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Author Topic: The timestamps of Satoshi's posts  (Read 2016 times)
SgtSpike
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September 29, 2014, 09:42:19 PM
Last edit: September 30, 2014, 09:50:13 PM by SgtSpike
 #1

CORRECTED:

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September 29, 2014, 09:48:26 PM
 #2



Why is your graph different from what is shown here => https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3;sa=statPanel ?

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September 29, 2014, 10:37:43 PM
 #3

That chart is shown in whatever your local timezone is, not UTC.
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September 29, 2014, 10:37:55 PM
 #4

im from the UK. and the lowest number of posts of mine also correspond with the lowest post numbers of satoshi....

which coders in the UK recognise this same sleep pattern

real life 9-5, (bit of sleep either side), then nightcrawl the web/code/forum stuff evening night time

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September 29, 2014, 10:39:30 PM
 #5

im from the UK. and the lowest number of posts of mine also correspond with the lowest post numbers of satoshi....

which coders in the UK recognise this same sleep pattern

real life 9-5, (bit of sleep either side), then nightcrawl the web/code/forum stuff evening night time
My speculation is either east-coast US with a fairly normal sleep schedule or western Europe with a coder sleep schedule.  Either way, certainly not Japan.
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September 29, 2014, 10:44:02 PM
 #6

Quote

That chart is shown in whatever your local timezone is, not UTC.

wrong.. im british so UTC is our time zone, and the graph on satoshi's profile matches mine. thescreen grab chart you posted is not UTC. here is UTC



as for the being asleep from 6pm till midnight makes no sense (american time), it fits no social standard of employed or unemployed.

so due to the post counts fiting in with a UK nightcrawler coder life style and his british grammar of his posts.. im sticking with british based

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September 29, 2014, 10:58:10 PM
 #7

im from the UK. and the lowest number of posts of mine also correspond with the lowest post numbers of satoshi....

which coders in the UK recognise this same sleep pattern

real life 9-5, (bit of sleep either side), then nightcrawl the web/code/forum stuff evening night time
My speculation is either east-coast US with a fairly normal sleep schedule or western Europe with a coder sleep schedule.  Either way, certainly not Japan.
Just because he was not keeping a logical schedule that someone in Japan would have does not mean he is not from that part of the world. Many people live in different places of the world throughout their lives.

I personally think he most likely resided in the US with a ~midnight to 8 AM sleep schedule. He seems to have enough skills such that he would likely have worked in a traditional "day" job for a good portion of his life and would typically have that kind of schedule

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September 29, 2014, 11:33:19 PM
Last edit: September 30, 2014, 12:50:46 AM by franky1
 #8


I personally think he most likely resided in the US with a ~midnight to 8 AM sleep schedule. He seems to have enough skills such that he would likely have worked in a traditional "day" job for a good portion of his life and would typically have that kind of schedule

i havnt looked into it in great detail. i think i might have to crawl through all the posts and make a chart using days of the week, as that may put more context into when he posts mosts. as weekends may differ from weekdays, it may help then to work out a work/sleep pattern, rather then us all guessing based on opinion and limited statistics.

hmmm gonna take a while

edit:
i got 4 months done so far
thursdays seems active days, then sundays (rest are random)
most active 5pm till 1am (UK time)

the other thing im noticing is that in august (2010) he started making posts at mid-day and staying online til 3-4am, which seemed out of pattern compared to sptember-december.. im starting to think its not a job that stops him writing between 9am-5pm (sleeping before that) but....... college/university.. as if he is becoming active mid-day in august, im thinking summer break!!

now im compelled to keep looking for patterns for instance a thursday (many weeks) between 6-7pm is the highest activity. wondering if it maybe when other programmers are online such as gavin.. (this might explain why he likes to come online on certain days)

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September 30, 2014, 02:06:00 AM
 #9


I personally think he most likely resided in the US with a ~midnight to 8 AM sleep schedule. He seems to have enough skills such that he would likely have worked in a traditional "day" job for a good portion of his life and would typically have that kind of schedule

i havnt looked into it in great detail. i think i might have to crawl through all the posts and make a chart using days of the week, as that may put more context into when he posts mosts. as weekends may differ from weekdays, it may help then to work out a work/sleep pattern, rather then us all guessing based on opinion and limited statistics.

hmmm gonna take a while

edit:
i got 4 months done so far
thursdays seems active days, then sundays (rest are random)
most active 5pm till 1am (UK time)

the other thing im noticing is that in august (2010) he started making posts at mid-day and staying online til 3-4am, which seemed out of pattern compared to sptember-december.. im starting to think its not a job that stops him writing between 9am-5pm (sleeping before that) but....... college/university.. as if he is becoming active mid-day in august, im thinking summer break!!

now im compelled to keep looking for patterns for instance a thursday (many weeks) between 6-7pm is the highest activity. wondering if it maybe when other programmers are online such as gavin.. (this might explain why he likes to come online on certain days)
I wasn't trying to say that he had a job while working on bitcoin or shortly after it was "released" to the public, but rather that he had a 9-5 type job in the past and had gotten used to that kind of schedule. I would argue that "Bitcoin" was his "job" while he was working on it, and that he worked on it around this time in his local time zone. It has been speculated before that he was unemployed while he worked on bitcoin (there were millions of layoffs every month at the time that the 1st block was mined)

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September 30, 2014, 02:25:45 AM
 #10

I wasn't trying to say that he had a job while working on bitcoin or shortly after it was "released" to the public, but rather that he had a 9-5 type job in the past and had gotten used to that kind of schedule. I would argue that "Bitcoin" was his "job" while he was working on it, and that he worked on it around this time in his local time zone. It has been speculated before that he was unemployed while he worked on bitcoin (there were millions of layoffs every month at the time that the 1st block was mined)

my theory is that he did have some form of day time real world activity, as the timings do correlate to someone that is active during the day and a web nightcrawler in the evening/night.

if he was unemployed or not in education i would easily see that he would routinely be online at any time of day or night with no logical pattern.. after all what else do they have to do to keep them in a structure.

so far ive only looked into december 2010(when he stopped communicating. and gone back just 4 months to august 2010.. (still a year of posts to go), but i do find patterns such as a structured gap in weekday posts in september-december, and then a bit of erratic posting in august. which leads me to believe that in august he did not have work/education.

this may not mean he is a student, he could for instance be a lecturer, or simply at home more often in august due to illness or family crisis.. no one knows.. but as the patterns grow by trying to grab as much info together and test theories against these patterns, the more we might find out about him..


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September 30, 2014, 02:26:37 AM
 #11

im from the UK. and the lowest number of posts of mine also correspond with the lowest post numbers of satoshi....

which coders in the UK recognise this same sleep pattern

real life 9-5, (bit of sleep either side), then nightcrawl the web/code/forum stuff evening night time
My speculation is either east-coast US with a fairly normal sleep schedule or western Europe with a coder sleep schedule.  Either way, certainly not Japan.


I agree with spike both options make the most sense



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September 30, 2014, 02:40:31 AM
 #12

Interesting look Sgt. Spike  Grin


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kingscrown
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September 30, 2014, 03:23:23 AM
 #13

interesting, also check this: http://fuk.io/who-is-satoshi-nakamoto-the-truth/

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September 30, 2014, 03:49:25 AM
 #14

I wasn't trying to say that he had a job while working on bitcoin or shortly after it was "released" to the public, but rather that he had a 9-5 type job in the past and had gotten used to that kind of schedule. I would argue that "Bitcoin" was his "job" while he was working on it, and that he worked on it around this time in his local time zone. It has been speculated before that he was unemployed while he worked on bitcoin (there were millions of layoffs every month at the time that the 1st block was mined)

my theory is that he did have some form of day time real world activity, as the timings do correlate to someone that is active during the day and a web nightcrawler in the evening/night.

if he was unemployed or not in education i would easily see that he would routinely be online at any time of day or night with no logical pattern.. after all what else do they have to do to keep them in a structure.

so far ive only looked into december 2010(when he stopped communicating. and gone back just 4 months to august 2010.. (still a year of posts to go), but i do find patterns such as a structured gap in weekday posts in september-december, and then a bit of erratic posting in august. which leads me to believe that in august he did not have work/education.

this may not mean he is a student, he could for instance be a lecturer, or simply at home more often in august due to illness or family crisis.. no one knows.. but as the patterns grow by trying to grab as much info together and test theories against these patterns, the more we might find out about him..


Posting on this forum was not the only work that satashi did for/with bitcoin. He likely was spending a lot of time both tweaking his miners and monitoring activity on the network and blockchain (also likely was working on the code of the protocol).

I would say that satashi probably was following some kind of schedule when he would perform various tasks regarding bitcoin
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September 30, 2014, 09:44:48 PM
 #15

Quote

That chart is shown in whatever your local timezone is, not UTC.

wrong.. im british so UTC is our time zone, and the graph on satoshi's profile matches mine. thescreen grab chart you posted is not UTC. here is UTC



as for the being asleep from 6pm till midnight makes no sense (american time), it fits no social standard of employed or unemployed.

so due to the post counts fiting in with a UK nightcrawler coder life style and his british grammar of his posts.. im sticking with british based
Good point... I think I subtracted 7 hours when I should have added 7 hours.  Will revise the chart.
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September 30, 2014, 10:04:21 PM
 #16

He is a great Man, and he sleeps only 2 hours a night... Do you know Tyler Durden?  Wink
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September 30, 2014, 10:07:03 PM
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A beautiful mind.

All is Mine!

1H7LUdfx9AFTMSXPsCBror3RDk57zgnc2R
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September 30, 2014, 10:09:02 PM
 #18

A beautiful mind.

lol the john nash theory has been disproven, but keep digging

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September 30, 2014, 10:50:22 PM
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Mm, yes, I think a lot of us UK based nerds are familiar with this apparent sleeping pattern.
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October 01, 2014, 03:20:31 AM
 #20

more proof of british background

I integrated the hashmeter idea into the SVN version.  It displays khash/s in the left section of the status bar.

Two new log messages:
21/06/2010 01:23 hashmeter   2 CPUs    799 khash/s
21/06/2010 01:23 generated 50.00

grep your debug.log for "generated" to see what you've generated, and grep for "hashmeter" to see the performance.  On windows, use:
 findstr "hashmeter generated" "%appdata%\bitcoin\debug.log"

I have the hashmeter messages once an hour.  How often do you think it should be?

The automatic adjustment happened earlier today.

24/02/2010 0000000043b3e500000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

24/02/2010  3.78  +49%

I updated the first post.


14/02/2010 0000000065465700000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

2009        1.00
30/12/2009  1.18   +18%
11/01/2010  1.31   +11%
25/01/2010  1.34    +2%
04/02/2010  1.82   +36%
14/02/2010  2.53   +39%

Another big jump in difficulty yesterday from 1.82 times to 2.53 times, a 39% increase since 10 days ago.  It was 10 days apart not 14 because more nodes joined and generated the 2016 blocks in less time.

the date is in UK format
DAY/month/year

we know you americans love it as month/day/year, thus satoshi's computer is set as UK not US

I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER.
Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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