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Author Topic: Miners did lower hashrate when 1 Bitcoin < $300  (Read 2287 times)
bitpump (OP)
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October 13, 2014, 01:05:31 PM
 #1

Miners did lower hashrate when 1 Bitcoin < $300, see chart

Apparantly, miners do adjust operational expense depending on Bitcoin commercial price.

TrailingComet
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October 13, 2014, 01:12:19 PM
 #2

It's logical that they do so when prices fall steeply but surprisingly appears to have rarely happened so far. Would be curious to know if there have been other stretches when the hash rate dropped.

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October 13, 2014, 01:44:36 PM
 #3

I know personally I decided to sell my 2x s1's when btc dropped - why keep mining when I'm spending 2x what im making in just energy. It may be good if btc sits around 300 so that the difficulty stops climbing so dam fast.



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October 13, 2014, 05:05:20 PM
 #4

Well that's exactly what's supposed to happen, isn't it?

Everytime a newbie says something like
"Bitcoin is doomed if the price drops too much",
people are quick to explain the hashrate would
drop out of competitiveness to find a new
equalibrium.

Well, if that just happened, then it is proof
the theory is correct.

Brangdon
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October 13, 2014, 05:22:47 PM
 #5

Well that's exactly what's supposed to happen, isn't it?

Everytime a newbie says something like
"Bitcoin is doomed if the price drops too much",
people are quick to explain the hashrate would
drop out of competitiveness to find a new
equalibrium.

Well, if that just happened, then it is proof
the theory is correct.
The lowering of the hashrate is the problem. The lower the hashrate, the cheaper it is to attack Bitcoin.

Bitcoin: 1BrangfWu2YGJ8W6xNM7u66K4YNj2mie3t Nxt: NXT-XZQ9-GRW7-7STD-ES4DB
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October 13, 2014, 05:26:11 PM
 #6

Well that's exactly what's supposed to happen, isn't it?

Everytime a newbie says something like
"Bitcoin is doomed if the price drops too much",
people are quick to explain the hashrate would
drop out of competitiveness to find a new
equalibrium.

Well, if that just happened, then it is proof
the theory is correct.
The lowering of the hashrate is the problem. The lower the hashrate, the cheaper it is to attack Bitcoin.

Correct me if I'm wrong, it will only decrease linearly, not exponentially (unless of course price does the same).

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October 13, 2014, 05:40:06 PM
 #7

Well that's exactly what's supposed to happen, isn't it?

Everytime a newbie says something like
"Bitcoin is doomed if the price drops too much",
people are quick to explain the hashrate would
drop out of competitiveness to find a new
equalibrium.

Well, if that just happened, then it is proof
the theory is correct.
The lowering of the hashrate is the problem. The lower the hashrate, the cheaper it is to attack Bitcoin.

Correct me if I'm wrong, it will only decrease linearly, not exponentially (unless of course price does the same).
Correct. To successfully attack bitcoin the hashrate would need to go back down to 2010 levels. Not going to happen, ever.

Remember Aaron Swartz, a 26 year old computer scientist who died defending the free flow of information.
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October 13, 2014, 05:50:11 PM
 #8

Hashrate went up even if for very little. And as it seems it will go up again.
What you are seeing in those charts is variance and not chinese people plugging and unplugging their equipment in real time  Roll Eyes
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October 13, 2014, 06:47:50 PM
 #9

Well that is how the market works out brother ! There are some logical explanations and some illogical actions that just get you the result !!  Smiley
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October 13, 2014, 06:59:41 PM
 #10

may be the profit was low with their miners.
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October 13, 2014, 08:24:52 PM
 #11

That makes total sense, when mining costs exceed your income it's better to shut down your miners.
Strangely miners didn't seem to react to price swings before. Hashrate and diff was constantly growing, while price was going up and down.

Although it might have just been a case of power failure in some big mining farm  Smiley

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October 13, 2014, 08:36:01 PM
 #12

Well that's exactly what's supposed to happen, isn't it?

Everytime a newbie says something like
"Bitcoin is doomed if the price drops too much",
people are quick to explain the hashrate would
drop out of competitiveness to find a new
equalibrium.

Well, if that just happened, then it is proof
the theory is correct.
The lowering of the hashrate is the problem. The lower the hashrate, the cheaper it is to attack Bitcoin.

But lower is the price of Bitcoin, less is worth getting attacked.

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October 13, 2014, 08:46:59 PM
 #13


But lower is the price of Bitcoin, less is worth getting attacked.

Imagine you're the powerful miner interested only in profit. Suddenly the BTC price drops significantly. You switched off your miner to avoid generating losses. So did the other 'professional' miners.

Now, if you have enough power, you can just switch it back on and attempt a massive double-spend. Doesn't matter if the bitcoin is only $100 if you could double spend thousands.

Threat is real and possible. Luckily not very likely. Lower the hash rate = lower difficulty, so it becomes more profitable again, therefore miners would be switching back on again.


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October 13, 2014, 08:50:34 PM
 #14

Why are people so surprised, this is very normal as people will temporarily turn off their hardware.

It will go up again for sure, that's how it works  Smiley Miners would love to see the difficulty drop more often.
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October 13, 2014, 10:44:28 PM
 #15

It was quite normal, as expected.

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October 14, 2014, 03:51:53 AM
 #16

Why are people so surprised, this is very normal as people will temporarily turn off their hardware.

It will go up again for sure, that's how it works  Smiley Miners would love to see the difficulty drop more often.
If the big mining farms mines enough bitcoin to cover it cost, they can continue to keep on the hardware.  They know bitcoin price is volatile, the price will bounce back even climb to several times in the future. They can keep the mined bitcoin and convert to cash in the future. 
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October 14, 2014, 04:55:44 AM
 #17

OP must be drunk. the days leading upto the under $299 price, i see a hash rise..

look at the chart again.. look at the date 25th september.

the price starts a constant down motion.. but the hasrate starting at 225peta, is in a constant up motion right the way over 300peta.

it is only then that the small shrimp that are instantly cashing out (non bitcoin investors) stop hashing because they are not getting enough fiat to pay their electric, so they stop mining, and as such stop cashing out. which is where we see the 20%-25% drop in hash power.


to me the big whales, mining farms and investors carry on, but there is a small quarter of the mining community that are not smart and are cashing out as soon as they can.

this 25% of the mining community are not bitcoin investors, but they are most certainly electric company investors as the only thing they have left in their hands is a "paid in full" electric bill.. but no fiat, no bitcoins.

im kind of glad they gave up as it gives more of a slice of the pie to true bitcoin miners/investors, whom by holding ot and not cashing out show their true belief in bitcoin for its long term prospective.

if any one thinks that mining should be used to feed your FIAT lives of this week, and not enrich your future lives.. you wont last long in the mining world

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October 14, 2014, 06:43:06 AM
 #18

Correct. To successfully attack bitcoin the hashrate would need to go back down to 2010 levels. Not going to happen, ever.

Huh? Where did you pull that number/year from? Care to share your calculations?
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October 14, 2014, 06:58:30 AM
 #19

Some mining pools have shut down since btc price decrease to $450
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October 14, 2014, 07:16:15 AM
 #20

Coincidence that the hashrate dropped when marshals raided BFL, so perhaps their customer rig "testing" mining farm went offline?

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