What happened at Gox on 2013-05-13 - (BTC Xfer Diagrams)

[phelix]

Created a graph from the leaked Gox data. Daily sum of BTC deposits and withdrawals (purple) vs. Gox price (red) vs. Stamp price (blue - also Gox price pre 2013).

Something seems to have happened around 2013-05-13... what?




Notes:
Aggregated data: http://blockchained.com/stuff/filtered_xfer_report_2.txt
Here is how I aggregated the data, you are welcome to reuse, review improve: http://blockchained.com/stuff/xferfilter2.py_
It looks odd there are so little coins on Gox before 2011-August.

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[MoreFun]

Can you also add fiat sum of deposits and withdrawals?

[sobriket]

Great visualisation.

Maybe this is what happened: http://www.goxdox.org/2014/04/mt-gox-was-hacked-in-2013-this-is-when.html (account inflation and withdrawal)

[solex]

This happened:

http://betabeat.com/2013/05/warrant-reveals-department-of-homeland-security-seized-mt-goxs-dwolla-account-for-unlicensed-money-transmitting/

[Aditya]

[16:54] <@KuDeTa> KuDeTa: So what do you think should happen? If OKCoin get together and manage to make a reasonable bid, will you - can you - support it?
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:44am] MagicalTux: I met with OkCoin today
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:45am] KuDeTa: what were your thoughts on it? If you can share
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:46am] MagicalTux: sounds like their plan still need some work, but is on a much better shape
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:47am] KuDeTa: on a  much better shape? … For whom? You, me, us them?
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:48am] MagicalTux: creditors, first
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:49am] KuDeTa: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=590138.0
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:49am] KuDeTa: what do you make of that graph
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:49am] KuDeTa: Something strange happened at gox last year in may
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:52am] KuDeTa: It might not be much but i thought it was interesting
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:53am] KuDeTa: 400k btc difference
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:53am] MagicalTux: we have found evidence of a hack in June2013
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:53am] MagicalTux: that might be linked

[UnDerDoG81]

When will Karpeles be hanged? Can we watch it live on TV? Like Saddam?

[sobriket]

Fiat balances inflated in April 2013 (through fake deposits), purchases of BTC driving the price up enormously, followed by at first slow, and later fast withdrawals in April and May 2013?

[phelix]

[16:54] <@KuDeTa> KuDeTa: So what do you think should happen? If OKCoin get together and manage to make a reasonable bid, will you - can you - support it?
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:44am] MagicalTux: I met with OkCoin today
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:45am] KuDeTa: what were your thoughts on it? If you can share
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:46am] MagicalTux: sounds like their plan still need some work, but is on a much better shape
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:47am] KuDeTa: on a  much better shape? … For whom? You, me, us them?
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:48am] MagicalTux: creditors, first
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:49am] KuDeTa: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=590138.0
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:49am] KuDeTa: what do you make of that graph
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:49am] KuDeTa: Something strange happened at gox last year in may
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:52am] KuDeTa: It might not be much but i thought it was interesting
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:53am] KuDeTa: 400k btc difference
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:53am] MagicalTux: we have found evidence of a hack in June2013
[16:54] <@KuDeTa> [10:53am] MagicalTux: that might be linked

@MagicalTux: For Satoshi's sake, give us the addresses with the hacked coins already.

[Aquent]

About 300k btc was withdrawn in May after DHS seized the dwolla account. So everyone stared turning their fiat into btc and withdrawing. That's why there was a btc price premium on gox.

[phelix]

Can you also add fiat sum of deposits and withdrawals?

These have not been leaked as far as I know.

Great visualisation.

Maybe this is what happened: http://www.goxdox.org/2014/04/mt-gox-was-hacked-in-2013-this-is-when.html (account inflation and withdrawal)

Unfortunately there is no proof...

This happened:
http://betabeat.com/2013/05/warrant-reveals-department-of-homeland-security-seized-mt-goxs-dwolla-account-for-unlicensed-money-transmitting/

About 300k btc was withdrawn in May after DHS seized the dwolla account. So everyone stared turning their fiat into btc and withdrawing. That's why there was a btc price premium on gox.

Ahh, how could I not think of that. Looks like it was the beginning of the end. So the DHS exposed MtGox' fractional reserve banking practice. LoL.

Still, in January when the spread between Bitstamp and Gox grew it almost looks as if some people knew more than others.

[mtgoxleaker]

Thanks phelix, nice visualization.

Would you consider adding it to the wiki we are starting to try and correlate these analyses at
http://www.reddit.com/r/mtgoxaddresses/wiki/analysis ?

It would be nice to start trying to pool efforts on this.