that it can really win. That's when I realized that underdog betting can really be profitable as long as you do it right. Not just because the odds look appealing.

..Stake.com..   ▄████████████████████████████████████▄
   ██ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄            ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██  ▄████▄
   ██ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██████████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██  ██████
   ██ ██████████ ██      ██ ██████████ ██   ▀██▀
   ██ ██      ██ ██████  ██ ██      ██ ██    ██
   ██ ██████  ██ █████  ███ ██████  ██ ████▄ ██
   ██ █████  ███ ████  ████ █████  ███ ████████
   ██ ████  ████ ██████████ ████  ████ ████▀
   ██ ██████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██████████ ██
   ██            ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀            ██ 
   ▀█████████▀ ▄████████████▄ ▀█████████▀
  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄███  ██  ██  ███▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
 ██████████████████████████████████████████
▄▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▄
█  ▄▀▄             █▀▀█▀▄▄
█  █▀█             █  ▐  ▐▌
█       ▄██▄       █  ▌  █
█     ▄██████▄     █  ▌ ▐▌
█    ██████████    █ ▐  █
█   ▐██████████▌   █ ▐ ▐▌
█    ▀▀██████▀▀    █ ▌ █
█     ▄▄▄██▄▄▄     █ ▌▐▌
█                  █▐ █
█                  █▐▐▌
█                  █▐█
▀▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▀█
▄▄█████████▄▄
▄██▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀▀██▄
▄█▀       ▐█▌       ▀█▄
██         ▐█▌         ██
████▄     ▄█████▄     ▄████
████████▄███████████▄████████
███▀    █████████████    ▀███
██       ███████████       ██
▀█▄       █████████       ▄█▀
▀█▄    ▄██▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██▄  ▄▄▄█▀
▀███████         ███████▀
▀█████▄       ▄█████▀
▀▀▀███▄▄▄███▀▀▀
..PLAY NOW..
Questat
Hero Member
*****
Offline

Activity: 3696
Merit: 656



View Profile
Today at 03:03:11 AM
 #7

It depends on how you see yourself as a smart gambler. There are people who consider themselves smart gamblers even if they know they will lose in the long run, because they are still enjoying gambling within their limits. They understand that what they are doing is just for fun, and they stay away from trying to make money from gambling because that can easily become a trap.

On the other side, there are gamblers who are gambling mainly for profit. For them, being smart really depends on the result. If they can actually stay profitable in the long term, then you can say they are successful at what they are doing.


░░░░██████████████░░░░░▄▄███████████░░░░░░▄█████████████████░░░▄███████▀
░░░░█████████████░░░░▄██████████████░░░░▄███████████████████▄███████▀
░░░░▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██████░░▄██████▀▀▀▀▀█████░░▄██████▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀████████████▀
░░░░░░░░░░░██████░░█████▀░░░░░░███████████▀░░░░░░░░░░░░██████████▀
▄▄▄▄▄
░░░░▄███████░░██████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░██████████▄
█████▄▄▄███████▀
░░░██████████████████████▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄████████████▄
█████████████▀
░░░░░████▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀████████████████████████████▀███████▄
██████████▀▀
░░░░░░░████░░░░░░░░████████████████████████████░░░▀███████▄
.com
.
...🎰 100 FreeSpins | No Wager ... Instant Rakeback + VIP Transfer .. Sport's Welcome Pack | Risk-Free ....PLAY NOW..
[/center]
yhiaali3
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 2562
Merit: 2678



View Profile WWW
Today at 03:15:01 AM
 #8

I agree with you that if you lose a lot, but your losses are small, then there is no problem. However, I do not entirely agree with the other part that if you win, but your profits are small, then your bet becomes pointless, even if you are right.

I don't know, but everyone has their own philosophy, so if the goal of gambling is enjoyment, I don't see a problem with small profits or small losses; the problem is only with large losses.



███████▄▄███▄███▄
███▄▄████████▌██
▄█████████████▐██▌
██▄███████████▌█▌
███████▀██████▐▌█
██████████████▌▌▐
████████▄███████▐▐
█████████████████
███████████████▄██▄
██████████████▀▀▀
█████▀███▀▀▀

▄▄▄██████▄▄▄███████▄▄▄
███████████████████████████
███▌█████▀███▌█████▀▀███████████▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
███▌█████▄███▌█████▄███▐███████████████████▄
▐████████████▀███████▄██████████▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀████▀
▐████████████▄██▄███████████▌█████████▄████▀
▐█████████▀█████████▌█████████████▄▄████▀
██████████▄███████████▐███▌██▄██████▀
██████████████▀███▐███▌██████████████████████
████▀██████▀▀█████████▌███▀▀▀▀███▀▀▀▀▀▀▀████▌
 
      P R E M I E R   B I T C O I N   C A S I N O   &   S P O R T S B O O K      

█▀▀









▀▀▀

▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀

  98%  
RTP

 
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀

▀▀█









▀▀▀

█▀▀









▀▀▀

▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀

 HIGH 
ODDS

 
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀

▀▀█









▀▀▀
 
..PLAY NOW..
cryptoaddictchie
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2940
Merit: 1635


Crypto Exchange Aggregator


View Profile
Today at 03:16:34 AM
 #9

Isnt the one needed by any gambler to be smart is a controllable way when he/she gamble by means of how they are spending the money for it? Keeping the discipline while doing it and most importantly is the capability to stop when its time to stop.

Majority of the gamblers supress the feeling of being loss in gambling and keeps doing revenge playing hoping they can recover amd win from the loss which make them vulnerable and weak to so called addiction.

If youre a smart gambler then being a responsible one is enough no matter how much losses you had.

Orpichukwu
Hero Member
*****
Offline

Activity: 1344
Merit: 583


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile
Today at 03:22:33 AM
 #10

No offense, but I don’t agree with the Soros quote being applied to betting. No matter the amount of effort you put in the market, try to bet against the crowd, follow the crowd, and bet smart, you can only reduce the amount you can possibly lose in the long run and increase your chances of winning more in the long run, but that can’t guarantee long-term winning. I consider the quote to be more efficiently placed if we are to use Bitcoin as an example.

..Stake.com..   ▄████████████████████████████████████▄
   ██ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄            ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██  ▄████▄
   ██ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██████████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██  ██████
   ██ ██████████ ██      ██ ██████████ ██   ▀██▀
   ██ ██      ██ ██████  ██ ██      ██ ██    ██
   ██ ██████  ██ █████  ███ ██████  ██ ████▄ ██
   ██ █████  ███ ████  ████ █████  ███ ████████
   ██ ████  ████ ██████████ ████  ████ ████▀
   ██ ██████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██████████ ██
   ██            ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀            ██  
   ▀█████████▀ ▄████████████▄ ▀█████████▀
  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄███  ██  ██  ███▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
 ██████████████████████████████████████████
▄▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▄
█  ▄▀▄             █▀▀█▀▄▄
█  █▀█             █  ▐  ▐▌
█       ▄██▄       █  ▌  █
█     ▄██████▄     █  ▌ ▐▌
█    ██████████    █ ▐  █
█   ▐██████████▌   █ ▐ ▐▌
█    ▀▀██████▀▀    █ ▌ █
█     ▄▄▄██▄▄▄     █ ▌▐▌
█                  █▐ █
█                  █▐▐▌
█                  █▐█
▀▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▀█
▄▄█████████▄▄
▄██▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀▀██▄
▄█▀       ▐█▌       ▀█▄
██         ▐█▌         ██
████▄     ▄█████▄     ▄████
████████▄███████████▄████████
███▀    █████████████    ▀███
██       ███████████       ██
▀█▄       █████████       ▄█▀
▀█▄    ▄██▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██▄  ▄▄▄█▀
▀███████         ███████▀
▀█████▄       ▄█████▀
▀▀▀███▄▄▄███▀▀▀
..PLAY NOW..
fullfitlarry
Sr. Member
****
Offline

Activity: 490
Merit: 361


You Attract What You Are


View Profile
Today at 03:27:56 AM
 #11

In reality, everyone can make mistakes, both the crowd and those who try to bet against the crowd. There's no particular meaning to this, but the crowd is still wrong a little more often. On the other hand, the main task of a smart gambler isn't to be right, or rather, not only or primarily about that. The main task of a smart gambler is to be right where many people are wrong, big time, for big money. Or where a small number are wrong, but, again, big time, for big money. If you win, but your winnings are mere cents, your game is pointless, even if you're right. Conversely, if you lose often, but your losses are small, then there's no problem.
This is a classic George Soros quote: the only thing that matters is how much you win when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.

It's a question on when you are going to be right when everyone was wrong? What at those key indicators to go against the crowd? Because if you could discover that secret then you are going to be always a winner. But that is the thing, we really don't know because we are betting into the unknown.

But if you have that gut feeling, then why not go against the crowd, bet huge and see the outcome. And that is the very definition of gambling, taking that big risk betting huge when majority sees it's differently.

L E G E N D A R Y
Full Member
***
Offline

Activity: 266
Merit: 231



View Profile
Today at 03:34:18 AM
 #12

Sometimes or should I say most times it goes beyond just being right, especially if the size of the outcome doesn’t really justify the size of the risk taken. I mean it’s possible for a gambler to make several correct calls and still ends up with the worst possible outcomes, especially when the occasional losses are way bigger than the wins. And that’s why I think that the quality of a gambler’s decision should be weighed by the size of risk, or how much was risked to achieve the expected return.

free-bit.co.in
Hero Member
*****
Offline

Activity: 1890
Merit: 571


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile
Today at 04:01:07 AM
 #13

In reality, everyone can make mistakes, both the crowd and those who try to bet against the crowd. There's no particular meaning to this, but the crowd is still wrong a little more often.

However I wouldn't place too much emphasis on your idea that crowd is wrong a little more often.
After all assuming as universal rule that crowd is frequently wrong can be dangerous.

What matters more to me is considering probability and price together. Then I determine my stake size. Suppose you win only 4 out of your 10 bet. But if your average gain from your winning slip is  more elevated than your average loss then your all around result still be positive even after you lost 6.

That is basic concept of expectancy.

..Stake.com..   ▄████████████████████████████████████▄
   ██ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄            ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██  ▄████▄
   ██ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██████████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ ██  ██████
   ██ ██████████ ██      ██ ██████████ ██   ▀██▀
   ██ ██      ██ ██████  ██ ██      ██ ██    ██
   ██ ██████  ██ █████  ███ ██████  ██ ████▄ ██
   ██ █████  ███ ████  ████ █████  ███ ████████
   ██ ████  ████ ██████████ ████  ████ ████▀
   ██ ██████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ ██████████ ██
   ██            ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀            ██ 
   ▀█████████▀ ▄████████████▄ ▀█████████▀
  ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄███  ██  ██  ███▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
 ██████████████████████████████████████████
▄▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▄
█  ▄▀▄             █▀▀█▀▄▄
█  █▀█             █  ▐  ▐▌
█       ▄██▄       █  ▌  █
█     ▄██████▄     █  ▌ ▐▌
█    ██████████    █ ▐  █
█   ▐██████████▌   █ ▐ ▐▌
█    ▀▀██████▀▀    █ ▌ █
█     ▄▄▄██▄▄▄     █ ▌▐▌
█                  █▐ █
█                  █▐▐▌
█                  █▐█
▀▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▀█
▄▄█████████▄▄
▄██▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀▀██▄
▄█▀       ▐█▌       ▀█▄
██         ▐█▌         ██
████▄     ▄█████▄     ▄████
████████▄███████████▄████████
███▀    █████████████    ▀███
██       ███████████       ██
▀█▄       █████████       ▄█▀
▀█▄    ▄██▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██▄  ▄▄▄█▀
▀███████         ███████▀
▀█████▄       ▄█████▀
▀▀▀███▄▄▄███▀▀▀
..PLAY NOW..
Pages: [1]
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!