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Author Topic: Bitcoin bubble to occur late August/early September  (Read 8077 times)
AnonymousEconomist (OP)
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July 26, 2014, 07:41:30 PM
 #1

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.

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July 26, 2014, 07:42:39 PM
 #2

Source?
AnonymousEconomist (OP)
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July 26, 2014, 08:00:39 PM
 #3

Source?

No source. This is all you get. But it's enough!

 Wink

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July 26, 2014, 08:01:28 PM
 #4

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.

Where did u hear that in bus.

Ha nothing to claim on this if u read something then ok to speculate but otherwise nothing special.



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July 26, 2014, 09:08:14 PM
 #5

Source?

You don't need a source, just bump the thread during the third week of September.
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July 26, 2014, 09:19:35 PM
 #6

Source?

1. buy/sell bitcoin
2. Huh
3. profit !!!

This time next year, we'll be milionares..
This is what i felt reading OPs jibberish , dont know why alot of people expect bitcoin to go up in sept/oct.
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July 26, 2014, 09:29:42 PM
 #7

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.

Where did u hear that in bus.

Ha nothing to claim on this if u read something then ok to speculate but otherwise nothing special.

What are you even saying???

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July 27, 2014, 08:51:23 PM
 #8

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy  of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.

What is the difference between "week two" and "second week"?
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July 27, 2014, 09:14:36 PM
 #9

Wouldn't we get better advice off a hero member rather than a newbie?
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July 27, 2014, 09:22:18 PM
 #10

Wouldn't we get better advice off a hero member rather than a newbie?
I don't think it's a newbie. I've come to the exact same conclusion. There is always a squeeze before a jump. I've been caught by it twice. Never again.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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July 27, 2014, 09:30:03 PM
 #11

Wouldn't we get better advice off a hero member rather than a newbie?
I don't think it's a newbie. I've come to the exact same conclusion. There is always a squeeze before a jump. I've been caught by it twice. Never again.

How low do you think a squeeze could push the price down to?
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July 27, 2014, 09:41:55 PM
 #12

Wouldn't we get better advice off a hero member rather than a newbie?
I don't think it's a newbie. I've come to the exact same conclusion. There is always a squeeze before a jump. I've been caught by it twice. Never again.

How low do you think a squeeze could push the price down to?
We may be at the bottom, but if a catastrophic event happens (which Murphy's Law says it will) then I'm guessing 580 and then the Rule of Thirds spike down to 560 if it is a long downturn. Something bad is going to happen because I don't see anything really good happening until Fall.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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July 27, 2014, 09:48:07 PM
 #13

Wouldn't we get better advice off a hero member rather than a newbie?
I don't think it's a newbie. I've come to the exact same conclusion. There is always a squeeze before a jump. I've been caught by it twice. Never again.

How low do you think a squeeze could push the price down to?
We may be at the bottom, but if a catastrophic event happens (which Murphy's Law says it will) then I'm guessing 580 and then the Rule of Thirds spike down to 560 if it is a long downturn. Something bad is going to happen because I don't see anything really good happening until Fall.
That would really be a very small drop when compared to the price swings that bitcoin has seen in the past (in terms of percentages) as you are predicting a max 10% drop from the current ~$600 levels that we are at now.
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July 27, 2014, 09:58:25 PM
 #14

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventualy fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

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July 27, 2014, 10:13:49 PM
 #15

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventualy fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

Do you think specific events will cause these drops, or do you think they will happen without any obvious causes?
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July 27, 2014, 10:21:58 PM
 #16

Wouldn't we get better advice off a hero member rather than a newbie?
I don't think it's a newbie. I've come to the exact same conclusion. There is always a squeeze before a jump. I've been caught by it twice. Never again.

How low do you think a squeeze could push the price down to?
We may be at the bottom, but if a catastrophic event happens (which Murphy's Law says it will) then I'm guessing 580 and then the Rule of Thirds spike down to 560 if it is a long downturn. Something bad is going to happen because I don't see anything really good happening until Fall.
That would really be a very small drop when compared to the price swings that bitcoin has seen in the past (in terms of percentages) as you are predicting a max 10% drop from the current ~$600 levels that we are at now.
The discussion is not about mere accounting compliance, but now with business regulation.  We're about to enter a whole new level of trade. We've already seen a 40% drop from 900+. The next time we see a large percentage drop it will be from an order of magnitude higher from this level.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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July 27, 2014, 10:31:28 PM
 #17

Even if your prediction comes exactly true you still get absolutely no credit for being right. If you provide no source and give no reason whatsoever for your prediction, then it's a random guess. If you randomly guess correctly then it is blind luck and you didn't actually predict anything.
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July 27, 2014, 10:49:06 PM
 #18

Even if your prediction comes exactly true you still get absolutely no credit for being right. If you provide no source and give no reason whatsoever for your prediction, then it's a random guess. If you randomly guess correctly then it is blind luck and you didn't actually predict anything.
That's probably why it's a newbie account. He may have a bunch of predictions out there and one of them is bound to be correct.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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July 27, 2014, 11:31:06 PM
 #19

It makes a good amount of sense. We need regulation and the etf in place before big money can get big money in, and Lawsky gave us 45 days to provide feedback. That's probably the minimum time before a big spike can happen, and then whenever the etf is ready.

Also, Tzupy said we have not seen capitulation yet so odds are we have.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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July 27, 2014, 11:36:05 PM
 #20

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.

Let's do it. Long time holder here so I won't be selling, but am opening up a large positive soon...

Here we go.
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July 27, 2014, 11:44:19 PM
 #21

i'm really not convinced of any case for a bubble here. we could go sideways for a year from the looks of it! i know it happens when people least expect -- so probably with everyone expecting it, it won't happen. Smiley
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July 28, 2014, 12:22:03 AM
Last edit: July 28, 2014, 09:27:43 PM by Biodom
 #22

everybody expects a bubble now, so since market is almost always acts in a contrarian fashion, there would be NO bubble.
$500-650 for two years. by the end of the first year, 70% miners or more would drop out.
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July 28, 2014, 02:33:00 AM
 #23

Whenever people are tired of stockpiling coins or someone wants to push the price up
Only takes a few million to get it going  Wink

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July 28, 2014, 09:24:19 AM
 #24

Even if your prediction comes exactly true you still get absolutely no credit for being right. If you provide no source and give no reason whatsoever for your prediction, then it's a random guess. If you randomly guess correctly then it is blind luck and you didn't actually predict anything.
That's probably why it's a newbie account. He may have a bunch of predictions out there and one of them is bound to be correct.

 I base on facts of what is currently going on surrounding Bitcoin and what is going on look on http://www.coindesk.com/ for a fair few stories that are going on ull soon find out why prices are going down.

I don't speculate I simply go off current news and also go off charts and volumes to decide weather or not it has going up or down and I have been doing this since early 2011 with Bitcoin when I first got into it.  Far from newbie with over 8 years market, Forex and stock market trading is far from newbie taking that experience and research into bitcoin is something I have also done far from predictions just current facts going around on news and going off volumes and figures not hard to work out at all.

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July 28, 2014, 11:26:40 AM
 #25

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventualy fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.
Drops that big were due to a fraudulent exchange. Much more trading is done OTC now. We're not going to see huge drops repeating the same prices after this much time. I would like you to be right, but Bitcoin is growing. Asia is going to be big.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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July 28, 2014, 11:32:22 AM
 #26

The same who said in December 2013, Bitcoin bubble to occur January...  Angry
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July 28, 2014, 11:53:01 AM
 #27

We had too many good news in the last months, the value will turn upwards sooner or later.
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July 28, 2014, 12:17:10 PM
 #28

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.
Where did it come from? What's the access?
is that information correct?

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July 28, 2014, 12:20:18 PM
 #29

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventualy fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

I'm not someone completely sold to patterns or TA, etc... But this would dramatically disrupt any pattern we've seen so far. I don't know...

I should have gotten into Bitcoin back in 1992...
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July 28, 2014, 12:21:41 PM
 #30

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.
Where did it come from? What's the access?
is that information correct?

I can confirm that this information is correct as i have received the same, but i (we) am/are not allowed to disclose the source.
You pretty much have to trust us.

Thanks

Fonzie



Edit: Small hint. Prince in the second week of September does compulsory not have to be >550$.

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July 28, 2014, 12:30:09 PM
 #31

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.
Where did it come from? What's the access?
is that information correct?

How can you even ask for a freaking sourceHuh The price is being determined by demand/supply. There's just no one in charge, deciding about Bitcoin's future price!

Or is there...

I should have gotten into Bitcoin back in 1992...
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July 28, 2014, 08:03:18 PM
 #32

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventualy fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

I'm not someone completely sold to patterns or TA, etc... But this would dramatically disrupt any pattern we've seen so far. I don't know...

Nor am I, I just use it as guidance and take measures in advance so that if it does tumble down then I will get a good % spread and so far already done a  few times with BTC orders and already moved my BTC elsewhere while this is like it is. Give it mid September October when it will eventually start going back up but its a long way off going up. If a massive demand comes then sure it might go up but could also go back down its been to volatile lately to get a fixed figure of where things are going. Over time it will go up but for the quick figures will remain where is and drop down and go back up.

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July 28, 2014, 08:07:44 PM
 #33

The train is back on track, everybody! Fasten your train-seatbelts and shovel in a few more doges! We need more steam!

I should have gotten into Bitcoin back in 1992...
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July 28, 2014, 11:22:29 PM
 #34

Patters are typically only ever maintained because people believe in patterns. This makes them a less than ideal basis for a long term investment strategy.

The key drivers of price are:

- on the upside, more and more big companies like Dell accepting bitcoin and more and more people spending them; and
- on the downside, ugly regulation (which is our real risk in my view) or one too many Mt Gox-type events.

If anything else drives your analysis, then it seems to me any success is largely down to luck rather than good management. The good news for the bulls is that the bitcoin technology is so good the long term trend should be up (again barring stupid regulation).
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July 29, 2014, 10:06:52 AM
 #35

The train is back on track, everybody! Fasten your train-seatbelts and shovel in a few more doges! We need more steam!

I'm thinking there might be some concentrated supply coming in soon so yep the train will be back on track ^_^
All aboard the choo choo train

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July 29, 2014, 10:22:51 AM
 #36

Seems everybody is taking the summer off and we're going to stagnate for a while.

Good news- sideways

Bad news- price drops

I dont see any reasons why that will suddenly change.
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July 29, 2014, 10:31:54 AM
 #37

The train is back on track, everybody! Fasten your train-seatbelts and shovel in a few more doges! We need more steam!

I'm thinking there might be some concentrated supply coming in soon so yep the train will be back on track ^_^
All aboard the choo choo train

I'm actually a tad disappointed that we didn't take the chance to break through $600 again after rebounding from $570... But things aren't especially bad, either. Bullish.

I should have gotten into Bitcoin back in 1992...
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July 29, 2014, 11:31:48 AM
 #38

The train is back on track, everybody! Fasten your train-seatbelts and shovel in a few more doges! We need more steam!

I'm thinking there might be some concentrated supply coming in soon so yep the train will be back on track ^_^
All aboard the choo choo train

I'm actually a tad disappointed that we didn't take the chance to break through $600 again after rebounding from $570... But things aren't especially bad, either. Bullish.

Seem like price will be stable again for a while, but suspect that this wont last long, primary cuz lots of big companies invest in BTC.

My humble prediction will be around august end or september beginning to price pop up maybe.



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July 29, 2014, 11:39:50 AM
 #39

The train is back on track, everybody! Fasten your train-seatbelts and shovel in a few more doges! We need more steam!

I'm thinking there might be some concentrated supply coming in soon so yep the train will be back on track ^_^
All aboard the choo choo train

I'm actually a tad disappointed that we didn't take the chance to break through $600 again after rebounding from $570... But things aren't especially bad, either. Bullish.

True enough hoping that Asicminer is able to back up its claims and take a strong foothold in the hashrate again then pay out Bitcoin dividends
Scare the other miners a bit and what not and tighten the supply ^_^

Believing in Bitcoins and it's ability to change the world
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July 29, 2014, 11:42:07 AM
 #40

The train is back on track, everybody! Fasten your train-seatbelts and shovel in a few more doges! We need more steam!

I'm thinking there might be some concentrated supply coming in soon so yep the train will be back on track ^_^
All aboard the choo choo train

I'm actually a tad disappointed that we didn't take the chance to break through $600 again after rebounding from $570... But things aren't especially bad, either. Bullish.

True enough hoping that Asicminer is able to back up its claims and take a strong foothold in the hashrate again then pay out Bitcoin dividends
Scare the other miners a bit and what not and tighten the supply ^_^

Are you expecting a surge in Asicminer share prices ?
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July 29, 2014, 11:48:28 AM
Last edit: July 29, 2014, 12:09:42 PM by freedomno1
 #41

Are you expecting a surge in Asicminer share prices ?


Just having fun causing a little mischief although if Asicminer can back up the hashrate claim they said then yes expecting a massive surge and those miners to start coming online soon.

25 BTC a Block AM produces its own chips and miners and expects to hit its 2013 Average Hashrate with the BE200s
Somewhere between 0.0069% On December 31st 2013 and 32.93% on June 5 2013 is 16.46845%
I would be happy with 5% over a year on average lol.
Quite the bullish claim from them so if they can back that up were in for something else.

If not Friedcat dug a hole and I buried my shovel deep ^_^ (And people can lol at me for ages XD)
But one can find far worse bets than this lol. Will Mtgox ever find its lost bitcoins will neobee ever come back will labcoin and activeminers get their revenge lol.

Update

1. Due to the relatively lower interest from individual miners as well as OEM producers, the self mining has re-started from middle of July. We had gain access of cheap electricity and high power capacity. We hope to regain the average hashrate percentage similar to 2013 with this generation of chips.

2. The price rockminer gets is not the sales price. It's the premium of franchising. We gain the part of profits after the devices begin to generate revenue like the franchising of devices. The sales price of chips stay a relatively high margin because our option of building our own devices and sell/deploy is always wide open.

3. We announce the sales of our own devices. We would arrange an offline meeting in Shenzhen first to share more information. We will post the English version of it on the meetup sub-board.

2013 Percentage of network
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkPdXsQFT-vIdHRVUjQ5Ql9BQWR6OENLMkhyUktUblE#gid=9

At peak around 0.1 BTC/Month
Not expecting that but if it can get somewhere close the share value would go up a fair bit just because of that yield
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkPdXsQFT-vIdHRVUjQ5Ql9BQWR6OENLMkhyUktUblE#gid=12

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July 29, 2014, 11:52:49 AM
 #42

I'm new here and I don't understand if bitcoin will rise or if it will fall to 0$ in the next months, there are so many different points of view!
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July 29, 2014, 12:12:45 PM
 #43

just like that , ok will do, thanks

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July 29, 2014, 01:17:46 PM
 #44

I'm new here and I don't understand if bitcoin will rise or if it will fall to 0$ in the next months, there are so many different points of view!

I guess only really few people do honestly believe that Bitcoin will go to $0 or even single digits anytime soon or even ever again. Please do take a look at the chart of the last years and imagine you were around back then. Just think about what I feared would happen to Bitcoin in July 2013, it was down to $60-$70. Many people though it would be the end of it. Now we're up 1000%...

But no one knows for sure, that's right. And we may go to $0. Please make up your own mind Smiley

I should have gotten into Bitcoin back in 1992...
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August 12, 2014, 08:51:28 AM
 #45

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows

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August 12, 2014, 10:44:02 AM
 #46

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows

Good to see this topic revived. Interesting times ahead.

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August 12, 2014, 11:01:41 AM
 #47

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows

Yeah since late March. That's 4.5 months. Bitcoin is still up about 600% from its price this time last year. I wouldn't exactly call this a bad performance... Geez, you guys need to get your facts straight here!

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August 12, 2014, 12:39:56 PM
 #48

When the trend reverses you have to spot it quick, buy and hold is your best option
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August 12, 2014, 12:45:37 PM
 #49

When the trend reverses you have to spot it quick, buy and hold is your best option

Yeah, man. But that can be very very difficult. If it wasn't that difficult, a lot more people would try and do it, I guess Cheesy All those trading experts use those MACD magic indicators and stuff. I'll never get them, man!

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August 12, 2014, 01:08:13 PM
 #50

TA looks very weak at this price. It doesn't take much to trigger a massive sell off.

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August 12, 2014, 01:12:32 PM
 #51

TA looks very weak at this price. It doesn't take much to trigger a massive sell off.

But what about those massive bids up to $540??? They'll catch everything, man! We won't be able to go through those bids, I'm sure! At least I hope we won't! Man, these are stressful times!

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August 12, 2014, 01:15:46 PM
 #52

Yeah, I don't know what to do, as well. This seems to be troubling. No bubble, only despair. Maybe we should just leave this ship altogether. This ain't like the good old 80s at all!

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August 12, 2014, 01:34:59 PM
 #53

I think that won't happens in August
maybe late September early October
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August 12, 2014, 01:53:46 PM
 #54

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows


any point to selling now? Or do you think this is as low as it goes?


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August 12, 2014, 01:57:46 PM
 #55

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows


any point to selling now? Or do you think this is as low as it goes?



We could go a lot lower, that's for sure. If we start to go into the $520s we'll see a cascading long-burn that'll most likely crash Bitfinex, and they'll have to roll-back the trades.

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August 12, 2014, 02:03:53 PM
 #56

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows


any point to selling now? Or do you think this is as low as it goes?



We could go a lot lower, that's for sure. If we start to go into the $520s we'll see a cascading long-burn that'll most likely crash Bitfinex, and they'll have to roll-back the trades.

OK, I'm shorting for now, while watching the price like a hawk.

Buy back in hopefully <550

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August 12, 2014, 02:09:41 PM
 #57

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows


any point to selling now? Or do you think this is as low as it goes?



We could go a lot lower, that's for sure. If we start to go into the $520s we'll see a cascading long-burn that'll most likely crash Bitfinex, and they'll have to roll-back the trades.

OK, I'm shorting for now, while watching the price like a hawk.

Buy back in hopefully <550

Remember to make up your own mind, though! I may be totally wrong here, like everyone else, too! But we're in quite a difficult situation right now, I guess, that's for certain.

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August 12, 2014, 02:16:34 PM
 #58

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows


any point to selling now? Or do you think this is as low as it goes?



We could go a lot lower, that's for sure. If we start to go into the $520s we'll see a cascading long-burn that'll most likely crash Bitfinex, and they'll have to roll-back the trades.

OK, I'm shorting for now, while watching the price like a hawk.

Buy back in hopefully <550

I do, I do.

Could be wrong indeed, but my sense is we will go a bit lower. I will have to buy back in at a loss if I'm wrong, of course, but we will see!

Remember to make up your own mind, though! I may be totally wrong here, like everyone else, too! But we're in quite a difficult situation right now, I guess, that's for certain.

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August 12, 2014, 03:30:03 PM
 #59

Very interesting how true this is holding...  I might just do this.
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August 12, 2014, 06:06:50 PM
 #60

Source?

No source. This is all you get. But it's enough!

 Wink
Maybe this guy has his own autistic friend...
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August 12, 2014, 06:23:53 PM
 #61

Source?

No source. This is all you get. But it's enough!

 Wink
Maybe this guy has his own autistic friend...


LOL, that thread was a classic.

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August 13, 2014, 01:49:12 AM
 #62

So far, so good with my prediction. Btc is at it's lowest in a long time, here on the second week of august. I expect more drop as the week progresses, but who knows


any point to selling now? Or do you think this is as low as it goes?



We could go a lot lower, that's for sure. If we start to go into the $520s we'll see a cascading long-burn that'll most likely crash Bitfinex, and they'll have to roll-back the trades.

OK, I'm shorting for now, while watching the price like a hawk.

Buy back in hopefully <550

Remember to make up your own mind, though! I may be totally wrong here, like everyone else, too! But we're in quite a difficult situation right now, I guess, that's for certain.

Here is my game plan:

I am going to set up some buy limit at 450-470 in case of flash crash. Exit price will be 550 and will re-enter at 450-470 again.


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August 13, 2014, 02:32:24 AM
 #63

There is probably only one thing that could make a small bubble now. The official entry of Russian troops to Ukraine and military response of the West, that would implicate hard political crisis, like the Cuban missile crisis. Otherwise - no chance in my opinion.
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August 13, 2014, 04:26:43 AM
 #64

There is probably only one thing that could make a small bubble now. The official entry of Russian troops to Ukraine and military response of the West, that would implicate hard political crisis, like the Cuban missile crisis. Otherwise - no chance in my opinion.

And why exactly would this act of war prompt people of the world to put their money into a high-risk experimental currency/commodity?
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August 13, 2014, 04:36:30 AM
 #65

There is probably only one thing that could make a small bubble now. The official entry of Russian troops to Ukraine and military response of the West, that would implicate hard political crisis, like the Cuban missile crisis. Otherwise - no chance in my opinion.

And why exactly would this act of war prompt people of the world to put their money into a high-risk experimental currency/commodity?

Well when the local currency goes down the gutter and people want to move it in the meanwhile when the bombs are falling around them
When Russian tanks are in Kiev the Hryvnia is worthless Smiley
http://www.xe.com/currency/uah-ukrainian-hryvnia
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=UAH&view=1Y

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August 13, 2014, 04:48:18 AM
Last edit: August 14, 2014, 04:45:38 AM by Benjig
 #66

Well this guy is close to be right, we are almost at 550 so i hope he is right timing the bubble hehe.

but he predicted a 550 drop and we are currently at 530 almost 520 so its not like the perfect timing.
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August 13, 2014, 04:59:47 AM
 #67

Yep pretty prescient call
May not be a bad time to buy a few for a momentum play into the latter months of the year

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August 13, 2014, 05:08:24 AM
 #68

Yep pretty prescient call
May not be a bad time to buy a few for a momentum play into the latter months of the year

Sound like a bad idea right now as all coins are dropping hard.
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August 13, 2014, 05:43:35 AM
 #69

There is probably only one thing that could make a small bubble now. The official entry of Russian troops to Ukraine and military response of the West, that would implicate hard political crisis, like the Cuban missile crisis. Otherwise - no chance in my opinion.

And why exactly would this act of war prompt people of the world to put their money into a high-risk experimental currency/commodity?
If people think that the Russians are going to invade their country and seize all their assets. If their assets are in bitcoin then Russia cannot seize their assets; if they are in stocks or bank accounts they can.
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August 13, 2014, 06:17:59 AM
 #70

There is probably only one thing that could make a small bubble now. The official entry of Russian troops to Ukraine and military response of the West, that would implicate hard political crisis, like the Cuban missile crisis. Otherwise - no chance in my opinion.

Any thing that may cause gold goes up will cause Bitcoin goes up, that is, any political or economic unstability.

But it is questionable if people would put on money if we get in a realistic situation where the 3th world war is imminent, because it could very well cut off the internet

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August 13, 2014, 06:43:07 AM
 #71

Everyone wants to know just when to buy and when to sell.

Well here you go. Buy week two of August at 550, sell second week of September at whatever the hell price it is, before it comes tumbling back down.

LOL even the timing is right for now. if this holds, this guy will be a legend around here. if not, just another failed prediction. Smiley

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August 13, 2014, 02:16:02 PM
 #72

Looks like I made the right choice yesterday.

Watching closely now, with respect to buy back.

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August 13, 2014, 02:33:13 PM
 #73

We've had a few months of downward stability, and I think we're now likely to see a few of upward stability before we MIGHT see another bubble: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=737308.0

As much as it would help me, I hope we never see another bubble. The stable prices of late have been really nice.

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August 13, 2014, 02:47:48 PM
 #74

The bubble predictions are shifting every month more, but sooner or later someone will guess the right time...
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August 13, 2014, 02:55:48 PM
 #75

Well this guy is close to be right, we are almost at 550 so i hope he is right timing the bubble hehe.

maybe he is the pumper among others like him, forming a small group?

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August 15, 2014, 07:40:46 PM
 #76

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventually fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

Looks like my prediction from my quoted post is about right and people never listen to me. I did warn for this that it was going to happen back in mid July. I know where it is currently going to go to and its not looking good. Eventually mid SEP towards Nov is when it will begin to recover. Enjoy the low prices.

=
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August 15, 2014, 07:48:59 PM
 #77

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventually fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

Looks like my prediction from my quoted post is about right and people never listen to me. I did warn for this that it was going to happen back in mid July. I know where it is currently going to go to and its not looking good. Eventually mid SEP towards Nov is when it will begin to recover. Enjoy the low prices.

November is when the last bubble started. If we don't see a bubblish scenario, people might leave the market looking for easy money somewhere else, so there is a chance that things won't be better at November
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August 15, 2014, 07:55:11 PM
 #78

There is probably only one thing that could make a small bubble now. The official entry of Russian troops to Ukraine and military response of the West, that would implicate hard political crisis, like the Cuban missile crisis. Otherwise - no chance in my opinion.

And why exactly would this act of war prompt people of the world to put their money into a high-risk experimental currency/commodity?

Well when the local currency goes down the gutter and people want to move it in the meanwhile when the bombs are falling around them
When Russian tanks are in Kiev the Hryvnia is worthless Smiley
http://www.xe.com/currency/uah-ukrainian-hryvnia
http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=UAH&view=1Y

Wrong. Most people won't convert their liquid assets, and even if they do, it will be to euros/dollars or precious metals. Bitcoin is way, way down on the list.

Night gathers, and now my bitcoinwisdom watch begins.
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August 15, 2014, 08:54:15 PM
 #79

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventually fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

Looks like my prediction from my quoted post is about right and people never listen to me. I did warn for this that it was going to happen back in mid July. I know where it is currently going to go to and its not looking good. Eventually mid SEP towards Nov is when it will begin to recover. Enjoy the low prices.

November is when the last bubble started. If we don't see a bubblish scenario, people might leave the market looking for easy money somewhere else, so there is a chance that things won't be better at November

Could be that people are leaving the market for now. Not sure where else 'easy' money is.




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August 16, 2014, 06:31:25 PM
 #80

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventually fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

Looks like my prediction from my quoted post is about right and people never listen to me. I did warn for this that it was going to happen back in mid July. I know where it is currently going to go to and its not looking good. Eventually mid SEP towards Nov is when it will begin to recover. Enjoy the low prices.

November is when the last bubble started. If we don't see a bubblish scenario, people might leave the market looking for easy money somewhere else, so there is a chance that things won't be better at November

Could be that people are leaving the market for now. Not sure where else 'easy' money is.
In an efficient market there is no "easy" money as there is enough information to know what will likely impact prices in the near and medium term future. In order for anyone to make any serious ROI they will need to invest a lot of time in doing research and monitoring various markets for potential opportunities.

 
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August 19, 2014, 07:31:25 PM
 #81

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventually fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

Looks like my prediction from my quoted post is about right and people never listen to me. I did warn for this that it was going to happen back in mid July. I know where it is currently going to go to and its not looking good. Eventually mid SEP towards Nov is when it will begin to recover. Enjoy the low prices.

November is when the last bubble started. If we don't see a bubblish scenario, people might leave the market looking for easy money somewhere else, so there is a chance that things won't be better at November

Could be that people are leaving the market for now. Not sure where else 'easy' money is.
In an efficient market there is no "easy" money as there is enough information to know what will likely impact prices in the near and medium term future. In order for anyone to make any serious ROI they will need to invest a lot of time in doing research and monitoring various markets for potential opportunities.

There is literally nothing about this statement that makes sense other than briefly defining an efficient market.

First off, this is nowhere close to remotely being an efficient market. Secondly, assuming an efficient market, the second statement about making "serious ROI" by "invest[ing] a lot of time doing research" is EXACTLY the contraction of the efficient market claim in the preceding sentence!
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August 19, 2014, 07:49:30 PM
 #82

Prices are soon to fall again and already said time and time again over different section here too that price will eventually fall into the mid $400s before even climbing back up to high 700-800 area... Should see a few more drops in the 500s to 470s areas and possible to 300 mark depending on the last part of this month and 2nd quarter of next month.

Looks like my prediction from my quoted post is about right and people never listen to me. I did warn for this that it was going to happen back in mid July. I know where it is currently going to go to and its not looking good. Eventually mid SEP towards Nov is when it will begin to recover. Enjoy the low prices.

instead of the bubble everyone was expecting, we got an antibubble of unknown origin/cause.
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