we're trending down. good news has lately been greeted with a price drop. i would have thought the ebay / paypal / braintree acceptance would have been a good kickstart but it has been lost in the bear despair.
So what will be the catalyst for a rise?
Circle going 'public'?
Regs being less restrictive and formalised?
Ebay taking bitcoin on themselves?
Some kind of news will come that will turn the tide, lets play out the scenarios and flesh it out.
Bitcoin halving is still far, but its going to difinetly be one of "catalysts" for price spike.
If you're thinking about closer events, i believe the end of the year will have a small upswing, but there is no certanty.
If you are searching for a sure thing, then observe bitcoin trending; when trend in in a rise, and price is in a fall, you can
pick up some nice profits there.
I wont even comment about ebay/paypal, since i truly dont believe it will happen. Sorry for the unpopular opinion ^^