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Question: What is your opinion on what would happen to a coin if it was forked to drastically reduce coin supply.  Taking current block reward down to 10% of current reward, so say 5000 down to 500?  With Current coins in circulation over 300 million.
It would flourish in the Exchanges now that less coins are created per day. - 2 (20%)
It would do ok on Exchanges. - 1 (10%)
There would be no change - 0 (0%)
The coin would drop slightly as faith is lost in the devs. - 1 (10%)
The coin would fail as what investor would invest in a coin that has so many potential bag holders ready to sell. - 0 (0%)
The coin would fail as who could trust the dev not to change block reward in the future. - 1 (10%)
SCAM! - 3 (30%)
Fail - Other - 2 (20%)
Succeed - Other - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 10

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Author Topic: Forking a coin to drastically reduce coin supply  (Read 612 times)
owlhooter (OP)
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May 30, 2014, 11:43:59 PM
 #1

So what is everyone's opinion on this?  We seem to have some folks that want a coin forked to change block reward thinking it will help the coin.  My opinion is that it won't help at all and will breed more distrust for the coin, but I thought I'd put it in the open to ask for more opinions on this matter.  If you have any coin examples that did things like this and the results feel free to share as well.
Willisius
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May 31, 2014, 01:03:29 AM
 #2

FlappyCoin did this.

...
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May 31, 2014, 01:12:28 AM
 #3

The problem with too many coins is you saturate the demand.  So the price can fall below 1 satoshi which means the coin has effectively delisted itself.

Maybe it survives anyway and swaps to ltc but really you are shooting yourself in the foot.   Why keep anything that will have twice as much available in a month.

A fork is fine if improves previous mistakes

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Willisius
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May 31, 2014, 01:59:41 AM
 #4

Well I think the coin would fail but for a reason not listed: Why would people mine it?
owlhooter (OP)
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May 31, 2014, 02:01:32 AM
 #5

Well I think the coin would fail but for a reason not listed: Why would people mine it?

So with so much supply already out there and little reward for mining what's the point in mining anymore right?
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May 31, 2014, 02:06:17 AM
Last edit: May 31, 2014, 02:17:30 AM by Rofo
 #6

Solves inflation but distorts distribution, makes it more likely more forks will be added on a whim (zero long-term trust), used to justify pump & dumps, lines early buyers with easy profit at expense of long-term potential (if any), alienates late and newcomers, makes it easier longer-term for distribution criticism which scares away 'investors', doesn't address the real problem: demand. Not a popular opinion, but that sums it up for me.

Let's say you put out 7500000 coins a day at 20 satoshi, that's a supply excess (daily coin maintenance) of 1.5BTC. Too many coins? People want to cut supply? OK, we'll do that. Cut by 50%. We're now at 3750000. Problem solved? No. After the initial hype (if any these days since halving rarely works), pumping and dumping, the coin settles and we'll assume it survives. We can't really be sure of final realistic price, but let's say it's doubled because you've halved the amount of coins added (if we go the maths route and genuine supply/demand doesn't change after the initial 'euphoria'). What's the excess supply (daily coin maintenance) now? 1.5BTC.

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