Betting on A Strong Team Can Be Very Risky

[nelson4lov]

It happens in all sports. I mostly bet on football matches but even sometimes when I back heavy favorites to win while at home, they lose. It's not all the time but the possibility is always there. I think it has to do with how life works. You might be the best at something but there are some days where even if you put in 100% work rate, it won't be enough.

[Grace333]

When it comes to gambling, there is no guarantee that a strong team will beat the underdog. Gambling is purely unpredictable anything can happen at any time - so we shouldn't get carried away by big teams when placing a bet, because at the end of the day, the smaller team will definitely surprise you.

It can be predictable to an extent but not always predictable, the mistake a lot of people make is judging by just the odds but sometimes the underdogs might actually be in a better form than the favorite team but bettors don't carry out enough research to actually figure this out. For people that have been betting for a while they know that a team having a big odd doesn't mean that the favorite has a definite assurance of winning. Gambling can be hard to predict a lot of times that is why it is important to always stake responsibly.

[Bryan jessy]

At times the very team or the most favorite team that lots of people are cheering for happens to flop in games while the underrated team performance better, i have always believed that winning is not about how big a team is or how small it is, rather it's all about luck and how prepared they came, so most times betting on strong team can be risk likewise the weak team it is just unpredictable, I witnessed a game where good numbers of people betted a strong team with huge amount and it turns out that the weak team as people regard its won the game and they were all upset and was regretting their choice because they underestimated the lower team thinking their performance will be like their previous ones but the surprised everyone, that's game for you.

[Jaycoinz]

I don't really bet on cricket because I don't find the sport to be entertaining compared to football or soccer games. The same thing happens as well in soccer and a lot of bettors are quick to call it a fixed game just because the game didn't go according to how they predicted it. There is a high chance that this game that you are referring to wasn't actually fixed, even big teams can end up missing their chances. There's no way you can fully predict the outcome of any sport game.

[Mr_Brilliant$]

Could be Australia always win their games and their teams or fans expected that as usual. But they fail to understand that things can change in an instant. You won't even have an idea of what went wrong. You will even swear to yourself that they are of better form.

That's just how the betting works. Choosing a strong team have no value to gamblers again. Although, they might have or not. So we've always been dealing with a coin with head and shoulders.

[BALIK]

I am familiar with cricket and I have played it for years. That's why I always pick up cricket. And whoever is fond of cricket will understand my question much better. Although the question is very general and hope all of you will understand. A match against Australia and Zimbabwe was played about a decade ago. And the over-confidence of betting people on Australia sinked them. Like 1 dollar for the one who bet on Australia win and 100 dollars if zimbabwe win. Unlucky was the day for those when Taylor of Zimbabwe made 60 runs and played a vital role in Zimbabwe win. It was just good luck for the people who bet on Zimbabwe win, because they already knew the strength of Australian team at that time.

When casual bettors watch match like Australia vs Zimbabwe, they usually base their decision on the teams past reputation and popularity. Market often reacts in exact same way, which can create extra value in odds of weaker team.

As an example, any weaker team might have 5 % actual chance of winning  out of 100 time, but we will see that betting market prices them as if they only have 1% chance!!! That is precisely where the real opportunity lies.

IMO, blindly throwing money at weak teams is foolish. Any experienced bettor’s primary goal should be to identify mispriced odds or market inefficiencies. Keep in mind, even if bet you loses, if it had right mathematical value or edge, your decision was not wrong. The exact opposite happens when you win any bet placed on poor odds, you might make short-term profit but in long run, it's definitely a flawed strategy.

[lombok]

Could be Australia always win their games and their teams or fans expected that as usual. But they fail to understand that things can change in an instant. You won't even have an idea of what went wrong. You will even swear to yourself that they are of better form.

That's just how the betting works. Choosing a strong team have no value to gamblers again. Although, they might have or not. So we've always been dealing with a coin with head and shoulders.

Reputation of excellence that Australia has built itself as far as football is concerned usually leads to an air of overconfidence on the part of people who bank on its reputation. Previous numerical supremacy does not guarantee result, since there are billions of possibilities in the case of round ball. Backing the favorites has been on the decline in terms of betting, and there lies dangerous gap that may be filled with a slight surprise to destroy the entire supremacy. Every coin toss in a game is fraught with painful uncertainty, and prideful cries turn to silent disappointment at the end of the game. Experience on the field demonstrates the fact that a paper supremacy is broken easily by any mistake.

[Byebyebtc]

I honestly don't watch cricket, but this scenario also happens in football, the team you expect the least to get a win in a particular match could end up winning that match, these things happen, and I will say it's always a reminder that gambling is a game of luck, you could make a bet out of stupidity and you care less about it but at the end get a surprising win, and you now regret why you didn't use more money on that bet,
These thing happen and that is where true joy of the game is from.

[serjent05]

@OP, an upset win really happened.  It is not surprising when a stronger team loses.  There are lots of bettors losses huge amount of money because they bet on stronger team only to get beaten by the underdogs.  We don't know for sure if the match is rigged or what, but we can assume that sometimes a stronger team gets too confident and doesn't take their opponent seriously, or the underdog has studied their opponent really well and come up with a strategy that beats the stronger team's tactics.

There is also this luck factor where, just for example, in Basketball, every shot tried by the stronger team doesn't go in while their opponent's shots score whatever angle they shoot the ball.

So I agree that betting on a strong team can be very risky, after all, we are gambling, and it won't be called gambling if it does not have risk.

[Davidvictorson]

I am familiar with cricket and I have played it for years. That's why I always pick up cricket. And whoever is fond of cricket will understand my question much better. Although the question is very general and hope all of you will understand. A match against Australia and Zimbabwe was played about a decade ago. And the over-confidence of betting people on Australia sinked them. Like 1 dollar for the one who bet on Australia win and 100 dollars if zimbabwe win. Unlucky was the day for those when Taylor of Zimbabwe made 60 runs and played a vital role in Zimbabwe win. It was just good luck for the people who bet on Zimbabwe win, because they already knew the strength of Australian team at that time.

It was a match no body imagined that Zimbabwe will win from the four time world champions. Unlike today's IPL in which most of the matches are fixed. Have you ever bet on a team which was very weak and you have won 10 times more than expected in any kind of sports?

Sometimes, you just gotta go with your instincts.
A team that looked weak may just be the underdog. In sports betting one of the ways know a team an underdog is that not one that people conclude but one that you know.
Luck is also important just as another person has said.i wonder if people would bet on Zimbabwe in their next match and I wonder what would happen if they lose?

[Joeboy]

~snip~

I'm a football lover, and that's the sport I often gamble on. In football, this is not some surprising or out-of-the-world occurrence. An underdog can and do win big teams sometimes; so yes, I've had bets in which the weaker team won the stronger team, and I've won a couple of them.

But, the thing about sports betting is that it is often not always a straightforward thing: there are parleys where some games can cut your bet slip; varying options that can detar you from the best prediction, or place you in a safe prediction—it goes both ways I guess. There are just so many variables when it comes to sports betting.

So, have I won a particular game where I bet on the underdog to win? Yes, but that doesn't mean I won that bet slip—cause most of the time, I do make a parley bet.

The recent one is the loss that Arsenal had to the fourth division Fleetwood Town..I sure didn't expect that to happen considering the fact that Arsenal are one of Epl's most strongest..They have better and more experienced players plus a coach like Mikel Arteta who is well experienced, but yet still faced to proved themselves...And as things didn't go as expected, I lost a lot of money after that match coz my prediction what actually on Arsenal winning that matches infact with a very high goal difference, since Arsenal hasn't even really had a bad performance since the start of the season...After that match I have stop treating matches as a guaranteed win regardless of how convincing the odds seems to be...

[Bright0515]

I like to take risks when betting. Not only in cricket matches but also in football matches or any other matches where the chances of winning are less. For example, two days ago, Real Madrid won against Barcelona in the El Clasico match. Before this match, even though Barcelona was ahead based on statistical analysis and recent performance, I took risks and bet on Real Madrid and won a large amount of funds. I bet small amounts of funds in some matches but it is very exciting to get a multiple profit if I win. I have won several times on bets where the profit was 10x.

You have a point, although the match between real Madrid and Barcelona was quite predictable even if the odds indicated that Madrid were the underdogs, from the look of things it's obvious that Madrid are now in form and doing every necessary to win the title this season, they might not but the effort they are putting in to achieve this makes them a threat, a lot of people didn't consider this before betting on Barcelona to win.

[Franklyn-wood]

I am familiar with cricket and I have played it for years. That's why I always pick up cricket. And whoever is fond of cricket will understand my question much better. Although the question is very general and hope all of you will understand. A match against Australia and Zimbabwe was played about a decade ago. And the over-confidence of betting people on Australia sinked them. Like 1 dollar for the one who bet on Australia win and 100 dollars if zimbabwe win. Unlucky was the day for those when Taylor of Zimbabwe made 60 runs and played a vital role in Zimbabwe win. It was just good luck for the people who bet on Zimbabwe win, because they already knew the strength of Australian team at that time.

It was a match no body imagined that Zimbabwe will win from the four time world champions. Unlike today's IPL in which most of the matches are fixed. Have you ever bet on a team which was very weak and you have won 10 times more than expected in any kind of sports?

It's happens like that most times in all the sports not only cricket, when placing bet of a game I usually pick the stronger team and bet on them looking down on the lesser team, which some times I get it wrong and the funds invested become waste and will start blaming my self for not chosing the other team. Undereating a team most times is bad and makes it looks like the games where fixed because we often have high expectations from the bigger teams and willing to place more bet on them than the lesser teams.
I have stopped centralizing my gameson on bigger teams, rather on both with more careful observations.

[Ryu_Ar1]

It was a match no body imagined that Zimbabwe will win from the four time world champions. Unlike today's IPL in which most of the matches are fixed. Have you ever bet on a team which was very weak and you have won 10 times more than expected in any kind of sports?

2 bet this will be my answer because even though it may be different sports branches but the situation is still the same where betting on favorites it does not guarantee to us to get a win easily.

2 parlay that I do in the situation the winning rate is very large but the results actually do not make me happy because L1 even though the club I bet on is in a favorite condition in betting but this is a match on the field because sometimes even the favorite club on some occasions may not get a good result in a match.
Indeed, in terms of the probability that the winning rate will look great but on the one hand it is clearly not a guarantee that we will win in betting because unexpected situations that we do not expect can happen.

[Mayor of ogba]

Odds doesn't play a match or determine the outcome of a match, if you decide to pick teams with small odds and bet on them without you knowing their current form and the form of the teams they are playing against it will be difficult for you to win a bet. Feyenoord has 1.17 odds at home, I was supposed to add them in my prediction because of their small odds but when I knew about the current form of their opponent I didn't add them again, the analysis I carried out on Feyenoord's opponent saved me from losing my bet, because Feyenoord ended up playing 1-1.

[Kelvinid]

It happens in all sports. I mostly bet on football matches but even sometimes when I back heavy favorites to win while at home, they lose. It's not all the time but the possibility is always there. I think it has to do with how life works. You might be the best at something but there are some days where even if you put in 100% work rate, it won't be enough.

Let's just say, losses are part of the game, and regardless of the team's current position, they will experience losses at one point of their lives. Those who win more often will probably lose somehow, and those who are expected to keep losing at times, will also go through winning somehow.

Whether it is cricket or not, or any international sports, all teams experience their fair losses and wins. That's why casinos include several games in their betting options, because of how unpredictable the nature of the game is and its future outcome.

[Sobz]

It was a match no body imagined that Zimbabwe will win from the four time world champions. Unlike today's IPL in which most of the matches are fixed. Have you ever bet on a team which was very weak and you have won 10 times more than expected in any kind of sports?

I dont play cricket but one thing about sport games or will say games as whole it cant be predicted and being a stronger team is not a guarantee for win and this is where gamblk g is very interesting.  Since it is a game where you cant predict what will will be the outcome of the game it is better for gamblers to always gamble with the amount they can afford to lose and not to be too confident in selecting games and thinking the stronger team in gambling would always win.

[Alphakilo]

It was a match no body imagined that Zimbabwe will win from the four time world champions. Unlike today's IPL in which most of the matches are fixed. Have you ever bet on a team which was very weak and you have won 10 times more than expected in any kind of sports?

I dont play cricket but one thing about sport games or will say games as whole it cant be predicted and being a stronger team is not a guarantee for win and this is where gamblk g is very interesting.  Since it is a game where you cant predict what will will be the outcome of the game it is better for gamblers to always gamble with the amount they can afford to lose and not to be too confident in selecting games and thinking the stronger team in gambling would always win.

Gambling is definitely unpredictable and an underdog might just be a topdog at most instances not because of past records but because of some factors that may be happening in the team that we the spectators don't know nothing about.
I have made bets on most strong teams and lost tremendously although mostly in sportsbetting and if I relate same to cricket, it's still no different because the result is what speaks in the end and it relates to this post well.
So it's just better to bet according to your instincts and strategies and most times bet on different tickets while interchange of teams either strong or not should be included to make sure one wins .

[AVE5]

I am familiar with cricket and I have played it for years. That's why I always pick up cricket. And whoever is fond of cricket will understand my question much better. Although the question is very general and hope all of you will understand. A match against Australia and Zimbabwe was played about a decade ago. And the over-confidence of betting people on Australia sinked them. Like 1 dollar for the one who bet on Australia win and 100 dollars if zimbabwe win. Unlucky was the day for those when Taylor of Zimbabwe made 60 runs and played a vital role in Zimbabwe win. It was just good luck for the people who bet on Zimbabwe win, because they already knew the strength of Australian team at that time.

That's not a new kind of experience in gambling and if being successful in gambling was about batting on the big teams, I don't think the casino's and even the poly market will be so Industrous for investor's who tends to make profits out of player's losses but unfortunately, if it really works that way, then there's every reasons why we must be betting on the big teams.
Luck has really been one of the reliable source to be successful in the prediction market and not really all that logical strategies on analysing the games.
Truly, big teams fails to beat the underdogs at times.

[Futurexxx]

It happens in all sports. I mostly bet on football matches but even sometimes when I back heavy favorites to win while at home, they lose. It's not all the time but the possibility is always there. I think it has to do with how life works. You might be the best at something but there are some days where even if you put in 100% work rate, it won't be enough.

That's just it, because in some days your best will not be enough even though everyone expects you to win. Surprise result is one of those things we experience in sport on a daily and weekly basis, so it's not just in cricket that the op spoke of, which is why predicting the outcome of an accumulated games that are more than five is not easy, because even though you select five top teams that are favourite to win, one or two of them might not be able to win as expected, so betting on a stronger team to win truly does not guarantee that they will win, because surprising result is always there in sport generally.