It seems that CKPool has a higher
luck rate. Another solo miner has managed to mine a
BTC-block, specifically block number #974,893, earning a reward of 3,1335
BTC (~$230k.)
This time, the miner's computing power was approximately 581 TH/s.
As you may recall, this (mining an entire block as a solo miner) has already happened (twice) in October.
People do win the lottery, too but that happens more often than finding a block via solo mining. It is extremely rare to successfully mine a block when you have a low hashrate.
But as you can see, the chances are still greater than
0.
Just look at the market for solo-mining hardware, it’s flooded with offerings from various manufacturers ranging from simple mini ASICs to water heaters and space heaters that double as Bitcoin miners. I am certain that the volume of these ASICs being sold far exceeds the actual profit they generate.
Because during a gold rush, the "shovel seller" ends up wealthier than the "ordinary digger".
Just to put into perspective the insane chance of hitting a block with 16 TH/s, it is 0.08% per year. That's in 1 in 1200 years. Lucky bastard! Someone from the Roman Empire in AD 800 would have around 64% of having hit that, if he was still running it.
And just imagine that he was mining along the way, for instance, by using this ASIC as a space heater.

In other words, these blocks could have been mined entirely by accident, as a byproduct.