LakeBTC (OP)
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June 11, 2014, 06:45:39 AM |
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国际投行设计模型预测2014世界杯结局每隔4年,一些由高薪、极度好胜的人组成的团队就会试图击败国际对手。但这不是指世界杯(World Cup),而是那些预测谁将赢得世界杯的投行。 2006年世界杯,投行瑞银就准确预测到决赛的两队为法国、意大利,并预测到意大利最后夺冠。 用的还是经济学的老本事,大体原理是设立计量模型,找到重要变数,查找历史数据,再考虑上今年的赛程因素,得出预测结果。 今年,高盛、裕信和丹斯克的经济学家计算了从人均国内生产总值、到可耕地面积的每一项经济指标,最终拿出一份一份长达60页的分析报告,称,今年世界杯四强将为巴西、德国、阿根廷和西班牙,决赛则是巴西与阿根廷对决,巴西夺冠机率达48.5%,阿根廷胜算为14.1%,预测最后巴西将以3比1拿下冠军。至于上届冠军西班牙队,将在8强赛中被德国击败。 ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fww4.sinaimg.cn%2Fbmiddle%2Fea0ca51fgw1eha5yqd0oxj20a02o7nbf.jpg&t=665&c=oNEIG_OeSrXDtg) 畅读版: https://www.lakebtc.com/p/2370?locale=zh
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lailiangufkjf65
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June 11, 2014, 06:55:27 AM |
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世界杯过后,btc会暴涨吗
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betomoon
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June 11, 2014, 07:11:15 AM |
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在世界杯的过程中比特币就会暴涨吧,大家都买比特币去赌球了,买的人多自然就涨了
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san,san
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June 11, 2014, 07:34:31 AM |
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innocent93
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June 11, 2014, 07:37:09 AM |
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数学模型加“大数据 ” 进行运算,也不是没有可能。
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jiguqtmay511632
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June 11, 2014, 07:51:50 AM |
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数学模型加“大数据 ” 进行运算,也不是没有可能。
大数据是互联网下一个爆发点。请期待。 期待吧
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weinuogpein0375
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June 11, 2014, 08:03:20 AM |
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世界杯很有“看头”
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616bitp
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nic bitgold
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June 11, 2014, 08:26:28 AM |
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都只是个概率。。 99%夺冠 也有可能不是冠军 ![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif)
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yuan12
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June 11, 2014, 09:04:35 AM |
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章鱼哥不在了.这货预测的时间杯准吗?
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yuan12
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June 11, 2014, 09:06:34 AM |
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在世界杯的过程中比特币就会暴涨吧,大家都买比特币去赌球了,买的人多自然就涨了
如果世界杯只是已炒作的虚头呢?
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Key.CN
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June 11, 2014, 09:13:40 AM |
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都是噱头。。。
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visionary
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June 11, 2014, 09:18:57 AM |
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废话,我把历史夺冠记录统计一下,结合近期球队表现,我也能得出这种结论
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dingxiban
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June 11, 2014, 11:58:31 AM |
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西班牙在8强被德国击败???我就不信了
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dingxiban
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June 11, 2014, 11:59:25 AM |
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废话,我把历史夺冠记录统计一下,结合近期球队表现,我也能得出这种结论
反正不管怎样都能得出一个结论
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qiangwei
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June 11, 2014, 12:19:22 PM |
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世界杯过后,btc会暴涨吗
谁知道呢 本来btc和世界杯都没多大关系 比特币涨可不是因为世界杯 而是全球发展应用必然的上涨
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thecoinjournal
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June 11, 2014, 01:02:53 PM |
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世界杯过后,btc会暴涨吗
谁知道呢 本来btc和世界杯都没多大关系 比特币涨可不是因为世界杯 而是全球发展应用必然的上涨 除非冠军得到的是比特币?
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thecoinjournal
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June 11, 2014, 01:04:37 PM |
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废话,我把历史夺冠记录统计一下,结合近期球队表现,我也能得出这种结论
呵呵,这种模型意义不大
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zcxvbs
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June 11, 2014, 01:04:59 PM |
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在世界杯的过程中比特币就会暴涨吧,大家都买比特币去赌球了,买的人多自然就涨了
首先 得有个信得过的赌球网
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laiwendersky
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B2B - Find, Connect, Trade
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June 11, 2014, 05:18:54 PM |
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足球预测这东西说不准,因为人为影响因素太多了
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