First, I will start by pointing out the candidates that are seriously in the contest, not people that we know that they are just contesting as we have seen the AAC candidate Omoyele Sowere doing in the past few years, Tinubu, Atiku and Obi are the popular candidates, Seyi Makinde knows that he's joking, of course we can't take Sowore serious, because we know that he's not in the game, now my preferred candidate is Peter Obi, and it is only Nigerian electoral system that can make him not to win, if the election is a free and fair election which I doubt, Perter Obi Will be announced as the winner, but we have a system where the gladiators can do anything to return to power.
Although we do not know how this election is going to be like, but it will be very difficult for Tinubu to win the North, Atiku and Kwankwaso is not going to allow that happen, and Atiku will win more of the votes, North has a way of doing things, when it is time, they will do their thing, The real vote will never be shared and if that's is been maintained in other geopolitical zones, it will be difficult to announce the Real winner, Tinubu plan is to rig everything, but let's see if it will work that way.
Presidency is by zoning and it was the turn of souths to produce a president, that is why they allowed tinubu to win, so that after his reign,the presidency will be zoned back to the North. However, the way things are going on especially at the North, tinubu might not win an election. The North are dying,they are been slaughtered like animals by bandits and they aren't happy about it. Again, the reason they voted tinubu was because he is a Muslim and that he will protect their personal interests but things aren't going the way they had expected. They don't trust tinubu anymore,so they might not vote for him again to win the election. As you know,any candidate who doesn't have the support of the North can't win an election in this country that is because the North are more populous than any region,so if Tinubu can't secure one third of vote from the North,he can't win the election. So this election is just between atiku and Peter obi, even if Tinubu try to rig it, he won't succeed because the North are against his re election as president.