Bryant Coleman's demography thread

[bryant.coleman]

I am starting a new thread to discuss the demographic changes for the world population. Will discuss the birth rates, death rates, fertility rates, as well as the natural population growth.

Also, the results of the latest national censuses will be posted here.  

[niothor]

A thread about bitcoin adoptions for different countries , age of users , and daily use would be far more interesting .

[bryant.coleman]

A thread about bitcoin adoptions for different countries , age of users , and daily use would be far more interesting .

There are several of them already here in Bitcointalk.

OK.... my first post.

Demography of Russia for January-April 2014.

Total number of births: 619,555 (increase of 1.6%)
Total number of deaths: 647,824 (decrease of 2.4%)

Total natural population growth: -28,269

Biggest increases in birth rate: Chukotka (+22.9%), Altai Republic (+9.0%), Sakhalin (+7.7%), Tyumen (+7.2%).
Biggest decreases in birth rate: Novgorod (-9.5%), Nenetskyi (-8.7%), Tver (-5.7%).

Biggest increases in death rate: Republic of Crimea (+9.3%), Amur (+7.8%), Sevastopol Gorsovet (+6.3%).
Biggest decreases in death rate: Sakhalin (-9.7%), Arkhangelsk (-9.7%), Tver (-9.5%).

[Este Nuno]

A thread about bitcoin adoptions for different countries , age of users , and daily use would be far more interesting .

There are several of them already here in Bitcointalk.

OK.... my first post.

Demography of Russia for January-April 2014.

Total number of births: 619,555 (increase of 1.6%)
Total number of deaths: 647,824 (decrease of 2.4%)

Total natural population growth: -28,269

Biggest increases in birth rate: Chukotka (+22.9%), Altai Republic (+9.0%), Sakhalin (+7.7%), Tyumen (+7.2%).
Biggest decreases in birth rate: Novgorod (-9.5%), Nenetskyi (-8.7%), Tver (-5.7%).

Biggest increases in death rate: Republic of Crimea (+9.3%), Amur (+7.8%), Sevastopol Gorsovet (+6.3%).
Biggest decreases in death rate: Sakhalin (-9.7%), Arkhangelsk (-9.7%), Tver (-9.5%).

How do these stats compare with the overall trends for Russia? Is Russia a declining population?

Also are those states with the largest increases in birth rate culturally different than the majority Russian population? Are there trends leading to towards different cultural groups becoming a new majority in Russia? If you're in tune with Russia at all, how does the population feel about this if it's the case?

[bryant.coleman]

How do these stats compare with the overall trends for Russia? Is Russia a declining population?

The Russian population is naturally growing, ever since 2013. (During the first few months, there will be a natural decline, but there will be an increase in births during the summer months).

Also are those states with the largest increases in birth rate culturally different than the majority Russian population? Are there trends leading to towards different cultural groups becoming a new majority in Russia? If you're in tune with Russia at all, how does the population feel about this if it's the case?

The population in Chechnya and Daghestan is increasing much faster than the rest of Russia. But they constitute only around 2.8% of the total population, so they have no chances of becoming the majority in the next 500 years.

Ethnic Russians are right now some 82% of the population, and the proportion seems to be stable, unlike the population of the majority ethnic groups in countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom.

[bryant.coleman]

Demography of Ukraine, for the January-March 2014 period.

Total number of births: 114,066 (increase of 1.8%)
Total number of deaths: 170,524 (increase of 4.2%)

Total natural population growth: -56,458

Biggest increases in birth rate: Kharkov (+5.8%), Kiev Gorsovet (+5.8%), Lugansk (+5.7%).
Biggest decreases in birth rate: Chernihiv (-4.5%), Sumy (-4.1%), Ternopol (-2.6%).

Biggest increases in death rate: Rivne (+8.6%), Donetsk (+8.3%), Zaporizhzhya (+7.3%).
Biggest decreases in death rate: Zakarpattya (-2.5%), Kharkov (+0.7%), Cherkasy (+1.0%).

[maurya78]

Interesting stats, you are clearly a man with time on your hands

Russia's demographic decline has been going on for many years now, no?

[bryant.coleman]

Russia's demographic decline has been going on for many years now, no?

Russia's demographic decline is becoming a thing of the past. Right now the Russian birth rate is even higher than the American birth rate. 

[Este Nuno]

Where are you getting these stats if you don't mind me asking?

[bryant.coleman]

Where are you getting these stats if you don't mind me asking?

From the official Statistics Agencies of the respective nations.

Russia (Goskomstat): http://www.gks.ru/free_doc/2014/demo/edn04-14.htm

Ukraine (SSS Ukraine): http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/

[Nemo1024]

The dynamics in population of Ukraine since its independence:




Even during the famine years of 1930s the population continued to grow.
Now, after the independence the decvline is striking.
From: http://yablor.ru/blogs/dve-ukraini/3638493

[bryant.coleman]

Even during the famine years of 1930s the population continued to grow.
Now, after the independence the decvline is striking.
From: http://yablor.ru/blogs/dve-ukraini/3638493

At least the population decline in Ukraine during the 1991-2014 period (~12%) was a bit milder when compared to that occurred in Baltic states such as Latvia and Lithuania (~20%).

[Este Nuno]

Even during the famine years of 1930s the population continued to grow.
Now, after the independence the decvline is striking.
From: http://yablor.ru/blogs/dve-ukraini/3638493

At least the population decline in Ukraine during the 1991-2014 period (~12%) was a bit milder when compared to that occurred in Baltic states such as Latvia and Lithuania (~20%).

Wow, that's quite a decline. Do you know what caused such a drastic decline in population over that timer period?

[bryant.coleman]

Wow, that's quite a decline. Do you know what caused such a drastic decline in population over that timer period?

I think working age mortality is mostly to blame. A lot of males in the 30s and 40s were dying, as the health care sector collapsed completely. Among the ex-USSR republics, only the Belarus managed to avoid such a fate.

[Pepin]

Emigration, higher mortality, and decreased birthrate all combined to cause the ~10% population drop.

[bryant.coleman]

Demography for Belarus Jan-March 2014:

Total number of Births: 27,690 (-1.3%)
Total number of deaths: 31,311 (-6.9%)

Natural population growth: -3,621

[bryant.coleman]

Demography for Moldovia (2013):

Total number of Births: 37,871 (-4.0%) [Birth rate of 10.6 / 1000, ranging from 8.3/1000 in Basarabeasca to 12.9/1000 in Ungheni)
Total number of Deaths: 38,060 (-3.2%) [Death rate of 10.7 / 1000, ranging from 7.5/1000 in Chişinău to 16.7/1000 in Donduşeni)

Natural population growth: -189

TFR: 1.24 children / woman.

[bryant.coleman]

Demography for Latvia (January-April 2014):

Total number of Births: 6,813 (+4.3%)
Total number of Deaths: 9,784 (-10.8%)

Natural population growth: −2,971 (−4,440 in Jan-Apr 2013).

[247crypto]

Check better https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iodine_deficiency

[bryant.coleman]

Check better https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iodine_deficiency

What this has to do with demography?

---------------------------------------------------------------
Demography for Lithuania (January-May 2014):

Total number of Births: 11,922 (-2.2%)
Total number of Deaths: 17,231 (-8.6%)

Natural population growth: −5,309 (−6,657 in Jan-May 2013).