kennethru
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Activity: 19
Merit: 0
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December 04, 2014, 08:46:12 AM |
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I agree with both of you that each roll of the dice is independent in and of itself from a mathematical standpoint. That the odds of rolling a 6th roll <10 out of 100 after 5 consecutive <10 Rolls (given youre playing a bet where you are wagering the dice will roll >10 out of a possible 100) is 10% in terms of chance, where the previous 5 rolls have no effect on the 6th roll at all.
But mathematically one can assume that certain patterns are unlikely to happen, such as the Monte Carlo Roulette Incident of 1913, where there were 26 rolls of consecutive black, and people lost millions betting red was bound to roll next.
But then again I dont believe an incident like that has happened since. While each roll of the wheel has roughly (factoring out greens or 0s) a 50/50 chance of rolling a red or black, 26 black has the same odds as any other pattern of 26 if pre-determined and bet on, 26 black in a row is astronomically unlikely.
But yes I agree, each roll is independent with no relation to the last roll of the dice. I would wager however you are statistically speaking more likely to see gains FIRST by betting on a 90% win wager using simple a basic Martingale strategy, than an immediate wipe out bust of say 10 consecutive 10% chance losses in a row.
CD
So at the end have you become rich ? anyone form the community have bought at least one copy of your amazing guide ? You're really amazing scammer. Ps: I think you are scared from @dooglus or am I wrong ? Read the post, Hes not even selling it and hes pretty chill even though theres a bunch of dickheads like you
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dooglus
Legendary
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Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
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December 04, 2014, 08:47:01 AM |
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Then at the end he was only a scammer , so are our feedbacks right ? I don't know if he knew his system didn't work or not. It seems to me like he thought it did. Is it a scam to sell a system that doesn't work if you don't realise it doesn't work? http://pd3.co/u/NicholasCra1 is kind of cool - if you go there now you can see the numbers changing - he's playing at the moment.
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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Wendigo
Legendary
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Activity: 2604
Merit: 1036
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December 04, 2014, 08:47:55 AM |
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Why does he have a negative profit? Withdrawed from the account or lost it?
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dooglus
Legendary
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Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
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December 04, 2014, 08:48:37 AM |
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Why does he have a negative profit? Withdrawed from the account or lost it?
Withdrawing doesn't affect profit.
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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redsn0w
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
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December 04, 2014, 08:50:31 AM |
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I agree with both of you that each roll of the dice is independent in and of itself from a mathematical standpoint. That the odds of rolling a 6th roll <10 out of 100 after 5 consecutive <10 Rolls (given youre playing a bet where you are wagering the dice will roll >10 out of a possible 100) is 10% in terms of chance, where the previous 5 rolls have no effect on the 6th roll at all.
But mathematically one can assume that certain patterns are unlikely to happen, such as the Monte Carlo Roulette Incident of 1913, where there were 26 rolls of consecutive black, and people lost millions betting red was bound to roll next.
But then again I dont believe an incident like that has happened since. While each roll of the wheel has roughly (factoring out greens or 0s) a 50/50 chance of rolling a red or black, 26 black has the same odds as any other pattern of 26 if pre-determined and bet on, 26 black in a row is astronomically unlikely.
But yes I agree, each roll is independent with no relation to the last roll of the dice. I would wager however you are statistically speaking more likely to see gains FIRST by betting on a 90% win wager using simple a basic Martingale strategy, than an immediate wipe out bust of say 10 consecutive 10% chance losses in a row.
CD
So at the end have you become rich ? anyone form the community have bought at least one copy of your amazing guide ? You're really amazing scammer. Ps: I think you are scared from @dooglus or am I wrong ? Read the post, Hes not even selling it and hes pretty chill even though theres a bunch of dickheads like you If he didn't sell anymore this guide , why this thread is till open ? I think he should close it (at least for save his dignity).
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kennethru
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 19
Merit: 0
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December 04, 2014, 08:55:51 AM |
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I agree with both of you that each roll of the dice is independent in and of itself from a mathematical standpoint. That the odds of rolling a 6th roll <10 out of 100 after 5 consecutive <10 Rolls (given youre playing a bet where you are wagering the dice will roll >10 out of a possible 100) is 10% in terms of chance, where the previous 5 rolls have no effect on the 6th roll at all.
But mathematically one can assume that certain patterns are unlikely to happen, such as the Monte Carlo Roulette Incident of 1913, where there were 26 rolls of consecutive black, and people lost millions betting red was bound to roll next.
But then again I dont believe an incident like that has happened since. While each roll of the wheel has roughly (factoring out greens or 0s) a 50/50 chance of rolling a red or black, 26 black has the same odds as any other pattern of 26 if pre-determined and bet on, 26 black in a row is astronomically unlikely.
But yes I agree, each roll is independent with no relation to the last roll of the dice. I would wager however you are statistically speaking more likely to see gains FIRST by betting on a 90% win wager using simple a basic Martingale strategy, than an immediate wipe out bust of say 10 consecutive 10% chance losses in a row.
CD
So at the end have you become rich ? anyone form the community have bought at least one copy of your amazing guide ? You're really amazing scammer. Ps: I think you are scared from @dooglus or am I wrong ? Read the post, Hes not even selling it and hes pretty chill even though theres a bunch of dickheads like you If he didn't sell anymore this guide , why this thread is till open ? I think he should close it (at least for save his dignity). "If he didn't sell anymore this guide" Your dumb as fuck, jesus please help this retard
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redsn0w
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
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December 04, 2014, 08:57:56 AM |
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...
"If he didn't sell anymore this guide" Your dumb as fuck, jesus please help this retard
Are you serious ? or just kidding....
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CryptoDigitals (OP)
Member
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Activity: 101
Merit: 10
R.I.P CRYPTODIGITALS PASSED AWAY
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December 04, 2014, 09:17:51 AM |
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Just to confirm with everyone and once again make sure it's clear, I never sold anything. No money was exchanged. As soon as people seem put off by the idea that a strategy could even possibly exist, I withdrew the item for sale. So calling me a scammer, while certainly your right if that's your opinion based on this dialogue, seems like the wrong choice of words - as I have, at least as far as I know, not scammed or stolen from anyone. Regarding the discussions above, and Dooglus pointing out a recent bet on a site which rolled a 50.5 30+ times in a row. For the sake of argument, exclude "fair coins", in terms of equal odds going one way or the other. 50.5 on one side and 49.5 on the other - well it is far more likely - statistically speaking - to roll 10, 20, or even 30 consecutive 50.5 bets - than say a 90 10 split. Betting a 100 sided dice will roll a 10 or under 30 times in a row. I'm sorry, but the odds are 10^30 - which is simply not possible. Fair Coins with equal odds of heads or tales are not good examples to use to illustrate strategies in betting when the system in which the player bets offers far more options in terms of odds with corresponding payouts. It is not as simple as heads or tales, double your next bet, and move on. That was simply my argument. Back to some dice guys! CD
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R.I.P CryptoDigitals Born 9-30-14 Died 4-12-15
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CryptoDigitals (OP)
Member
Offline
Activity: 101
Merit: 10
R.I.P CRYPTODIGITALS PASSED AWAY
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December 04, 2014, 09:27:20 AM |
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Correction 1/10^30th Power - still astronomically unlikely.
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R.I.P CryptoDigitals Born 9-30-14 Died 4-12-15
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magicmexican
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December 04, 2014, 07:20:07 PM |
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Never fails to amuse me that people still try to find the approach to -ev games
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caga
Full Member
Offline
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
www.secondstrade.com - 190% return Binary option
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December 04, 2014, 07:53:25 PM |
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Never fails to amuse me that people still try to find the approach to -ev games
Even the smartest of the man tries to beat the system, but is never able to :
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Sumerian
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December 04, 2014, 08:04:28 PM |
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Never fails to amuse me that people still try to find the approach to -ev games
Even the smartest of the man tries to beat the system, but is never able to : / The best way to profit is to not gamble at all
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noma
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December 04, 2014, 11:10:48 PM |
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Never fails to amuse me that people still try to find the approach to -ev games
Even the smartest of the man tries to beat the system, but is never able to : / The best way to profit is to not gamble at all Thats not the best way to profit. Its the best way to stay where you are To profit, you have to take the risk, and leave when you are ahead. And you obviously can't always profit.
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chopstick
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 992
Merit: 1000
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December 05, 2014, 03:45:13 AM |
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This thread was posted on Nov. 24th and he had a profit of +18 BTC
IT is now december 4th and viewing his profile he has a profit of -1.9BTC
In other words... FAIL
Gambling is a sure way to lose your money. Why even bother with these websites?
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opossum
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December 05, 2014, 05:28:24 AM |
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Never fails to amuse me that people still try to find the approach to -ev games
Even the smartest of the man tries to beat the system, but is never able to : / The best way to profit is to not gamble at all Well the problem is that any reputable dice/gambling site will have a long term EV that is negative. TheOP is claiming to some howe beat the fairness of Prime dice (a very fair bitcoin dice site) which honestly not realistic.
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| TIDEX | ║ █ ║ | | ║ █ ║ | |
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Mrbutter
Member
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Activity: 84
Merit: 10
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December 05, 2014, 05:34:07 AM |
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lol this was entertaining
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Bitcoinerist
Member
Offline
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Loan me, 1-5% interest :P Moooooo
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June 18, 2015, 04:39:45 AM |
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lol why don't you guys deposit 10k btc and play a 98% of winning and end up with 100 btc profit?
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Cows are nice Gotta love them #MooMooDude COWS!
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lastlove9091
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July 16, 2015, 02:13:56 PM |
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lol why don't you guys deposit 10k btc and play a 98% of winning and end up with 100 btc profit?
Because the max Bet and max of PD profit for one bet is only 20BTC.. ok =))
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