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Author Topic: Interesting analogy  (Read 2050 times)
naima53
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January 14, 2012, 04:42:50 PM
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And so... Both these moments in the history led to reduction of prices. Your thoughts?

Postscript. Dear bulls! Don't kick me for this post, I at present out of the market. I as very much want a rise in prices, as well as you!



EDIT
I assume, the large player, the interested person, has made the big purchase, "upwards impulse", BUT many have read this post (Protect the money), and have fixed profit EARLIER than it. Now it only needs "not to allow to fall absolutely", "suppressing" lowering. These motions aren't natural to a trend. Look against logic.

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NamelessOne
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January 14, 2012, 05:12:02 PM
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Yes, it would look like the big player is attempting to keep the price above the long term trend line every time it gets close. This has been a theory of mine also.
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January 14, 2012, 05:14:15 PM
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I have been looking at mid May of last year too...
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January 14, 2012, 05:54:48 PM
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A little late in noticing that analogy. Tongue It became very prominent three days ago, called a bear trap. I've been hinting at it a few times.

Good job pointing it out correctly though, and finding two past instances. There actually is a third very fast-paced one, but that doesn't matter, because if you need examples you can find them on silver twice, on the NASDAQ, and many more if you want to. It is the only chartist pattern I know and believe to give useful information on expectation value.

I believe it is caused by the delay it takes people to change their opinion on an active trend when the market is dominated by in-trend speculators. People like following trends here, this makes the shape more prominent. So basically, I think the information contained is that some non-negligible fraction of Bitcoin users changed their opinion away from bullish, and that this process is likely to continue unless the rally picks up again quickly.

The information is in the positive-then-negative breakout, volume, and the oscillations close to the peak. The rest of the indicators just show artifacts of that, I don't think they're useful for more but show.

Also, zoom in. If you look at the peaks or "stable" areas, you will notice very low volume that suddenly returns to higher volume. A sign of a market with strongly fluctuating BTC liquidity.

I would not be astonished if we see another drop some time soon.
naima53
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January 14, 2012, 07:07:36 PM
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Quote
I would not be astonished if we see another drop some time soon.
THIS!!!  it just happened ...  people, be smarter!

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January 14, 2012, 07:10:10 PM
 #6

Quote
I would not be astonished if we see another drop some time soon.
THIS!!!  it just happened ...  people, be smarter!

No it didnt
naima53
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January 14, 2012, 07:16:21 PM
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Quote
A little late in noticing
I follow ~ 20 diagrams of different companies, the main job, I wish I could devote more time than I would like to  Sad

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naima53
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January 14, 2012, 07:18:54 PM
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Quote
I would not be astonished if we see another drop some time soon.
THIS!!!  it just happened ...  people, be smarter!

No it didnt
I was referring to an attempt to influence the trend, a bad translation ...

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naima53
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January 14, 2012, 07:44:12 PM
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I follow ~ 20 diagrams of different companies, the main job, I wish I could devote more time than I would like to  Sad
what software do you use for that ?

MetaStock, iThink Analyst, TradeStation+eSignal, Radar Screen, Альфа-Риск- Управление портфелем, Option Station, but for the most part, the development of my company

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January 14, 2012, 07:46:15 PM
 #10


this does not take a manipulator, one would expect support to develop at long term trend lines

Of course, but it often shoots up with super spikes right as it gets there which seem like people fully aware of this trendline and helping out. Could just be conspiracy though...
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January 15, 2012, 10:44:41 PM
 #11

And so... Both these moments in the history led to reduction of prices. Your thoughts?

Postscript. Dear bulls! Don't kick me for this post, I at present out of the market. I as very much want a rise in prices, as well as you!



EDIT
I assume, the large player, the interested person, has made the big purchase, "upwards impulse", BUT many have read this post (Protect the money), and have fixed profit EARLIER than it. Now it only needs "not to allow to fall absolutely", "suppressing" lowering. These motions aren't natural to a trend. Look against logic.


it's worth noting that you might be marking the wrong pattern. in other words, it can be said that the market looks the same as it did one month before the bubble...

this sentence has fifteen words, seventy-four letters, four commas, one hyphen, and a period.
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January 15, 2012, 10:50:00 PM
 #12

Don't worry, I just sold about half of my BTC.  The market always increases by $0.20-$0.30 hours after I sell, so... expect a rally.
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January 15, 2012, 10:55:57 PM
 #13

Don't worry, I just sold about half of my BTC.  The market always increases by $0.20-$0.30 hours after I sell, so... expect a rally.

TRULY EPIC!!!!!  Me too, every freaking time...  Cheesy

Your not alone brother

For Canadians by Canadians: Canada's Bitcoin Community - https://www.coinforum.ca/
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January 16, 2012, 12:14:41 AM
 #14

Don't worry, I just sold about half of my BTC.  The market always increases by $0.20-$0.30 hours after I sell, so... expect a rally.

TRULY EPIC!!!!!  Me too, every freaking time...  Cheesy

Your not alone brother

The bulls are just waiting for a dump to lower the asks Wink.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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SgtSpike
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January 16, 2012, 03:12:34 AM
 #15

Don't worry, I just sold about half of my BTC.  The market always increases by $0.20-$0.30 hours after I sell, so... expect a rally.

TRULY EPIC!!!!!  Me too, every freaking time...  Cheesy

Your not alone brother
Got cold feet and bought back in.  Tongue  I have no idea what I'm doing.
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January 16, 2012, 03:16:54 AM
 #16

Don't worry, I just sold about half of my BTC.  The market always increases by $0.20-$0.30 hours after I sell, so... expect a rally.

TRULY EPIC!!!!!  Me too, every freaking time...  Cheesy

Your not alone brother
Got cold feet and bought back in.  Tongue  I have no idea what I'm doing.

you're starting another rally, thats what!
notme
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January 16, 2012, 03:18:05 AM
 #17

Don't worry, I just sold about half of my BTC.  The market always increases by $0.20-$0.30 hours after I sell, so... expect a rally.

TRULY EPIC!!!!!  Me too, every freaking time...  Cheesy

Your not alone brother
Got cold feet and bought back in.  Tongue  I have no idea what I'm doing.

you're starting another rally, thats what!

That's the best place to get in Wink.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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cypherdoc
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January 16, 2012, 03:56:10 AM
 #18

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naima53
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January 18, 2012, 03:39:33 PM
 #19

About what I have written has really occurred. And let it will be good "lesson" to those greedy traders. That who tried to "influence" a trend. They have forgotten the most important rule of trade: "a trend - your friend"

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